Washington Wizards vs New York Knicks — Predictions & Player Props

AI Model:

WAS

Washington Wizards

16-54 | L10: 0-10

NYK

New York Knicks

46-25 | L10: 7-3

2026-03-22

ML Game Intelligence

MEDIUM

WAS48%

52%NYK

WAS101-94NYK

Key Factors

*Knicks without Josh Hart (12.1 PPG) - questionable (Knee)
*Knicks without Landry Shamet (9.6 PPG) - out (Knee)
*Knicks outscores opponents by +5.6 PPG vs Wizards's -10.3
*Knicks owns the season series 16-3 against Wizards
*Knicks without Tyler Kolek (4.5 PPG) - questionable ()

Key Matchup

Wizards has matchup advantages

NYK Advantages

+ Positional advantages

WAS Advantages

Key Defensive Matchups

WAS Players

Trae Young

Mikal Bridges1g · 5m+0.0%0% eFGlow

Kevin McCullar Jr.1g · 4m+0.0%0% eFGlow

Tyler Kolek1g · 1m+0.0%0% eFGlow

Anthony Gill

Mitchell Robinson1g · 4m+0.0%100% eFGlow

Ariel Hukporti3g · 3m+0.0%100% eFGmedium

Washington enters on a 15-game losing streak with a 16-54 record and is on the second night of a back-to-back, while New York has won 5 straight and is 7-3 over its last 10. The Knicks are better-rested at 2 days since their last game, and Washington’s injury list has already thinned the rotation, raising usage for the remaining starters.

Team Comparison

WASNYK

Key Players

Brunson’s season line is 26.2 PPG, and he’s at 26.4 PPG over his last 5 with 8.4 APG, so the scoring load remains elite even as his trend is labeled down. He’s posted 23.944444444444443 PPG, 2.611111111111111 RPG, and 10 APG in 18 games against Washington, which keeps his matchup profile strong for points and assists.

ProjectedPTS: 17.8-24.4-31REB: 0.6-3.6-6.6AST: 4.9-7.3-9.7

Towns is producing 24.2 PPG and 11.4 RPG over his last 5, up from 20.1 PPG and 11.9 RPG on the season, but that recent scoring spike is already above his baseline. He has 26.09090909090909 PPG and 10.636363636363637 RPG in 11 games versus Washington, so the board is strong but the recent run also raises regression risk.

ProjectedPTS: 13.6-20.2-26.8REB: 8.7-11.7-14.7AST: 0.9-3.3-5.7

Anunoby has jumped to 20.6 PPG over his last 5 from 16.8 PPG on the season, with 5.0 RPG and 2.4 APG in that span. He’s one of the Knicks’ biggest volatility spots because the recent scoring surge is well above his season average, making points props more fragile than his defensive counting stats.

ProjectedPTS: 10.4-17-23.6REB: 2.2-5.2-8.2AST: 0-2.3-4.7

Prop Picks

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	Trend	Edge	Actual	Result
Tristan Vukcevic▼ WAS	Rebounds	4.5fanduel	UNDER	74%HIGH	70%	+22.5%	1	✓
Tristan Vukcevic▼ WAS	Points	11.5draftkings	UNDER	73%HIGH	70%	+19.8%	13	✗
Karl-Anthony Towns▼ NYK	Points	22.5fanduel	OVER	66%MEDIUM	30%	+15.2%	26	✓
Jalen Brunson▼ NYK	Points	24.5fanduel	OVER	74%MEDIUM	50%	+18.1%	23	✗
Will Riley▼ WAS	Points	12.5betmgm	UNDER	77%HIGH	30%	+26.0%	11	✓

Model Comparison

4 models · 13 props compared

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Props Shown

13 total on slate

Models

1 game view

Unanimous

Full agreement across submitted picks

Featured Picks

Tristan Vukcevic

Rebounds UNDER 4.5HIGH

His 3.09 season rebound average is below the 4.5 line, and the value sheet shows a 22.5% edge with 43.66 EV per 100. Even with 4.5 rebounds over his last 5, the season baseline still points to the under.

Will Riley

Points UNDER 12.5HIGH

Riley’s 8.84 season PPG sits well below the line, and the market is asking him to sustain recent 14.2 PPG production. The model’s 26.0% edge and 50.73 EV per 100 make this the cleanest under on the slate.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Points OVER 22.5MEDIUM

Towns has 24.2 PPG over his last 5 and a 15.2% model edge on the over at this price. He’s above his 20.1 season mean, but the recent scoring form and strong usage keep this in play.

Parlay of the Game

Tristan Vukcevic — Rebounds UNDER 4.5Leg 1

Will Riley — Points UNDER 12.5Leg 2

Karl-Anthony Towns — Points OVER 22.5Leg 3

The two Wizards legs align with Washington’s thin rotation and the model’s strongest under edges, while Towns provides the best Knicks scoring angle from the opposite side. It combines a pair of high-EV unders with one high-usage over from the favorite.

Injury & Lineup Notes

Alex Sarr, Justin Champagnie, Kyshawn George, and Tre Johnson are out for Washington. Landry Shamet is out for New York. Karl-Anthony Towns is marked Available but has PersonalReasons in the data, while Bub Carrington, Tristan Vukcevic, Bilal Coulibaly, Will Riley, and Trae Young are Available.

Player Deep Dives

Karl-Anthony TownsNYK

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.