Anthony Gill▲

WAS · C

PPG

4.1

RPG

2.6

APG

1.1

L5 PPG

3.8

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-0.3

4.1

3.8

RPG+1.2

2.6

3.8

APG+0.5

1.1

1.6

SPG+0.5

0.5

1.0

BPG+0.4

0.4

0.8

UNDER 4 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

TOR

2026-02-28

2026-02-28 vs TOR: 8 pts

UTA

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs UTA: 10 pts

NOP

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs NOP: 11 pts

MIA

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs MIA: 6 pts

ORL

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs ORL: 4 pts

BOS

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs BOS: 0 pts

GSW

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs GSW: 4 pts

DET

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs DET: 2 pts

DET

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs DET: 0 pts

OKC

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs OKC: 13 pts

Over 4

Under 4

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 4

66%

REB

OVER 2.5

58%

AST

OVER 1

57%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1

61%

3PM

UNDER 0.5

72%

PRA

UNDER 7

56%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

6.3

6.8

RPG

4.3

3.4

APG

2.2

1.9

vs NYK (H2H)11 games

PPG

2.8

RPG

1.4

APG

0.3

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Ryan Kalkbrenner	2	8	75%	+12.9%	low
Jaxson Hayes	2	7	100%	+37.9%	low
John Konchar	2	6	50%	-12.1%	low
Bam Adebayo	2	5	27%

Gill’s minutes are up, but the scoring ceiling stays modest

Anthony Gill’s recent role has been larger than his season baseline, with his last 5 showing 20.8 MPG and his last 10 at 22.9 MPG versus 14.2 MPG for the season. That boost has lifted his last-10 production to 5.8 PPG, 3.6 RPG, and 1.7 APG, but his season scoring mean remains just 4.1 points and his head-to-head numbers against this opponent are very low. With Washington on a back-to-back, the minutes can stay elevated, but the combination of a low-usage profile and a tougher road environment makes the under side more attractive on most scoring and combo markets.

Stat Trends

PPG

3.8(↓ from 4.1)

RPG

3.8(↑ from 2.6)

APG

1.6(↑ from 1.1)

Stocks

1.8(↑ from 0.8)

Key Matchup

There is no specific defender matchup data beyond the listed key defenders, so the best read is that his opponent history is the main concern: 2.8 PPG, 1.36 RPG, and 0.27 APG in 11 games. New York’s opponent context is not a major pace boost, so Gill needs minutes and efficiency to beat baseline.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Anthony Gill▼	Points	4	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	18	✗
Anthony Gill▼	Rebounds	2.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	5	✓
Anthony Gill▼	Assists	1	OVER	57%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	0	✗
Anthony Gill▼	STL+BLK	1	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	—	60%	3	✗
Anthony Gill▼	3PM	0.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	—	80%	2	✗
Anthony Gill▼	PRA	7	UNDER	56%MEDIUM	2/2	20%	23	✗

ML Scout Analysis

REB5UNDER24%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x3/1916%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Scorecard changed -3.0▼

P+R13.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)8/1942%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

P+A11.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)8/1942%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

PTS8OVER32%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (10/20)9/1947%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Scorecard changed -3.0▼

PRA14OVER31%gbt_praWeak Leg (10/20)9/1947%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Scorecard changed -3.0▼

AST2OVER17%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 3x9/1947%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW; Scorecard changed -3.0▼

3PA1UNDER18%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x6/1932%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW; Scorecard changed -3.0▼

R+A6.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 3x10/1953%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

Featured Pick

Anthony Gill

Three-Pointers UNDER 0.5HIGH

This is the cleanest edge because his season average is only 0.2 threes, his last 5 are also 0.2, and he has 0.2 fg3m over the last 10. The profile simply does not support a made three in most game scripts.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Mitchell Robinson	1	4	4	100%	100%
Ariel Hukporti	3	3	4	100%	100%
Karl-Anthony Towns	1	2	10	80%	80%
Mohamed Diawara	2	1	0	0%	0%
Jordan Clarkson	2	1	4	67%	67%

pointsUNDER 466%MEDIUM

His season mean is 4.1 PPG and his last 5 are 3.8 PPG, so the scoring profile is still centered around a low single-digit output. The recent minutes bump helps, but the historical vs-opponent scoring mark is only 2.8 PPG across 11 games.

reboundsOVER 2.558%MEDIUM

He has exceeded his season rebound average of 2.6 with 3.8 RPG over the last 5 and 3.6 RPG over the last 10. The back-to-back context also matters, since his b2b rebound mean is 2, but the recent role increase supports a modest over lean.

assistsOVER 157%MEDIUM

His season assist mean is 1.07, and recent play has climbed to 1.6 APG over the last 5 and 1.7 APG over the last 10. The risk is variance, since his season standard deviation is 1.42, but the current minutes trend supports a small over lean.

stocksUNDER 161%MEDIUM

His season stocks mean is 0.85 and his recent mean is 1.1, which is better but still not enough to clear a 1.0 line comfortably. The season variance is high at 1.0, so confidence stays moderate and the under remains slightly safer.

threesUNDER 0.572%HIGH

He averages only 0.2 threes per game for the season and 0.2 over the last 5, with just 0.2 fg3m in the last 10. That is well below a half-made-three threshold, making the under the clearest prop on the board.

praUNDER 756%MEDIUM

His season PRA is 7.77, and his recent role has pushed him closer to that range, but combo props carry extra variance. Given the season averages and his low vs-opponent history, the under is the more conservative side.

timelineUNDER 4 PTS