Mitchell Robinson▼

NYK · C

PPG

5.3

RPG

8.9

APG

0.9

L5 PPG

6.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+1.3

5.3

6.6

RPG+3.7

8.9

12.6

APG+0.3

0.9

1.2

SPG+0.7

0.9

1.6

BPG+0.3

1.1

1.4

OVER 5.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

5.5

MIL

2026-02-27

2026-02-27 vs MIL: 0 pts

SAS

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs SAS: 4 pts

TOR

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs TOR: 2 pts

DEN

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs DEN: 13 pts

LAL

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs LAL: 4 pts

UTA

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs UTA: 6 pts

IND

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs IND: 12 pts

GSW

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs GSW: 4 pts

IND

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs IND: 8 pts

BKN

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs BKN: 3 pts

Over 5.5

Under 5.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 5.5FANDUEL

56%

REB

OVER 8.5DRAFTKINGS

58%

AST

UNDER 1

70%

STL

OVER 0.8

55%

BLK

OVER 1

57%

STL+BLK

OVER 2

60%

OVER 1

52%

P+R

OVER 13.5

54%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

5.3

6.5

RPG

7.6

9.2

APG

0.7

0.9

vs WAS (H2H)11 games

PPG

7.9

RPG

8.7

APG

0.8

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Ivica Zubac	3	13	64%	-8.7%	medium
Ryan Kalkbrenner	2	13	75%	+2.7%	low
Wendell Carter Jr.	4	12	60%	-32.3%	medium
Nikola Vučević	3	11	68%

Robinson’s boards and stocks stay live, but scoring is capped

Mitchell Robinson is coming in with a strong recent rebounding stretch, averaging 12.6 RPG over his last 5 and 9.0 RPG over his last 10, while his season baseline sits at 8.9 RPG. His points remain low at 5.3 PPG on the season, and the recent 6.6 PPG is only a modest bump rather than a true scoring shift. The matchup is favorable on pace and overall opponent defense, but with his role still around 19.5 MPG season-long, the best projection remains around his rebound and defensive stats rather than a points spike.

Stat Trends

PPG

6.6(↑ from 5.3)

RPG

12.6(↑ from 8.9)

APG

1.2(→ from 0.9)

Stocks

3.0(↑ from 2.0)

Key Matchup

Washington’s defense context is soft, with a 124.06 defensive rating and 100 pace, which helps Robinson’s rebound and stock chances. He also has 11 games of history vs this opponent, averaging 7.909090909090909 PPG and 8.727272727272727 RPG, and there is no specific defender matchup data.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Mitchell Robinson▼	Points	5.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	10	✓
Mitchell Robinson▼	Rebounds	8.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	10	✓
Mitchell Robinson▼	Assists	1	UNDER	70%HIGH	—	70%	1	✗
Mitchell Robinson▼	Steals	0.8	OVER	55%MEDIUM	—	90%	0	✗
Mitchell Robinson▼	Blocks	1	OVER	57%MEDIUM	—	40%	2	✓
Mitchell Robinson▼	STL+BLK	2	OVER	60%MEDIUM	—	40%	2	✗
Mitchell Robinson▼	Turnovers	1	OVER	52%MEDIUM	—	40%	0	✗
Mitchell Robinson▼	P+R	13.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	20	✓

ML Scout Analysis

P+R15.5UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 2x9/2045%▼

P+A7.5UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 2x9/2045%▼

R+A9.5OVER0%logisticWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x10/2050%▼

Featured Pick

Mitchell Robinson

Rebounds OVER 8.5MEDIUM

This is the cleanest angle because his season average is 8.9 RPG and his last 10 is 9.0 RPG, with a stronger 12.6 RPG over the last 5. The line is close enough to his baseline that the over is playable, but the recent spike and normal variance keep it at medium confidence.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Anthony Gill	1	3	7	75%	88%
Jamir Watkins	1	1	0	0%	0%
Bub Carrington	1	0	0	0%	0%
Jaden Hardy	1	0	0	0%	0%
Bilal Coulibaly	1	0	2	100%	100%

pointsOVER 5.556%MEDIUM

His season mean is 5.3 PPG and his last 5 is 6.6, so this is only a slight lean over the 5.5 line. The value data shows a 6.8% edge on the OVER at FanDuel, but his 4.07 season standard deviation keeps confidence modest.

reboundsOVER 8.558%MEDIUM

He averages 8.9 RPG on the season and 9.0 RPG over his last 10, with 12.6 RPG over the last 5. The recent surge supports the over, though the 3.83 season standard deviation makes it less than a slam dunk.

assistsUNDER 170%HIGH

Robinson averages just 0.9 APG on the season and 1.0 over his last 10, with very limited passing usage. The profile remains low-volume, so the under is the safer side.

stealsOVER 0.855%MEDIUM

He averages 0.9 SPG on the season and 1.6 over his last 5, which supports a small over lean. The median role still makes this volatile, so confidence stays moderate.

blocksOVER 157%MEDIUM

His season average is 1.1 BPG and he has 1.4 BPG over the last 5, so he clears a 1.0 line more often than not. The recent games also show multiple block-heavy outings, including 3 blocks against BKN.

stocksOVER 260%MEDIUM

He averages exactly 2.0 stocks on the season and 3.0 over the last 5, with 2.3 over the last 10. That keeps the over in play, but the combined stat has variance and should not be treated aggressively.

turnoversOVER 152%MEDIUM

He averages 1.2 turnovers over his last 10 and has several recent games at 2+ turnovers. The line is low, but his role keeps the ceiling limited.

prOVER 13.554%MEDIUM

His season averages of 5.3 points and 8.9 rebounds sum to 14.2 PR, which is above the projected line. Still, combo props are higher variance, so this stays a middling-confidence play.

timelineOVER 5.5 PTS