Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Black | 4 | 9 | 42% | -3.4% | medium |
| Simone Fontecchio | 4 | 8 | 50% | -11.8% | medium |
| Dru Smith | 4 | 7 | 150% | +54.9% | medium |
| Jamal Shead | 3 | 6 | 50% |
Jordan Clarkson’s season production sits at 9.0 PPG, and his recent baseline has actually softened to 8.4 over the last 10 and 7.0 over the last 20, with minutes down to 13.6 in those windows. The one clear boost is the absence of Landry Shamet, who is out and vacates 23.1 MPG, but Clarkson’s own recent usage has not translated into a sustained scoring spike outside of one 27-point game. This matchup is appealing on paper because the opponent allows a high team defensive rating of 124.06 and the player has averaged 16.9 PPG in 10 games vs this opponent, but his current minute profile makes that history hard to fully trust. Expect a modest projection around his season mean rather than a repeat of the ceiling game.
The opponent profile is favorable for offense, with a 124.06 defensive rating and 100 pace, but the only defender data provided is limited to Bilal Coulibaly, Landry Shamet, and Bub Carrington with no specific defender matchup data. Clarkson has averaged 16.9 PPG, 3.4 RPG, and 4.0 APG in 10 games vs this opponent, but his current minute trend is much lower than that historical sample.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jordan Clarkson▼ | Points | 9 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 70% | 8 | ✓ |
Jordan Clarkson▼ | Rebounds | 1.5 | OVER | 54%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% | 3 | ✓ |
Jordan Clarkson▼ | Assists | 1.5 | UNDER | 60%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 70% | 4 | ✗ |
Jordan Clarkson▼ | 3PM | 1 | UNDER | 57%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 80% | 0 | ✓ |
Jordan Clarkson▼ | STL+BLK | 0.5 | UNDER | 64%MEDIUM | — | 70% | 1 | ✗ |
Jordan Clarkson▼ | Turnovers | 1 | OVER | 56%MEDIUM | — | 10% | 1 | ✗ |
Jordan Clarkson▼ | P+A | 10.5 | UNDER | 61%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 12 | ✗ |
His season scoring average is exactly 9.0, and the longer recent trend is below that at 8.4 over the last 10 and 7.0 over the last 20. The Shamet absence helps, but Clarkson’s current minutes and inconsistency make the under the more reliable side.
| medium |
| Ochai Agbaji | 3 | 6 | 50% | -11.8% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Johnson | 1 | 2 | 3 | 100% | 150% |
| Bilal Coulibaly | 3 | 2 | 6 | 75% | 75% |
| Tre Johnson | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Corey Kispert | 1 | 2 | 2 | 100% | 100% |
| Jaden Hardy | 1 | 2 | 9 | 100% | 150% |
His season mean is 9.0 PPG, but the longer recent sample is below that at 8.4 over the last 10 and 7.0 over the last 20. The last-5 bump to 13.6 is smaller than it looks because minutes only climbed to 21.8 and he has been inconsistent game to game.
He averages 1.67 rebounds on the season and 2.0 over the last 5, with home and away means both above this projected line. The volume is low, but the number is modest enough to lean over.
Season mean assist rate is only 1.26, and his recent production is 1.0 over the last 10 with just 1.3 away. Even with Shamet out, his assist baseline has not shown enough stability to justify the over.
He averages 1.15 threes per game, but the last 10 is only 0.8 and the last 20 is 0.7, which signals a downtrend. The opponent also has a 0.646 three suppression mark, which adds a small drag.
His season average for stocks is 0.54, but the last 10 is just 0.4 and the last 20 is 0.4. With a low block rate and limited steal volume, the over is not attractive.
Recent logs show multiple turnover events, and his season-to-recent usage still supports occasional miscues even in a limited role. The 0.5 recent average looks low, but the game logs include several 1-2 turnover outings.
Points plus assists depends on his scoring staying above season norms, and that has not been consistent over the last 10 and 20 games. His assist base is too low to offset a scoring dip.