AI Model:

OG Anunoby▼

NYK · PF

PPG

16.8

RPG

5.3

APG

2.2

L5 PPG

20.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+3.8

16.8

20.6

RPG-0.3

5.3

5.0

APG+0.2

2.2

2.4

SPG-0.7

1.7

1.0

BPG-0.3

0.7

0.4

OVER 17.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

17.5

TOR

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs TOR: 15 pts

OKC

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs OKC: 16 pts

DEN

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs DEN: 34 pts

LAL

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs LAL: 13 pts

LAC

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs LAC: 22 pts

UTA

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs UTA: 22 pts

IND

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs IND: 25 pts

GSW

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs GSW: 14 pts

IND

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs IND: 26 pts

BKN

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs BKN: 16 pts

Over 17.5

Under 17.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 17.5DRAFTKINGS

72%

REB

UNDER 5.5FANDUEL

63%

AST

UNDER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

65%

3PM

UNDER 2.5FANDUEL

61%

STL

UNDER 1.5FANDUEL

67%

BLK

OVER 0.5FANDUEL

58%

STL+BLK

OVER 2

57%

P+R

UNDER 23.5FANDUEL

62%

P+A

OVER 20.5DRAFTKINGS

60%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

18.3

18.5

RPG

4.9

5.3

APG

1.9

2.2

vs WAS (H2H)16 games

PPG

17.1

RPG

5.7

APG

1.6

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Jalen Johnson	3	16	53%	-1.2%	medium
Kevin Durant	2	14	61%	+3.6%	low
Brandon Ingram	3	13	73%	+18.1%	medium
Josh Giddey	4	13	46%

OG Anunoby’s scoring ceiling is live, but the board still leans efficient and versatile

Anunoby is in a stronger scoring stretch than his season baseline, with 20.6 PPG over the last 5 and 20.3 over the last 10 versus a 16.8 season mean. That said, the recent trend is marked down and his season-to-recent gap suggests some regression risk, especially on combo props. The matchup is favorable overall because Washington is allowing a 124.06 defensive rating, and the Wizards are missing several rotation pieces, but his head-to-head line has historically settled closer to 17.125 PPG in 16 games. With his minutes stable around 33 per game and home production not materially better than away, the cleanest angle is points rather than a volatile combo.

Stat Trends

PPG

20.6(↓ from 16.8)

RPG

5.0(→ from 5.3)

APG

2.4(→ from 2.2)

Stocks

1.4(↓ from 2.4)

3PM

2.4(↑ from 2.2)

Key Matchup

Washington’s defense profile is favorable for production, with a 124.06 defensive rating and 100 pace. For defender context, Bilal Coulibaly, Alex Sarr, and Justin Champagnie are listed with limited minutes allowed data, but there is no specific defender matchup data to isolate one primary stopper.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
OG Anunoby▼	Points	17.5	OVER	72%HIGH	1/2	50%	9	✗
OG Anunoby▼	Rebounds	5.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	2	✓
OG Anunoby▼	Assists	2.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	0	✓
OG Anunoby▼	3PM	2.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	1	✓
OG Anunoby▼	Steals	1.5	UNDER	67%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	0	✓
OG Anunoby▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	—	40%	0	✗
OG Anunoby▼	STL+BLK	2	OVER	57%MEDIUM	—	40%	0	✗
OG Anunoby▼	P+R	23.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	11	✓
OG Anunoby▼	P+A	20.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	9	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PRA23.5OVER4%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 3x10/2050%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Scorecard changed +2.0▼

PTS19UNDER37%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 3x10/2050%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

3PM3OVER13%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 3x9/2045%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

P+A21OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 3x10/2050%▼

FTA4UNDER33%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)6/2030%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

P+R24UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 3x9/2045%▼

REB5UNDER16%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%▼

AST1.5UNDER3%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)10/2050%▼

FTM3UNDER17%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 3x8/2040%▼

R+A7UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%▼

STL1UNDER42%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

3PA7UNDER4%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 4x9/2045%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Scorecard changed -2.0▼

Featured Pick

OG Anunoby

Points OVER 17.5HIGH

This is the cleanest angle because it aligns with the current form spike: 20.6 PPG over the last 5 and 20.3 over the last 10, both above the 17.5 line. Washington’s weak defensive rating and multiple opponent absences help the scoring outlook, and the line is still only modestly above his 16.8 season mean.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Kyshawn George	1	5	7	75%	88%
Bilal Coulibaly	3	4	2	33%	33%
Jamir Watkins	1	4	0	0%	0%
Bub Carrington	3	2	3	33%	50%
Leaky Black	1	1	0	0%	0%

pointsOVER 17.572%HIGH

His season mean is 16.84, but the last 5 is 20.6 and the sportsbook line of 17.5 is still below his recent form. The Wizards' 124.06 defensive rating and multiple opponent absences support scoring upside, though his 16-game vs-opponent average of 17.125 keeps this from being a heavy play.

reboundsUNDER 5.563%MEDIUM

He averages 5.28 rebounds on the season and 5.4 over the last 5, which is basically right on the line. With standard rebound variance and no strong home bump, the under is the slightly safer side.

assistsUNDER 2.565%MEDIUM

Anunoby is at 2.21 assists per game for the season and 2.0 over the last 10, so 2.5 is above his typical output. The recent games show several 1-assist and 0-assist performances, which keeps this under attractive.

threesUNDER 2.561%MEDIUM

He averages 2.18 made threes on the season and 2.8 over the last 5, but that recent spike is well above the season baseline and carries regression risk. The 2.5 line is playable, but the under is still the more conservative side.

stealsUNDER 1.567%MEDIUM

His season average is 1.7 steals, but the last 5 is down to 1.0 and the last 10 is 1.5. Given the volatility and the recent dip, the under is the lean.

blocksOVER 0.558%MEDIUM

He averages 0.7 blocks per game on the season and 0.5 over the last 10, so clearing 0.5 remains plausible. The confidence is modest because block volume is naturally volatile.

stocksOVER 257%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 2.37 and last 20 is 2.1, both sitting above 2.0. This is a reasonable line to clear, but combo volatility keeps confidence moderate.

prUNDER 23.562%MEDIUM

Season points plus rebounds is 22.1 by the listed averages, and his rebounds are not strong enough to offset a more modest board night. The 23.5 line asks for a solid scoring plus rebounding game, which is less consistent than his points alone.

paOVER 20.560%MEDIUM

Points plus assists is supported by his 16.8 PPG and 2.2 APG season averages, and he’s been above 20 in recent scoring form. Assists are not a big strength, but the point total makes this workable.

timelineOVER 17.5 PTS