AI Model:
PG
Trae Young▲
WAS · PG
PPG
17.9
RPG
2.0
APG
8.0
L5 PPG
15.2
Last 10 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG-2.7
17.9
15.2
RPG+1.0
2.0
3.0
APG-1.8
8.0
6.2
SPG-0.3
0.9
0.6
BPG+0.1
0.1
0.2
UNDER 17.9 PTS
Last 10 games
1
Current Streak
1
Longest Streak
OVER
Streak Type
17.9
8
CHA
2025-12-18
2025-12-18 vs CHA: 8 pts
35
CHI
2025-12-21
2025-12-21 vs CHI: 35 pts
22
CHI
2025-12-23
2025-12-23 vs CHI: 22 pts
30
MIA
2025-12-26
2025-12-26 vs MIA: 30 pts
9
NYK
2025-12-27
2025-12-27 vs NYK: 9 pts
12
UTA
2026-03-05
2026-03-05 vs UTA: 12 pts
17
NOP
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs NOP: 17 pts
15
ORL
2026-03-12
2026-03-12 vs ORL: 15 pts
11
BOS
2026-03-14
2026-03-14 vs BOS: 11 pts
21
GSW
2026-03-16
2026-03-16 vs GSW: 21 pts
Over 17.9
Under 17.9
Last 10 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 17.9
61%
REB
UNDER 2
64%
AST
OVER 8
69%
3PM
OVER 1.8
57%
STL
UNDER 0.9
60%
BLK
OVER 0.1
52%
STL+BLK
UNDER 1
58%
TO
OVER 2.9
63%
PRA
UNDER 27.9
56%
P+A
OVER 25.9
67%
DD
UNDER 0
62%
Home vs Away
Home
Away
PPG
20.5
19.1
RPG
1.9
2.2
APG
9.0
8.7
vs NYK (H2H)18 games
PPG
23.9
RPG
2.6
APG
10.0
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Okoro | 3 | 10 | 33% | -12.5% | medium |
| Tre Jones | 3 | 8 | 63% | +4.2% | medium |
| Davion Mitchell | 1 | 7 | 33% | -12.5% | low |
| Kevin Huerter | 3 | 7 | 117% |
Trae Young’s assist floor is strong, but the scoring ceiling is muted
Trae Young is trending up in a usage sense, but the actual production profile is uneven: his season marks are 17.9 PPG and 8.0 APG, while his last 5 dipped to 15.2 PPG and 6.2 APG on just 20.6 MPG. The strongest angle is playmaking, especially with multiple teammate absences creating more ball-handling responsibility, and his head-to-head line against this opponent is solid at 23.94 PPG and 10.0 APG across 18 games. Scoring is less appealing because his away scoring is only 14.71 PPG, and tonight’s game is on the road with a back-to-back for his team. The matchup is not a pure shutdown spot, but the available defender data doesn’t suggest a strong scoring boost either.
Stat Trends
PPG
15.2(↓ from 17.9)
APG
6.2(↓ from 8.0)
3PM
1.8(→ from 1.8)
Key Matchup
The opponent defense data shows a 110.34 defensive rating, pace of 100, and slight scoring suppression at -1.138, which does not scream a strong scoring environment. Key defender data is available, but it does not provide a clear shutdown matchup edge for any single defender.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trae Young▼ | Points | 17.9 | UNDER | 61%MEDIUM | 60% |
Trae Young▼ | Rebounds | 2 | UNDER | 64%MEDIUM | 70% |
Trae Young▼ | Assists | 8 | OVER | 69%MEDIUM | 40% |
Trae Young▼ | 3PM | 1.8 | OVER | 57%MEDIUM | 50% |
Trae Young▼ | Steals | 0.9 | UNDER | 60%MEDIUM | 40% |
Trae Young▼ | Blocks | 0.1 | OVER | 52%MEDIUM | 10% |
Trae Young▼ | STL+BLK | 1 | UNDER | 58%MEDIUM | 60% |
Trae Young▼ | Turnovers | 2.9 | OVER | 63%MEDIUM | 60% |
Trae Young▼ | PRA | 27.9 | UNDER | 56%MEDIUM | 50% |
Trae Young▼ | P+A | 25.9 | OVER | 67%MEDIUM | 40% |
Trae Young▼ | Double-Double | 0 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | — |
ML Scout Analysis
P+R21OVER0%logisticDecent Leg (14/20)7/1450%▼
P+A27.5UNDER0%logisticDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 6x5/1436%▼
R+A10.5UNDER0%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 3x5/1436%▼
Featured Pick
Trae Young
Assists OVER 8.0HIGH
This is the cleanest angle because his season average is exactly 8.0, his recent mean is 8.1, and he has averaged 10.0 assists in 18 games vs this opponent. With several teammate absences likely concentrating playmaking, the assist over has the best combination of role and matchup support.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.