AI Model:

Justin Champagnie—

WAS · PF

PPG

8.5

RPG

5.7

APG

1.1

L5 PPG

10.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+1.7

8.5

10.2

RPG-1.1

5.7

4.6

APG+0.3

1.1

1.4

SPG+0.1

0.9

1.0

BPG-0.4

0.6

0.2

OVER 7.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

7.5

ATL

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs ATL: 14 pts

ATL

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs ATL: 14 pts

TOR

2026-02-28

2026-02-28 vs TOR: 12 pts

HOU

2026-03-02

2026-03-02 vs HOU: 12 pts

ORL

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs ORL: 13 pts

MIA

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs MIA: 8 pts

ORL

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs ORL: 12 pts

BOS

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs BOS: 10 pts

DET

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs DET: 18 pts

OKC

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs OKC: 3 pts

Over 7.5

Under 7.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 7.5STAKE

58%

REB

UNDER 5.5STAKE

64%

AST

UNDER 1.5STAKE

69%

3PM

OVER 0.5

57%

STL

OVER 0.5

56%

BLK

OVER 0.5

54%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

61%

P+R

UNDER 14.5STAKE

60%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

8.2

13.3

RPG

4.8

6.0

APG

1.1

1.4

vs NYK (H2H)8 games

PPG

6.8

RPG

3.9

APG

0.4

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Dominick Barlow	3	9	50%	-1.4%	medium
Jalen Johnson	2	8	68%	+12.2%	low
LeBron James	2	7	75%	+23.6%	low
Nicolas Batum	2	7	60%

Champagnie’s minutes are steady, but the road spot leans under on his scoring

Justin Champagnie has been productive in a modest role, with season averages of 8.5 points, 5.7 rebounds, and 1.1 assists in 19.7 minutes. His recent scoring is up at 10.2 over the last 5 and 11.6 over the last 10, but that sits above his season baseline and he is also on a back-to-back, which can cap efficiency and minutes. The matchup data is mixed: he has posted 6.75 points and 3.875 rebounds in 8 games vs this opponent, and the Knicks’ defense has a 110.34 rating with negative scoring suppression. With multiple Wizards teammates out, his role should stay intact, but the stronger signal is still a modest projection rather than a big ceiling game.

Stat Trends

PPG

10.2(↑ from 8.5)

RPG

4.6(↓ from 5.7)

APG

1.4(↑ from 1.1)

Stocks

1.2(↓ from 1.5)

Key Matchup

He has no specific defender matchup data beyond the listed Knicks players, so the key note is team context rather than an isolated one-on-one matchup. New York’s opponent defense shows a 110.34 rating and negative scoring suppression, while Champagnie’s 8-game history vs this opponent is only 6.75 points and 3.875 rebounds.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend
Justin Champagnie▼	Points	7.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	90%
Justin Champagnie▼	Rebounds	5.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	80%
Justin Champagnie▼	Assists	1.5	UNDER	69%MEDIUM	1/2	60%
Justin Champagnie▼	3PM	0.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	1/2	50%
Justin Champagnie▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	80%
Justin Champagnie▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	—	50%
Justin Champagnie▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	61%MEDIUM	—	60%
Justin Champagnie▼	P+R	14.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	40%

ML Scout Analysis

P+R17UNDER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (14/20)OVER 3x9/2045%▼

P+A13.5OVER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (13/20)OVER 3x13/2065%▼

R+A6.5OVER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 2x11/2055%▼

Featured Pick

Justin Champagnie

Rebounds UNDER 5.5MEDIUM

The under is supported by his 4.6 rebounds over the last 5 and his 3.875 rebounds in 8 games against this opponent. His season average is close to the line at 5.7, but the recent trend and head-to-head sample both point slightly below 5.5.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
OG Anunoby	1	2	3	100%	150%
Jalen Brunson	2	2	5	50%	63%
Jordan Clarkson	2	2	5	100%	125%
Josh Hart	1	1	2	100%	100%
Landry Shamet	1	1	0	0%	0%

pointsOVER 7.558%MEDIUM

He averages 8.5 points on the season and has reached 10.2 over the last 5, while his away scoring is 8.8. The line is only 7.5, and the added usage from teammate absences supports a slight over lean.

reboundsUNDER 5.564%MEDIUM

His season mean is 5.7, but his last 5 is down to 4.6 and his head-to-head average vs this opponent is only 3.875 rebounds across 8 games. That makes 5.5 a tougher ask than his season number suggests, especially on a back-to-back.

assistsUNDER 1.569%MEDIUM

Champagnie averages just 1.1 assists on the season and 1.3 over the last 10, both below the 1.5 line. Even with extra opportunity available, this is still a low-assist profile.

threesOVER 0.557%MEDIUM

He averages 0.75 made threes per game and 1.0 over the last 20, so clearing 0.5 is viable. The recent profile supports at least one make, though the variance is high with only 19.7 minutes per game.

stealsOVER 0.556%MEDIUM

His season average is 0.9 steals and he has 1.0 over the last 5. A 0.5 line is reasonable for a player with this level of defensive event volume.

blocksOVER 0.554%MEDIUM

He averages 0.6 blocks on the season and 0.9 over the last 10, so 0.5 is attainable. The role supports some shot-blocking chances even if the sample is volatile.

stocksOVER 1.561%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.51, and he has 1.9 over the last 20 with 2.1 over the last 10. That gives him a solid pathway to get above 1.5 if he plays his usual minutes.

prUNDER 14.560%MEDIUM

His season points-plus-rebounds output is 14.19 based on 8.5 points and 5.7 rebounds, and his matchup history drops to 10.625 combined in the provided head-to-head averages. With the under favored in combo props, 14.5 is slightly too high.

timelineOVER 7.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Champagnie’s minutes are steady, but the road spot leans under on his scoring

Stat Trends

Key Matchup

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

Featured Pick

OVER 7.5 PTS