Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers — Predictions & Player Props

AI Model:

ORL

Orlando Magic

38-33 | L10: 5-5

CLE

Cleveland Cavaliers

44-27 | L10: 7-3

2026-03-24

Version History

2 versions

ML Game Intelligence

HIGH

ORL95%

5%CLE

ORL80-80CLE

Key Factors

*Magic without Franz Wagner (21.3 PPG) - out (Ankle)
*Magic without Anthony Black (15.5 PPG) - out ()
*Cavaliers without Jarrett Allen (15.3 PPG) - out (Knee)
*Magic without Jalen Suggs (13.8 PPG) - out ()
*Cavaliers without Jaylon Tyson (13.1 PPG) - out (Toe)

Key Matchup

Cavaliers has matchup advantages

CLE Advantages

+ Positional advantages
+ Better roster depth

ORL Advantages

Key Defensive Matchups

ORL Players

Jevon Carter

Dennis Schröder2g · 6m+0.0%50% eFGlow

Keon Ellis2g · 4m+0.0%125% eFGlow

Donovan Mitchell2g · 2m+0.0%0% eFGlow

Wendell Carter Jr.

Evan Mobley4g · 19m+0.0%47% eFGmedium

Jarrett Allen2g · 12m+0.0%80% eFGlow

Cleveland enters at 44-27 and has won 3 straight, while Orlando is 38-33 and has dropped 5 straight. The rest edge also leans Cleveland: the Cavaliers have 3 days since their last game, while the Magic are on a back-to-back with only 1 day of rest, and Orlando is still dealing with multiple rotation absences.

Team Comparison

ORLCLE

Key Players

Mitchell is at 28.0 PPG for the season but only 24.2 PPG over his last 5, so the market has to weigh a slight recent dip against his overall usage. He is coming off 27 points vs NOP and has 27.1 PPG in 16 games vs Orlando, but the back-to-back angle for Orlando still supports his scoring and playmaking volume.

ProjectedPTS: 18-24.6-31.2REB: 1.5-4.5-7.5AST: 3.5-5.9-8.3

Mobley’s last 5 have surged to 23.6 PPG and 11.0 RPG versus 18.3 and 8.9 on the season, which is a clear step up in role and efficiency. With Jarrett Allen out, his frontcourt workload remains elevated, and his recent production makes him one of the strongest volume plays on the slate.

ProjectedPTS: 12.3-18.9-25.5REB: 6.7-9.7-12.7AST: 0.9-3.3-5.7

Harden is still producing at an elite level with 24.3 PPG and 8.0 APG on the season, and his last 5 show 22.6 PPG, 6.0 RPG, and 7.8 APG. The key concern is turnover volatility at 3.8 TOPG over the last 5, but the matchup and rest edge keep his all-around role intact.

Bane’s scoring has cooled to 17.4 PPG over his last 5 compared with 20.4 on the season, and his recent usage has leaned more toward playmaking. The line pressure should be tempered by the fact that Orlando is on a back-to-back, and his recent decline makes his points market more fragile than his broader box-score contributions.

Prop Picks

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	Trend	Evolution	Edge	Actual	Result
Evan Mobley▼ CLE	Rebounds	9.5stake	OVER	64%MEDIUM	50%	8.5→9.5	+6.9%	9	✗
James Harden▼ CLE	Assists	7.5stake	OVER	63%MEDIUM	50%	FLIP	+6.5%	7	✗
Paolo Banchero▼ ORL	Points	23.5stake	OVER	61%MEDIUM	60%		+5.8%	36	✓
Wendell Carter Jr.▼ ORL	Rebounds	7.5stake	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	60%	FLIP	+7.1%	5	✓
Sam Merrill▼ CLE	Points	11.5stake	OVER	62%MEDIUM	70%	—	+6.2%	19	✓

Model Comparison

5 models · 14 props compared

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Props Shown

14 total on slate

Models

1 game view

Unanimous

Full agreement across submitted picks

Featured Picks

Evan Mobley

Rebounds OVER 9.5MEDIUM

Mobley’s 11.0 rebounds over the last 5 and 8.9 on the season both support the over, and Jarrett Allen being out keeps his frontcourt rebounding and usage elevated.

James Harden

Assists OVER 7.5MEDIUM

Harden averages 8.0 assists on the season and 7.8 over the last 5, so 7.5 is slightly too low relative to his current role and playmaking load.

Wendell Carter Jr.

Rebounds UNDER 7.5MEDIUM

Carter is right around the number at 7.59 season boards, and the back-to-back plus 29-minute workload makes the under the safer side than chasing an over at this price.

Parlay of the Game

Evan Mobley — Rebounds OVER 9.5Leg 1

James Harden — Assists OVER 7.5Leg 2

Wendell Carter Jr. — Rebounds UNDER 7.5Leg 3

Mobley and Harden both benefit from Cleveland’s stable rest and role concentration, while Carter’s rebound under pairs well with Orlando’s back-to-back fatigue. The legs avoid overly dependent combo props and stick to the cleanest season-vs-line edges.

Injury & Lineup Notes

Cleveland is without Craig Porter Jr., De'Andre Hunter, Jarrett Allen, and Jaylon Tyson. Orlando is without Anthony Black, Franz Wagner, and Jalen Suggs, and the Magic are on a back-to-back.