AI Model:

Dean Wade▼

CLE · PF

PPG

5.9

RPG

4.3

APG

1.5

L5 PPG

6.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+0.3

5.9

6.2

RPG-0.5

4.3

3.8

APG-0.1

1.5

1.4

SPG-0.2

0.8

0.6

BPG-0.4

0.4

0.0

UNDER 7.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

7.5

NYK

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs NYK: 11 pts

MIL

2026-02-25

2026-02-25 vs MIL: 0 pts

BOS

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs BOS: 7 pts

PHI

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs PHI: 13 pts

ORL

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs ORL: 0 pts

DAL

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs DAL: 3 pts

DAL

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs DAL: 12 pts

MIL

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs MIL: 9 pts

CHI

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs CHI: 0 pts

NOP

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs NOP: 7 pts

Over 7.5

Under 7.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 7.5STAKE

71%

REB

UNDER 5.5STAKE

60%

AST

UNDER 2.5STAKE

84%

3PM

UNDER 1.5STAKE

57%

STL

OVER 0.5STAKE

68%

BLK

UNDER 0.5STAKE

65%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

61%

UNDER 0.5

76%

P+R

UNDER 13.5STAKE

67%

P+A

UNDER 9.5STAKE

64%

R+A

UNDER 7.5STAKE

69%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

9.6

4.2

RPG

6.0

3.6

APG

1.2

1.4

vs ORL (H2H)17 games

PPG

5.0

RPG

3.7

APG

0.7

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Desmond Bane	4	12	54%	-1.5%	medium
Paolo Banchero	4	11	25%	-18.2%	medium
Jalen Brunson	3	11	7%	-36.5%	medium
Kon Knueppel	3	10	75%

Minutes are solid, but Dean Wade’s scoring ceiling stays capped

Dean Wade is holding a steady 22.5 MPG season average, but his production remains modest at 5.9 PPG, 4.3 RPG, and 1.5 APG. The recent form is slightly softer than his season baseline, with a down trend and just 6.2 PPG over both the last 5 and last 10 games. He does get a meaningful boost from the home split, where he averages 9.6 PPG and 6.0 RPG, but this matchup also comes with Orlando’s back-to-back context and a prior head-to-head sample of just 5.0 PPG across 17 games. With Jarrett Allen, De'Andre Hunter, Craig Porter Jr., and Jaylon Tyson out, Wade’s role is stable, but the most reliable angle still looks to be rebounds rather than points.

Stat Trends

PPG

6.2(↑ from 5.9)

RPG

3.8(↓ from 4.3)

APG

1.4(↓ from 1.5)

Key Matchup

Orlando has no specific defender matchup data in the provided info, so this should be viewed through the team context only. The Magic are listed with a 114.34 defensive rating, 100 pace, and a -1.013 three suppression metric, which is a mild drag on Wade’s perimeter-based scoring profile.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Evolution	Actual	Result
Dean Wade▼	Points	7.5	UNDER	71%HIGH	2/2	60%		2	✓
Dean Wade▼	Rebounds	5.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	1/2	70%		1	✓
Dean Wade▼	Assists	2.5	UNDER	84%HIGH	1/2	70%		1	✓
Dean Wade▼	3PM	1.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	1/2	70%		0	✓
Dean Wade▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	68%MEDIUM	—	40%		0	✗
Dean Wade▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	—	70%		0	✓
Dean Wade▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	—	80%		0	✓
Dean Wade▼	Turnovers	0.5	UNDER	76%HIGH	—	80%	0.5→2	0	✓
Dean Wade▼	P+R	13.5	UNDER	67%MEDIUM	2/2	70%		3	✓
Dean Wade▼	P+A	9.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	—	3	✓
Dean Wade▼	R+A	7.5	UNDER	69%MEDIUM	2/2	50%		2	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PTS6.5UNDER32%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (13/20)10/2050%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

PRA11.5UNDER16%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%▼

P+R10.5OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%▼

REB4OVER47%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%Confidence moved LOW to HIGH▼

R+A5.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)8/2040%▼

P+A7.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)11/2055%▼

AST1UNDER8%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (10/20)8/2040%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼

3PM1UNDER13%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 4x8/2040%▼

3PA3UNDER39%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)6/2030%▼

Featured Pick

Dean Wade

Assists UNDER 2.5HIGH

This is the cleanest angle because Wade averages only 1.5 APG on the season and 0.7 APG in 17 games against Orlando. The 2.5 line is far above both his baseline and matchup history, making the under the strongest play.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Desmond Bane	4	12	13	42%	54%
Paolo Banchero	4	11	10	25%	25%
Tristan da Silva	4	4	4	40%	40%
Anthony Black	2	3	5	40%	50%
Jalen Suggs	3	2	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 7.571%HIGH

He averages 5.9 PPG on the season and 5.0 PPG in 17 games vs Orlando, both below 7.5. His last-5 mark of 6.2 is still short of the line, and the recent trend is down.

reboundsUNDER 5.560%MEDIUM

Wade averages 4.3 RPG season-long and 4.9 RPG over the last 10, so 5.5 is still a reach despite the home split of 6.0 RPG. The line is close enough to keep confidence moderate, but the season base leans under.

assistsUNDER 2.584%HIGH

He is at 1.5 APG for the season and 0.7 APG vs Orlando across 17 games. The 2.5 line is well above both his season mean and recent production.

threesUNDER 1.557%MEDIUM

Wade averages 1.21 threes per game on the season and 1.2 in the last 10, so 1.5 is slightly above his normal output. He can clear it, but the edge is not strong enough for high confidence.

stealsOVER 0.568%MEDIUM

His season average is 0.8 SPG and he has 0.9 SPG at home, so 0.5 is a low bar. Recent form is softer at 0.6 over the last 5, but the season baseline still supports the over.

blocksUNDER 0.565%MEDIUM

He averages 0.4 BPG on the season and 0.3 BPG in away games, which sits below 0.5. The recent sample also shows 0.0 BPG over the last 5.

stocksUNDER 1.561%MEDIUM

Wade averages 1.16 stocks on the season and 1.1 over the last 10, below a 1.5 threshold. His higher home stock rate of 1.4 helps, but the season and recent means still point under.

turnoversUNDER 0.576%HIGH

His turnover rate is very low at 0.2 per game over the season and last 10, with 0.1 at home. A 0.5 line is well above his typical production.

prUNDER 13.567%MEDIUM

He averages 10.15 points plus rebounds per game using season means, and 13.5 is above that baseline. The home split helps, but his overall production profile still leans under.

paUNDER 9.564%MEDIUM

Wade’s season points plus assists average is 7.4, and the last 10 sits at 7.8, both below 9.5. He would need a clear scoring spike to get there.

raUNDER 7.569%MEDIUM

His season rebounds plus assists average is 5.8 and the last 10 is 6.5, still short of 7.5. Even with the home boost, the line is high relative to his normal range.

timelineUNDER 7.5 PTS