AI Model:

Tristan da Silva▲

ORL · SF

PPG

9.8

RPG

3.7

APG

1.5

L5 PPG

11.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+1.6

9.8

11.4

RPG-1.1

3.7

2.6

APG+0.1

1.5

1.6

SPG-0.3

0.9

0.6

BPG0.0

0.4

OVER 9.8 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

9.8

MIN

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs MIN: 11 pts

MIL

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs MIL: 5 pts

CLE

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs CLE: 23 pts

WAS

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs WAS: 26 pts

MIA

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs MIA: 11 pts

ATL

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs ATL: 7 pts

OKC

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs OKC: 13 pts

CHA

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs CHA: 4 pts

LAL

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs LAL: 12 pts

IND

2026-03-23

2026-03-23 vs IND: 21 pts

Over 9.8

Under 9.8

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 9.8

64%

REB

OVER 3.7

52%

AST

OVER 1.5

55%

3PM

OVER 1.5

58%

STL

OVER 0.9

54%

BLK

OVER 0.4

50%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.3

57%

OVER 0.8

51%

PRA

OVER 15

50%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

14.3

9.0

RPG

4.4

5.1

APG

1.9

2.4

vs CLE (H2H)6 games

PPG

7.5

RPG

2.3

APG

1.2

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Jabari Smith Jr.	2	18	75%	+21.6%	low
Bilal Coulibaly	4	17	41%	-11.8%	medium
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	5	11	67%	+13.2%	medium
Duncan Robinson	3	10	25%

Back-to-back minutes could cap upside, but usage losses keep da Silva in play

Tristan da Silva’s season line is 9.8 PPG, 3.7 RPG, and 1.5 APG over 24.5 MPG, but his recent role has grown with 13.3 PPG and 30.1 MPG over the last 10. Orlando is on a back-to-back, which adds some volatility, yet teammate absences from Anthony Black, Franz Wagner, and Jalen Suggs should keep him involved. The matchup is less ideal for scoring, as Cleveland’s opponent profile shows a 114.69 defensive rating and 0.159 scoring suppression, but da Silva already posted 23 points in the most recent meeting with Cleveland. His recent production has been stronger than season baseline, though the season average still matters more for projection given the variance.

Stat Trends

PPG

11.4(↑ from 9.8)

RPG

2.6(↓ from 3.7)

APG

1.6(→ from 1.5)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data beyond the listed key defenders. Cleveland’s opponent profile shows a 114.69 defensive rating, pace of 100, and 0.159 scoring suppression, while three suppression is listed at 1.105, which adds some resistance to scoring and perimeter volume.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Evolution	Actual	Result
Tristan da Silva▼	Points	9.8	OVER	64%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	9.5→9.8	18	✓
Tristan da Silva▼	Rebounds	3.7	OVER	52%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	3.5→3.7	6	✓
Tristan da Silva▼	Assists	1.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	1/2	60%		3	✓
Tristan da Silva▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	40%		3	✓
Tristan da Silva▼	Steals	0.9	OVER	54%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	0.5→0.9	0	✗
Tristan da Silva▼	Blocks	0.4	OVER	50%MEDIUM	—	40%	FLIP	0	✗
Tristan da Silva▼	STL+BLK	1.3	OVER	57%MEDIUM	—	50%	1.3→1.5	0	✗
Tristan da Silva▼	Turnovers	0.8	OVER	51%MEDIUM	—	40%	FLIP	1	✓
Tristan da Silva▼	PRA	15	OVER	50%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	14.5→15	27	✓

ML Scout Analysis

P+R17UNDER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

P+A15UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x7/2035%▼

R+A6.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%▼

Featured Pick

Tristan da Silva

Points OVER 9.8MEDIUM

The best case is driven by role: teammate absences and 30.1 MPG over the last 10 support a scoring bump, and he has already shown a 23-point ceiling against Cleveland. The risk is real because Orlando is on a back-to-back and Cleveland’s defense suppresses scoring, so this is more of a measured lean than a strong play.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Dean Wade	4	6	0	0%	0%
Sam Merrill	2	6	5	40%	50%
James Harden	2	5	3	25%	38%
Donovan Mitchell	4	4	9	36%	41%
Jaylon Tyson	3	4	2	33%	33%

pointsOVER 9.864%MEDIUM

His role has expanded with 30.1 MPG over the last 10 and teammate absences should keep him active. Cleveland’s scoring suppression and the back-to-back lower the ceiling, but 9.8 is still below his recent 13.3 PPG and he has a 23-point game vs this opponent.

reboundsOVER 3.752%MEDIUM

The season mean is 3.7 and his last 10 is 4.5, but the last 5 dipped to 2.6. With a relatively moderate line and steady minutes, this is playable, though the recent decline keeps confidence modest.

assistsOVER 1.555%MEDIUM

His season mean is 1.51 and last 10 is 2.4, with recent minutes up to 30.1 MPG. The range is wide, so this is not a strong edge, but the current role supports a slight lean over.

threesOVER 1.558%MEDIUM

He averages 1.63 made threes on the season and 1.6 over the last 10, with 2.0 fg3m over the last 20. Cleveland’s three suppression is noted, but his volume and recent consistency still point slightly over.

stealsOVER 0.954%MEDIUM

He averages 0.9 steals on the season and 1.3 over the last 10, so the category is live. The variance is high, but the baseline volume is enough to justify a lean over.

blocksOVER 0.450%MEDIUM

He averages 0.4 blocks on the season and 0.5 over the last 10. This is close to a coin flip, so the over is only a slight lean.

stocksOVER 1.357%MEDIUM

His season average is 1.29 stocks and the last 20 is 1.7, with 1.8 over the last 10. That recent defensive production supports an over, though the standard deviation suggests moderate confidence only.

turnoversOVER 0.851%MEDIUM

He is at 0.8 turnovers over the last 10 and 0.8 over the last 20, matching a low but stable baseline. This is a narrow projection and not a strong edge.

praOVER 1550%MEDIUM

His season PRA from the provided averages is 15.0, but combo props carry extra variance and his recent line is elevated mainly by minutes. Because PRA props hit below average historically, this stays near neutral.

timelineOVER 9.8 PTS