NightlyHoops / 2026-03-25 / OKC vs BOS AI Model: NightlyHoops Board Haiku v2-gpt-5.4-mini Gemini Flash v3-gemini-flash-lite v3-gpt-4.1-nano GPT-5.4m
OKC
Oklahoma City Thunder
57-15 | L10: 10-0
@
BOS
Boston Celtics
47-24 | L10: 6-4
2026-03-25
Version History 3 versions
v3
Full Run 7:34 PM 12 changes
[Full run] 1 pick flipped (Jaylen Brown), 2 lines moved, 1 confidence change, 2 new props, 2 props removed, 2 new best bets, 2 best bets removed
expand_more
v2
Full Run 12:10 PM 8 changes
[Full run] 2 picks flipped (Isaiah Hartenstein, Jayson Tatum), 1 new prop, 1 prop removed, 2 new best bets, 2 best bets removed
expand_more v1
Full Run 10:08 AM Initial prediction
ML Game Intelligence HIGH OKC 103 - 102 BOS
Key Factors
* Thunder outscores opponents by +15.7 PPG vs Celtics's +7.1* Thunder has positional advantages with deeper rotation (231.7 vs 220.4 depth)* Celtics playing at home where they're 65% winners* Season series tied 5-6 between Celtics and Thunder* Thunder (85% win rate) is 21% better than Celtics (65%)Key Matchup
Thunder has matchup advantages
Key Defensive Matchups OKC Players
Isaiah Hartenstein
Neemias Queta 1g · 6m +0.0% 80% eFG low
Jayson Tatum 1g · 1m +0.0% 33% eFG low
Luka Garza 1g · 1m +0.0% 100% eFG low
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Baylor Scheierman 2g · 9m +0.0% 90% eFG low
Hugo González 2g · 7m +0.0% 50% eFG low
The Thunder enter at 57-15 and on a 12-game streak, while Boston is 47-24 and has gone 6-4 over its last 10, so this is a top-end matchup with OKC carrying the hotter form. Boston has had 3 days of rest to Oklahoma City’s 2, and both teams are on just their second game in 7 days, which should keep the key rotation pieces active but still makes usage efficiency important.
Key Players Prop Picks Player Prop Line Pick Confidence Trend Evolution Edge Actual Result Jayson Tatum▼
BOS
Points 23.5 draftkings OVER 78% HIGH 30% FLIP +14.1% 19 ✗ Shai Gilgeous-Alexander▼
OKC
Points 31.5 stake UNDER 61% MEDIUM 60% — 0.0% 33 ✗ Chet Holmgren▼
OKC
Rebounds 8.5 draftkings OVER 77% HIGH 80% — +5.0% 5 ✗ Jaylen Brown▼
BOS
Points 29.5 stake OVER 57% MEDIUM 40% FLIP 0.0% 31 ✓ Luguentz Dort▼
OKC
Points 7.5 stake UNDER 76% HIGH 70% 7.5→9.5 0.0% 14 ✗
Model Comparison 7 models · 30 props compared
Sort: Confidence Consensus Player
Show: All (30) 90%+ (0) 80%+ (21) 70%+ (28) 50%+ (30)
Props Shown
30
30 total on slate
Unanimous
23
Full agreement across submitted picks
Jayson Tatum BOS 3PM 3.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 89%
Unanimous UNDER Actual 3 · Hit Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini
UNDER 3.5
Elite confidence
89%
Isaiah Hartenstein OKC REB 9.5 4/7 models submitted Best confidence 88%
Unanimous OVER Actual 5 · Miss Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Luguentz Dort OKC BLK 0.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 88%
Unanimous UNDER Actual 1 · Miss Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini
UNDER 0.5
Elite confidence
88% v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Jaylen Brown BOS BLK 0.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 86%
Unanimous UNDER Awaiting result Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini
UNDER 0.5
Elite confidence
86% v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Chet Holmgren OKC BLK 2.5 3/7 models submitted Best confidence 86%
2/3 lean UNDER Actual 0 · Hit Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini
UNDER 2.5
Elite confidence
86%
Jayson Tatum BOS PTS 23.5 3/7 models submitted Best confidence 85%
Unanimous OVER Actual 19 · Miss Show notes
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano
OVER 25.5
Elite confidence
85% v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Luka Garza BOS BLK 0.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 85%
Unanimous UNDER Awaiting result Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash
UNDER 0.5
Elite confidence
85% v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Isaiah Hartenstein OKC R+A 10.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 85%
Unanimous OVER Awaiting result Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash
OVER 10.5
Elite confidence
85% v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Alex Caruso OKC BLK 0.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 85%
Unanimous UNDER Awaiting result Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash
UNDER 0.5
Elite confidence
85% v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Payton Pritchard BOS PTS 17.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 85%
Unanimous UNDER Awaiting result Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano
UNDER 17.5
Elite confidence
85% v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Luguentz Dort OKC AST 1.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 85%
Unanimous OVER Actual 0 · Miss Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Derrick White BOS AST 5.5 3/7 models submitted Best confidence 85%
2/3 lean OVER Actual 6 · Hit Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Jayson Tatum BOS AST 3.5 3/7 models submitted Best confidence 85%
2/3 lean OVER Actual 7 · Hit Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini
UNDER 3.5
Solid confidence
66% v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Luguentz Dort OKC PTS 7.5 2/7 models submitted Best confidence 85%
Split 1/2 OVER Actual 14 · Hit Show notes
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Sam Hauser BOS PTS 10.5 2/7 models submitted Best confidence 85%
Split 1/2 OVER Actual 9 · Miss Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku
UNDER 10.5
High confidence
78% v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano
OVER 10.5
Elite confidence
85% v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC BLK 0.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 84%
Unanimous UNDER Actual 0 · Hit Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Sam Hauser BOS 3PM 2.5 2/7 models submitted Best confidence 84%
Split 1/2 OVER Actual 3 · Hit Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Nikola Vučević BOS PTS 15.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 82%
Unanimous UNDER Awaiting result Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini
UNDER 15.5
High confidence
82%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC AST 6.5 2/7 models submitted Best confidence 80%
Unanimous OVER Actual 8 · Hit Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Ajay Mitchell OKC BLK 0.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 80%
Unanimous UNDER Awaiting result Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Payton Pritchard BOS AST 4.5 2/7 models submitted Best confidence 80%
Split 1/2 OVER Awaiting result Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Derrick White BOS 3PM 2.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 79%
Unanimous UNDER Actual 2 · Hit Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Chet Holmgren OKC REB 8.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 77%
Unanimous OVER Actual 5 · Miss Show notes
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Jaylen Brown BOS PTS 29.5 3/7 models submitted Best confidence 75%
Unanimous OVER Actual 31 · Hit Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini
OVER 29.5
Solid confidence
57% Haiku
OVER 29.5
Solid confidence
62% v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Payton Pritchard BOS 3PM 2.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 75%
Unanimous OVER Awaiting result Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Baylor Scheierman BOS AST 2.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 75%
Unanimous OVER Awaiting result Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC 3PM 1.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 74%
Unanimous OVER Actual 3 · Hit Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Alex Caruso OKC STL 1.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 70%
Unanimous OVER Awaiting result Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Alex Caruso OKC PTS 7.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 63%
Unanimous UNDER Awaiting result Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini
UNDER 7.5
Solid confidence
63%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC PTS 31.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 61%
Unanimous UNDER Actual 33 · Miss Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini
UNDER 31.5
Solid confidence
61% Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Featured Picks Jayson Tatum Points OVER 23.5 HIGH
The value board shows a 14.1% edge at 23.5 on DraftKings with 26.52 EV per 100, and Tatum’s historical line versus OKC is 29.22 PPG across 9 games. Even with the season average at 19.1 PPG, the matchup history and current usage support the over.
Chet Holmgren Rebounds OVER 8.5 HIGH
Holmgren averages 8.98 RPG for the season and 10.0 RPG over his last 10, while the book line is 8.5 with a 5.0% edge and 10.05 EV per 100. The rebound profile is stable enough to trust more than his points market.
Luguentz Dort Points UNDER 7.5 HIGH
Dort has only 4.4 PPG over his last 5 and 6.3 over his last 10, so the line is above both current form and season trend. The recent usage dip makes the under the most appealing side.
Parlay of the Game Jayson Tatum — Points OVER 23.5 Leg 1
Chet Holmgren — Rebounds OVER 8.5 Leg 2
Luguentz Dort — Points UNDER 7.5 Leg 3
This parlay combines one high-usage Boston scoring angle, one Oklahoma City rebounding angle, and one OKC role-player under. The legs are not directly dependent on each other, and the Tatum/Holmgren pieces both have stronger data support than the rest of the board.
Injury & Lineup Notes Charles Bassey has injury status listed as Unknown, Nikola Vučević also has injury status listed as Unknown, and several other players are marked Available. No other injury impacts are provided in the game data.
Player Deep Dives This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.
