AI Model:

Derrick White▼

BOS · PG

PPG

17.3

RPG

4.5

APG

5.5

L5 PPG

15.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-2.1

17.3

15.2

RPG+0.9

4.5

5.4

APG-2.5

5.5

3.0

SPG+0.8

1.2

2.0

BPG-0.6

1.4

0.8

OVER 16.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

16.5

MIL

2026-03-02

2026-03-02 vs MIL: 18 pts

CHA

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs CHA: 29 pts

DAL

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs DAL: 20 pts

CLE

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs CLE: 6 pts

SAS

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs SAS: 34 pts

WAS

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs WAS: 15 pts

PHX

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs PHX: 21 pts

GSW

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs GSW: 11 pts

MEM

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs MEM: 14 pts

MIN

2026-03-22

2026-03-22 vs MIN: 15 pts

Over 16.5

Under 16.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 16.5DRAFTKINGS

56%

REB

OVER 4.5DRAFTKINGS

52%

AST

UNDER 5.5DRAFTKINGS

66%

3PM

UNDER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

69%

STL

UNDER 1.5

60%

BLK

UNDER 1.5

72%

STL+BLK

UNDER 2.5

64%

OVER 1.6

58%

P+A

UNDER 23.5STAKE

61%

P+R

OVER 23.5STAKE

54%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

17.5

18.2

RPG

4.1

4.8

APG

4.7

6.6

vs OKC (H2H)9 games

PPG

12.6

RPG

3.8

APG

5.3

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
VJ Edgecombe	4	17	40%	-6.2%	medium
Desmond Bane	3	14	63%	+10.5%	medium
Tobias Harris	4	14	61%	+17.6%	medium
Kelly Oubre Jr.	4	12	31%

White’s scoring is steady, but the assist and threes markets look softer than the box-score name value

Derrick White enters with a season line of 17.3 PPG, 4.5 RPG, and 5.5 APG, but his last 5 has dipped to 15.2 points and 3.0 assists, signaling a cooler short-term stretch. His recent production still supports solid minutes at 33.4 MPG, yet the matchup data leans cautious: his 9-game history vs this opponent is only 12.6 PPG and 5.3 APG. With Oklahoma City showing a 107.47 defensive rating and a listed scoring suppression of -1.788, the safer angle is to shade toward his lower-volume outcomes rather than chase ceiling.

Stat Trends

PPG

15.2(↓ from 17.3)

APG

3.0(↓ from 5.5)

RPG

5.4(↑ from 4.5)

Key Matchup

He has no specific defender matchup data provided, so no specific defender matchup data. The opponent context is still relevant: Oklahoma City’s 107.47 defensive rating and -1.788 scoring suppression point to a tougher scoring environment than a neutral game.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Evolution	Actual	Result
Derrick White▼	Points	16.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	FLIP	12	✗
Derrick White▼	Rebounds	4.5	OVER	52%MEDIUM	1/2	60%		2	✗
Derrick White▼	Assists	5.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	2/2	80%		6	✗
Derrick White▼	3PM	2.5	UNDER	69%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	FLIP	2	✓
Derrick White▼	Steals	1.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	FLIP	0	✓
Derrick White▼	Blocks	1.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	2/2	90%		0	✓
Derrick White▼	STL+BLK	2.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	—	60%	2.5→3	0	✓
Derrick White▼	Turnovers	1.6	OVER	58%MEDIUM	—	50%	1.6→2	1	✗
Derrick White▼	P+A	23.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	23.5→24.5	18	✓
Derrick White▼	P+R	23.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	FLIP	14	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PTS13.5UNDER2%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)12/2060%▼

REB3.5UNDER4%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)15/2075%▼

3PM2.5UNDER10%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%No material changes▼

PRA22.5UNDER8%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%No material changes▼

AST4.5UNDER1%logisticWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x12/2060%Odds moved materially▼

BLK0.5UNDER6%logisticWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x12/2060%▼

P+R20.5UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 6x9/2045%▼

P+A21UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼

STL1.5UNDER56%logisticWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 6x5/2025%▼

R+A9.5UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%▼

Featured Pick

Derrick White

Threes UNDER 2.5HIGH

This is the best-supported angle in the data. The value props show a 9.5% edge with an under probability of 0.53, and his last 5 made threes at 2.4 are below the line. His season average of 2.82 is solid, but the market is asking for more than his recent form and the offered edge is clearly on the under.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Jalen Williams	1	2	0	0%	0%
Luguentz Dort	1	2	6	50%	75%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	1	2	7	100%	100%
Cason Wallace	1	1	0	0%	0%
Jaylin Williams	1	1	0	0%	0%

pointsOVER 16.556%MEDIUM

His season mean is 17.3 points and his last 10 is 18.3, both above 16.5. The recent dip to 15.2 is noted, but the line is still below his season baseline.

reboundsOVER 4.552%MEDIUM

White averages 4.5 rebounds on the season and 4.6 over the last 10, with a 5.4 last-5 bump. This is a near-fair number, so the edge is modest.

assistsUNDER 5.566%MEDIUM

His season average is 5.5 assists, but his last 5 has fallen to 3.0 and his last 10 sits at 4.3. He has also averaged just 5.333 APG in 9 games vs this opponent.

threesUNDER 2.569%MEDIUM

White averages 2.82 threes per game, but the value data gives the UNDER a 9.5% edge and a 0.53 win probability. His last 5 is only 2.4 made threes, which supports caution.

stealsUNDER 1.560%MEDIUM

He averages 1.2 steals on the season and 1.4 over the last 10, but the 1.5 line is above both baselines. His recent 2.0 steals in the last 5 is helpful, yet not enough to make the over strong.

blocksUNDER 1.572%HIGH

Even with a strong 1.4 season average, the 1.5 line is aggressive and his last 10 blocks average is only 0.7. The recent 0.8 over the last 5 does not fully offset the lower rolling baseline.

stocksUNDER 2.564%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 2.62, but the last 10 is 2.1 and the last 5 is 2.8. This is close enough to a coin flip that the safer lean is under if the market prices at 2.5 or higher.

turnoversOVER 1.658%MEDIUM

His season turnover rate is 1.6 and the last 5 has climbed to 2.4. The recent spike suggests this is a live over if the number is shaded around his season mark.

paUNDER 23.561%MEDIUM

His season points plus assists profile is 17.3 PPG and 5.5 APG, but the assist decline in the last 5 pulls this combo down. Combo props carry more variance, so the under is the cleaner side.

prOVER 23.554%MEDIUM

He averages 17.3 points and 4.5 rebounds, which totals 21.8, but his last 10 points are up to 18.3 and rebounds are stable. This is only a slight lean, not a strong position.

timelineOVER 16.5 PTS