AI Model:

Sam Hauser▼

BOS · SF

PPG

8.9

RPG

3.9

APG

1.5

L5 PPG

4.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-4.5

8.9

4.4

RPG-0.7

3.9

3.2

APG-0.3

1.5

1.2

SPG-0.3

0.5

0.2

BPG+0.1

0.3

0.4

UNDER 10.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

10.5

CHA

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs CHA: 3 pts

DAL

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs DAL: 6 pts

CLE

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs CLE: 15 pts

SAS

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs SAS: 11 pts

OKC

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs OKC: 8 pts

WAS

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs WAS: 12 pts

PHX

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs PHX: 2 pts

GSW

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs GSW: 6 pts

MEM

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs MEM: 0 pts

MIN

2026-03-22

2026-03-22 vs MIN: 2 pts

Over 10.5

Under 10.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 10.5STAKE

68%

REB

UNDER 4.5STAKE

56%

AST

UNDER 1.5STAKE

60%

3PM

UNDER 1.5STAKE

59%

BLK

UNDER 0.5STAKE

62%

STL

UNDER 0.5STAKE

63%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

66%

UNDER 0.5

70%

PRA

UNDER 15.5STAKE

58%

P+A

UNDER 12.5STAKE

57%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

6.6

10.3

RPG

3.6

4.4

APG

1.2

1.8

vs OKC (H2H)9 games

PPG

5.0

RPG

1.8

APG

0.2

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Jalen Johnson	3	12	50%	-3.3%	medium
Kelly Oubre Jr.	4	11	75%	+8.2%	medium
Cooper Flagg	2	9	33%	-8.5%	low
Andrew Wiggins	3	7	61%

Hauser’s recent slide points to a cautious scoring outlook

Sam Hauser’s season line is modest at 8.9 PPG, but his recent form has cooled to 4.4 PPG over the last 5 and 6.5 over the last 10, well below his season average. He also has a strong home/away split, with 6.6 PPG at home versus 10.3 away, and tonight is at home in Boston. Against Oklahoma City specifically, his history is muted at 5.0 PPG, 1.78 RPG, and just 14.8 MPG across 9 games, which supports a conservative projection.

Stat Trends

PPG

4.4(↓ from 8.9)

RPG

3.2(↓ from 3.9)

APG

1.2(↓ from 1.5)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data beyond the listed key defenders. Oklahoma City’s scoring suppression is -1.788 and three-point suppression is 0.729, while Hauser’s own head-to-head output versus this opponent is only 5.0 PPG and 1.777777777777778 RPG across 9 games.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Evolution	Actual	Result
Sam Hauser▼	Points	10.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	70%		9	✓
Sam Hauser▼	Rebounds	4.5	UNDER	56%MEDIUM	2/2	60%		5	✗
Sam Hauser▼	Assists	1.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	70%		0	✓
Sam Hauser▼	3PM	1.5	UNDER	59%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	1.5→2.5	3	✗
Sam Hauser▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	—	70%		0	✓
Sam Hauser▼	Steals	0.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	—	70%		0	✓
Sam Hauser▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	—	70%		0	✓
Sam Hauser▼	Turnovers	0.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	—	80%	0.5→2	0	✓
Sam Hauser▼	PRA	15.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	—	14	✓
Sam Hauser▼	P+A	12.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	70%		9	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PTS8.5UNDER11%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%No material changes▼

3PM2.5UNDER18%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)7/2035%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW; Value edge changed -0.035; Odds moved materially▼

PRA12.5UNDER9%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)11/2055%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW; Line moved -1.0▼

P+R13UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)8/2040%▼

P+A10UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)8/2040%▼

REB3.5UNDER12%logisticWeak Leg (10/20)12/2060%Value edge changed +0.033; Odds moved materially▼

R+A5UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (10/20)6/2030%▼

Featured Pick

Sam Hauser

Points UNDER 10.5HIGH

This is the cleanest angle because his season scoring average is 8.9, his last 5 has fallen to 4.4, and his historical production against Oklahoma City is only 5.0 PPG. The 10.5 line is well above every relevant baseline, making the under the strongest single prop on the board.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Luguentz Dort	2	4	3	100%	150%
Chet Holmgren	2	4	14	80%	90%
Ajay Mitchell	2	3	0	0%	0%
Jaylin Williams	2	1	0	0%	0%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	2	1	10	100%	125%

pointsUNDER 10.568%MEDIUM

His season mean is 8.93 points and his last 5 is only 4.4, while his head-to-head vs Oklahoma City is 5.0 PPG across 9 games. With the posted line at 10.5, the under aligns with both recent form and matchup history.

reboundsUNDER 4.556%MEDIUM

He averages 3.85 rebounds on the season and 3.2 over the last 5, both below 4.5. Although his last 10 rebounds are 4.3 and the value data shows a 3.5 line with positive over edge, the 4.5 market is still a tougher ask.

assistsUNDER 1.560%MEDIUM

Hauser’s season assist mean is 1.46 and his last 5 is 1.2, so the 1.5 line sits just above his baseline. With low usage and only 1.1 assists over the last 10, the under is the safer side.

threesUNDER 1.559%MEDIUM

His season three-point makes average is 2.5, but recent production has dipped to 1.9 over the last 10 and 1.2 over the last 5. The value data also lists the under as the best side at multiple books on this line.

blocksUNDER 0.562%MEDIUM

He averages only 0.3 blocks per game on the season and 0.4 over the last 5, so clearing 0.5 requires an above-average defensive night. The line is priced like a coin flip, but the under is more consistent with his profile.

stealsUNDER 0.563%MEDIUM

Hauser’s season steals average is 0.5, but his last 5 is only 0.2 and last 10 is 0.5. With the line at 0.5, the under is slightly preferable given the recent dip and low event rate.

stocksUNDER 1.566%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 0.87 and recent form is 0.9, both far below 1.5. This combo is too high relative to his normal defensive production.

turnoversUNDER 0.570%HIGH

He averages just 0.2 turnovers on the season and 0.2 over the last 10. That makes the under the clear lean if this market is available.

praUNDER 15.558%MEDIUM

His season PRA sits at 14.2 using 8.9 points, 3.9 rebounds, and 1.5 assists, while recent form is even lower. Combo props carry more variance, but the under is still supported by his downtrend.

paUNDER 12.557%MEDIUM

Points plus assists project to 10.4 on season averages, and his recent form is 5.6 plus 1.2 over the last 5 for a weaker scoring profile. The line needs a rebound in shot volume that has not shown up lately.

timelineUNDER 10.5 PTS