AI Model:
C
Oscar Tshiebwe▲
UTA · C
PPG
5.7
RPG
4.8
APG
0.8
L5 PPG
9.0
Last 10 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+3.3
5.7
9.0
RPG+1.4
4.8
6.2
APG0.0
0.8
0.8
SPG+0.3
0.5
0.8
BPG+0.2
0.2
0.4
UNDER 5.5 PTS
Last 10 games
3
Current Streak
3
Longest Streak
OVER
Streak Type
5.5
2
PHI
2026-03-04
2026-03-04 vs PHI: 2 pts
6
MIL
2026-03-07
2026-03-07 vs MIL: 6 pts
10
GSW
2026-03-09
2026-03-09 vs GSW: 10 pts
2
NYK
2026-03-11
2026-03-11 vs NYK: 2 pts
8
POR
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs POR: 8 pts
9
SAC
2026-03-15
2026-03-15 vs SAC: 9 pts
5
MIN
2026-03-18
2026-03-18 vs MIN: 5 pts
7
MIL
2026-03-19
2026-03-19 vs MIL: 7 pts
8
PHI
2026-03-21
2026-03-21 vs PHI: 8 pts
16
TOR
2026-03-23
2026-03-23 vs TOR: 16 pts
Over 5.5
Under 5.5
Last 10 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 5.5
58%
REB
OVER 4.5
61%
AST
OVER 0.5
55%
STL+BLK
UNDER 1.5
64%
Home vs Away
Home
Away
PPG
7.8
6.2
RPG
6.0
5.7
APG
0.8
0.8
vs WAS (H2H)3 games
PPG
4.0
RPG
7.7
APG
1.0
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Clingan | 2 | 6 | 100% | +37.4% | low |
| Anthony Gill | 1 | 4 | 100% | +37.4% | low |
| Dylan Cardwell | 1 | 4 | 100% | +37.4% | low |
| Mitchell Robinson | 1 | 4 | 50% |
Minutes up, but scoring still capped by role and variance
Oscar Tshiebwe has trended up recently, with his last 5 at 9.0 PPG and 6.2 RPG versus season marks of 5.7 PPG and 4.8 RPG, while his minutes have risen to 17.4 MPG from 14.1 season-long. The matchup is appealing in spots because Washington is missing multiple frontcourt pieces, but his season-to-date scoring baseline and limited usage still keep his projection in a modest range. He has also been more productive at home, averaging 7.8 PPG and 6.0 RPG in 11 home games, which supports the floor more than the ceiling. Overall, the rebound outlook is steadier than the points outlook, and the high variance in his scoring profile argues for a cautious lean.
Stat Trends
PPG
9.0(↑ from 5.7)
RPG
6.2(↑ from 4.8)
APG
0.8(→ from 0.8)
Key Matchup
No specific defender matchup data. Washington has a weak-looking defense profile with a 124.36 defensive rating and multiple absences, but Tshiebwe's own role limits how much that can translate into consistent box score production.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Evolution | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oscar Tshiebwe▼ | Points | 5.5 | UNDER | 58%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 30% | FLIP | 7 | ✗ |
Oscar Tshiebwe▼ | Rebounds | 4.5 | OVER | 61%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 70% | 8 | ✓ | |
Oscar Tshiebwe▼ | Assists | 0.5 | OVER | 55%MEDIUM | — | 70% | 4 | ✓ | |
Oscar Tshiebwe▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 64%MEDIUM | — | 80% | 0 | ✓ |
ML Scout Analysis
PTS8UNDER3%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (9/20)5/1828%▼
REB7UNDER23%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)6/1833%▼
PRA15UNDER15%gbt_praWeak Leg (9/20)7/1839%▼
P+R14UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)8/1844%▼
P+A9UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (9/20)6/1833%▼
FTA2UNDER23%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)6/1833%▼
AST1UNDER7%gbt_assistsAvoid (7/20)4/1822%▼
FTM1UNDER43%gbtAvoid (7/20)UNDER 5x5/1828%▼
R+A7.5OVER0%gbt_raAvoid (7/20)9/1850%▼
Featured Pick
Oscar Tshiebwe
Rebounds OVER 4.5MEDIUM
This is the cleanest angle because his season average is 4.8 RPG, his last 5 is 6.2 RPG, and he is getting more minutes recently. The frontcourt absences on Washington's side improve the rebound environment, while the line is still low enough to clear without needing a huge usage spike.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.