Anthony Gill▲

WAS · C

PPG

4.5

RPG

2.6

APG

1.0

L5 PPG

7.4

Last 10 GamesREB

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+2.9

4.5

7.4

RPG+2.2

2.6

4.8

APG+0.4

1.0

1.4

SPG+1.1

0.5

1.6

BPG+0.4

0.4

0.8

UNDER 4.5 REB

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

4.5

UTA

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs UTA: 3 reb

NOP

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs NOP: 2 reb

MIA

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs MIA: 5 reb

ORL

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs ORL: 2 reb

BOS

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs BOS: 0 reb

GSW

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs GSW: 8 reb

DET

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs DET: 1 reb

DET

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs DET: 5 reb

OKC

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs OKC: 5 reb

NYK

2026-03-22

2026-03-22 vs NYK: 5 reb

Over 4.5

Under 4.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

REB

UNDER 4.5DRAFTKINGS

86%

PTS

UNDER 7.5DRAFTKINGS

62%

AST

OVER 1

54%

3PM

UNDER 0.5

67%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

58%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

6.9

7.9

RPG

4.3

3.6

APG

2.4

1.7

vs UTA (H2H)6 games

PPG

4.2

RPG

0.8

APG

0.5

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Ryan Kalkbrenner	2	8	75%	+12.9%	low
Jaxson Hayes	2	7	100%	+37.9%	low
John Konchar	2	6	50%	-12.1%	low
Bam Adebayo	2	5	27%

Gill’s minutes are elevated, but the rebound under remains the cleanest angle

Anthony Gill’s recent role has clearly expanded, with his minutes jumping from a season mark of 14.5 to 22.7 over the last 10 and 24.8 over the last 5. That has pushed his scoring and stock production up, but his season-long baseline remains modest at 4.5 PPG and 2.6 RPG, and his recent scoring surge is volatile. With multiple Wizards absences helping keep him in the rotation, his usage can spike, but his head-to-head numbers vs Utah are still light at 4.17 PPG and 0.83 RPG in 6 games. The strongest read is that his rebound line is still too high relative to his season and matchup profile.

Stat Trends

PPG

7.4(↑ from 4.5)

RPG

4.8(↑ from 2.6)

APG

1.4(↑ from 1.0)

Key Matchup

The matchup data does not provide strong specific defender detail, so there is no specific defender matchup data. Utah’s team defense profile shows a 125.06 defensive rating and 1.403 three suppression, which is not a strong environment for stable scoring or perimeter volume.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Anthony Gill▼	Rebounds	4.5	UNDER	86%HIGH	2/2	50%	6	✗
Anthony Gill▼	Points	7.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	8	✗
Anthony Gill▼	Assists	1	OVER	54%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	5	✓
Anthony Gill▼	3PM	0.5	UNDER	67%MEDIUM	—	70%	0	✓
Anthony Gill▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	—	50%	0	✗

ML Scout Analysis

REB5UNDER24%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x3/1916%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Scorecard changed -3.0▼

P+R13.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)8/1942%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

P+A11.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)8/1942%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

PTS8OVER32%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (10/20)9/1947%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Scorecard changed -3.0▼

PRA14OVER31%gbt_praWeak Leg (10/20)9/1947%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Scorecard changed -3.0▼

AST2OVER17%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 3x9/1947%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW; Scorecard changed -3.0▼

3PA1UNDER18%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x6/1932%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW; Scorecard changed -3.0▼

R+A6.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 3x10/1953%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

Featured Pick

Anthony Gill

Rebounds UNDER 4.5HIGH

This is the cleanest edge on the board: the value props list a 25.3% best edge and 0.784 under probability at 4.5 rebounds. Gill’s season average is only 2.6 rebounds, and even his improved recent run does not fully close the gap to this line.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
John Konchar	2	6	2	50%	50%
Cody Williams	2	3	2	33%	33%
Mo Bamba	1	2	0	0%	0%
Blake Hinson	2	2	9	75%	88%
Oscar Tshiebwe	1	2	4	50%	50%

reboundsUNDER 4.586%HIGH

His season mean is 2.62 rebounds and the value data shows a 0.784 probability on the under with a 25.3% best edge. Even with recent minutes growth, the season baseline and vs-opponent rebound mark of 0.83 RPG both point below this line.

pointsUNDER 7.562%MEDIUM

Gill is averaging 4.5 PPG on the season, and the value data still favors the under at 59.8% despite a stronger last-5 run. His recent 7.4 PPG is above his season average, so regression risk is real if his minutes dip back toward his longer-term range.

assistsOVER 154%MEDIUM

He has averaged 1.05 assists on the season and 1.4 over the last 5, with 2.0 APG over the last 20. The role boost from teammate absences supports a small lean over, but the variance is still high.

threesUNDER 0.567%MEDIUM

Gill’s season average is just 0.24 threes per game and his last 10 is only 0.4. He has not shown stable volume from deep, so the under is preferred.

stocksOVER 1.558%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 0.9, but the last 5 has climbed to 2.4 and the last 10 sits at 1.4. The recent defensive activity supports an over look, though the category remains volatile.

timelineUNDER 4.5 REB