Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Alvarado | 3 | 6 | 40% | +0.3% | medium |
| Leonard Miller | 2 | 5 | 50% | +10.3% | low |
| Cooper Flagg | 2 | 5 | 33% | -6.4% | low |
| Reed Sheppard | 2 | 5 | 50% |
Rayan Rupert’s season numbers are modest at 4.2 PPG, 2.5 RPG, and 0.8 APG, but his recent role has clearly expanded with 10.0 PPG, 5.2 RPG, and 30.6 MPG over the last 5 games. That said, the trend is down from the last 10 and last 20 windows, and his recent scoring has been volatile with a 0-point outing in his last game. The absences on Memphis help his minutes outlook, but his head-to-head history vs this opponent is still muted at 2.5 PPG and 11.2 MPG across 6 games, which keeps the scoring ceiling in check.
No specific defender matchup data. The opponent profile shows a defensive rating of 111.69 with pace at 100, plus three suppression of -0.513, while Rupert’s vs-opponent production has been only 2.5 PPG and 0.833 RPG across 6 games.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rayan Rupert▼ | Points | 4.5 | UNDER | 66%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 20% |
Rayan Rupert▼ | Rebounds | 2.5 | OVER | 64%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 90% |
Rayan Rupert▼ | Assists | 0.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 80% |
Rayan Rupert▼ | 3PM | 0.5 | OVER | 60%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 90% |
Rayan Rupert▼ | Steals | 0.5 | OVER | 63%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 90% |
Rayan Rupert▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | UNDER | 71%HIGH | — | 70% |
Rayan Rupert▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | OVER | 67%MEDIUM | — | 60% |
Rayan Rupert▼ | Turnovers | 1.5 | UNDER | 69%MEDIUM | — | 60% |
Rayan Rupert▼ | PRA | 7.5 | OVER | 56%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 90% |
Rayan Rupert▼ | P+A | 5.5 | OVER | 55%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 70% |
Rayan Rupert▼ | P+R | 6.5 | OVER | 61%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 90% |
Rayan Rupert▼ | Double-Double | 0.5 | UNDER | 74%HIGH | — | — |
This is the cleanest angle because his rebound output has jumped to 5.2 RPG over the last 5 and 5.1 over the last 10 while minutes have risen to 30.6 and 29.2. Unlike scoring, rebounds are less exposed to his recent volatility, and a 2.5 line is well below his current role-based production.
| low |
| Pat Spencer | 4 | 4 | 100% | +60.3% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox | 2 | 3 | 6 | 40% | 40% |
| Stephon Castle | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Lindy Waters III | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Dylan Harper | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Julian Champagnie | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
His season mean is 4.2 PPG, and even though the last 5 jumped to 10.0, that comes with major volatility and a 0-point game most recently. With the last 20 at 7.2 PPG and a prior head-to-head average of 2.5 PPG, the under is safer.
Rupert’s recent rebound production is 5.2 RPG over the last 5 and 5.1 over the last 10, well above his 2.5 season mean. The minutes spike to 29.2 in recent games supports clearing a low rebound line.
He is averaging 0.8 APG on the season and 1.1 APG over the last 10, which is enough to favor the over on a low line. The role increase has lifted his recent minutes and overall involvement.
Rupert averages 0.64 made threes per game on the season and 1.5 over the last 5, so a half-line is reachable. His recent 3-point volume at 1.6 attempts per game over the last 5 also supports the over.
He averages 0.7 steals per game on the season and 1.2 over the last 10, which is strong enough for a low steals line. Recent defensive activity has been a consistent part of his increased role.
His season average is just 0.1 blocks per game, and even the recent 0.4 last-5 mark is still low. The overall profile does not support an over on blocks.
Rupert’s season stocks average is 0.83, but he’s at 1.6 over the last 10 and 1.4 over the last 5 while playing nearly 30 minutes. The combined steal/block activity gives him a reasonable path to a low stocks line.
He averages 1.3 turnovers on the last 20 and 1.2 over the last 10, so the turnover baseline is not high. Even with expanded minutes, his ball-handling load is still limited.
His recent form points to more aggregate production, with 9.7 PPG, 5.1 RPG, and 1.1 APG over the last 10. But combo props carry more variance, so confidence stays modest.
Rupert’s recent 9.7 PPG and 1.1 APG last 10 create enough scoring-plus-assist volume for a low combo line. The scoring volatility makes this only a medium-confidence lean.
Combining his 10.0 PPG last 5 with 5.2 RPG last 5 gives solid upside if minutes stay elevated. The main risk is regression, but the volume is strong enough for a modest over lean.
He has not shown true double-double consistency, and his season averages are far below that threshold in points, rebounds, and assists. Even with the recent minutes bump, the profile is still not close to reliable double-double territory.