AI Model:

Cedric Coward▲

MEM · SF

PPG

13.4

RPG

6.2

APG

2.8

L5 PPG

13.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG0.0

13.4

RPG+0.4

6.2

6.6

APG-0.6

2.8

2.2

SPG0.0

0.6

BPG+0.2

0.4

0.6

UNDER 13.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

13.5

MIN

2026-02-02

2026-02-02 vs MIN: 14 pts

SAC

2026-02-04

2026-02-04 vs SAC: 5 pts

POR

2026-02-06

2026-02-06 vs POR: 11 pts

GSW

2026-02-09

2026-02-09 vs GSW: 2 pts

MIN

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs MIN: 15 pts

LAC

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs LAC: 15 pts

PHI

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs PHI: 13 pts

DET

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs DET: 7 pts

CHI

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs CHI: 17 pts

DEN

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs DEN: 15 pts

Over 13.5

Under 13.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 13.5STAKE

58%

REB

UNDER 6.5STAKE

56%

AST

OVER 2.5STAKE

60%

3PM

UNDER 1.5

63%

STL

OVER 0.5STAKE

52%

BLK

UNDER 0.5STAKE

66%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

54%

OVER 2

57%

P+R

UNDER 20.5STAKE

61%

R+A

OVER 9.5STAKE

58%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

14.8

11.0

RPG

5.9

5.3

APG

2.1

3.0

vs SAS (H2H)2 games

PPG

14.0

RPG

7.0

APG

0.5

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Saddiq Bey	4	18	66%	+5.8%	medium
Donte DiVincenzo	4	13	100%	+23.2%	medium
Jabari Smith Jr.	3	11	83%	+19.9%	medium
Kevin Durant	3	10	17%

Coward’s role is secure, but the scoring line looks slightly rich

Cedric Coward is playing a steady starting role with season averages of 13.4 points, 6.2 rebounds, and 2.8 assists across 26.1 MPG. His recent scoring is flatter than the season mark: 13.4 PPG in the last 5, 11.4 in the last 10, and 12.7 in the last 20, which suggests the 13.5-point line is fairly priced rather than cheap. The biggest boost comes from Memphis absences, with multiple high-usage teammates out, while the matchup environment also supports efficiency less on threes than usual because the opponent's three suppression is -0.513. With his recent minutes sitting at 23.3 MPG, the safest angle leans toward efficiency and secondary categories rather than forcing overs.

Stat Trends

PPG

13.4(→ from 13.4)

RPG

6.6(↑ from 6.2)

APG

2.2(↓ from 2.8)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data is provided. The opponent context shows a defensive rating of 111.69, pace of 100, and three suppression of -0.513, which is more relevant for shooting efficiency than for direct defender analysis.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Cedric Coward▼	Points	13.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	12	✓
Cedric Coward▼	Rebounds	6.5	UNDER	56%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	1	✓
Cedric Coward▼	Assists	2.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	4	✓
Cedric Coward▼	3PM	1.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	2	✗
Cedric Coward▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	52%MEDIUM	—	50%	0	✗
Cedric Coward▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	—	50%	0	✓
Cedric Coward▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	54%MEDIUM	—	70%	0	✓
Cedric Coward▼	Turnovers	2	OVER	57%MEDIUM	—	30%	0	✗
Cedric Coward▼	P+R	20.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	13	✓
Cedric Coward▼	R+A	9.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	20%	5	✗

ML Scout Analysis

P+A15UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼

R+A7.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%▼

P+R17UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 4x8/2040%▼

Featured Pick

Cedric Coward

Assists OVER 2.5MEDIUM

This is the cleanest over on the board because his season mean is 2.8 APG and Memphis has several rotation absences that can keep the ball moving through him. The line is reachable without needing a spike game, unlike the more fragile combo props.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Julian Champagnie	3	10	11	57%	79%
Devin Vassell	3	4	3	25%	38%
Harrison Barnes	3	3	11	67%	92%
Keldon Johnson	2	3	2	50%	50%
Dylan Harper	2	2	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 13.558%MEDIUM

Season scoring is 13.4 PPG, but the last 10 is only 11.4 and recent minutes are down to 23.3. The current line sits just above his season mean, so the under is slightly preferred.

reboundsUNDER 6.556%MEDIUM

He averages 6.2 RPG for the season and 5.7 over the last 10, so 6.5 is a modestly high ask. His recent 6.6 in the last 5 is close, but not enough to make this an over lean.

assistsOVER 2.560%MEDIUM

He averages 2.8 APG on the season and 2.3 in the last 5, with 3.0 APG in away splits not applicable here but still solid baseline production. The absences around him support a higher passing load than his recent short-term number.

threesUNDER 1.563%MEDIUM

His season average is 1.48 made threes, last 10 is 1.1, and opponent three suppression is -0.513. That makes an over on 1.5 difficult to justify despite his home mean of 2.0.

stealsOVER 0.552%MEDIUM

He averages 0.6 steals per game on the season and 0.6 in the last 5. The line is low enough that a single steal clears it, but the volatility keeps confidence moderate.

blocksUNDER 0.566%MEDIUM

He averages only 0.4 blocks per game on the season, below the 0.5 line. Even though his last 5 block rate is 0.6, the season baseline still points under.

stocksUNDER 1.554%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.0, with recent data at 1.2. Because 1.5 requires both events to cooperate, this is a conservative under lean.

turnoversOVER 257%MEDIUM

He is at 2.1 turnovers per game on the season and 2.2 in the last 5. The role and usage environment make 2+ turnovers more likely than not.

prUNDER 20.561%MEDIUM

His season points plus rebounds total is 19.6 (13.4 + 6.2), which is below the 20.5 line. Recent form does not meaningfully clear that gap.

raOVER 9.558%MEDIUM

He averages 12.4 rebounds plus assists per game on the season (6.2 + 2.8), and recent rebounds have stayed near 6-plus. Even with assists down a bit lately, this line is well below his combined average.

timelineUNDER 13.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Coward’s role is secure, but the scoring line looks slightly rich

Stat Trends

Key Matchup

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

Featured Pick

UNDER 13.5 PTS