AI Model:

Isaiah Hartenstein▲

OKC · C

PPG

9.7

RPG

9.5

APG

3.8

L5 PPG

3.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-6.5

9.7

3.2

RPG+0.3

9.5

9.8

APG+1.6

3.8

5.4

SPG-0.4

1.0

0.6

BPG+0.2

0.8

1.0

UNDER 7.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

7.5

PHX

2026-02-11

2026-02-11 vs PHX: 8 pts

BKN

2026-02-20

2026-02-20 vs BKN: 10 pts

CLE

2026-02-22

2026-02-22 vs CLE: 13 pts

TOR

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs TOR: 11 pts

DEN

2026-02-27

2026-02-27 vs DEN: 9 pts

DAL

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs DAL: 7 pts

NYK

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs NYK: 0 pts

MIN

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs MIN: 0 pts

ORL

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs ORL: 0 pts

WAS

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs WAS: 9 pts

Over 7.5

Under 7.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 7.5FANDUEL

63%

REB

OVER 8.5FANDUEL

61%

AST

OVER 3.5FANDUEL

54%

3PM

UNDER 0.5

99%

BLK

OVER 0.5BETMGM

58%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

57%

OVER 1.5

56%

P+R

OVER 16.5FANDUEL

52%

R+A

OVER 11.5FANDUEL

60%

OVER 0.5

55%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

8.2

6.6

RPG

8.5

8.3

APG

5.4

3.3

vs PHI (H2H)14 games

PPG

7.3

RPG

6.9

APG

1.8

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Rudy Gobert	3	18	43%	-19.2%	medium
Luke Kornet	3	16	75%	+12.9%	medium
Deandre Ayton	3	15	57%	-5.0%	medium
Drew Eubanks	3	14	50%

Rebound floor looks strong, but scoring remains capped

Isaiah Hartenstein’s recent scoring has cooled sharply, with just 3.2 PPG over his last 5 and 6.7 over his last 10 versus a 9.7 season average. The rebound profile is steadier: he’s at 9.5 RPG for the season, 9.8 over the last 5, and has a strong history in this matchup at 6.93 RPG across 14 games. With Joel Embiid out and Philadelphia posting a 116.06 defensive rating, the environment supports interior production, but his lower recent minutes (22.3 last 10) keep the ceiling in check.

Stat Trends

PPG

3.2(↓ from 9.7)

RPG

9.8(→ from 9.5)

APG

5.4(↑ from 3.8)

Key Matchup

Philadelphia has a 116.06 defensive rating and Joel Embiid is out, which can help interior production. He has 14 games of head-to-head data against this opponent, averaging 7.29 PPG and 6.93 RPG, so there is no specific defender matchup data beyond the listed defenders.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Isaiah Hartenstein▼	Points	7.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	10	✗
Isaiah Hartenstein▼	Rebounds	8.5	OVER	61%MEDIUM	2/2	30%	12	✓
Isaiah Hartenstein▼	Assists	3.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	5	✓
Isaiah Hartenstein▼	3PM	0.5	UNDER	99%HIGH	—	100%	0	✓
Isaiah Hartenstein▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	—	60%	1	✓
Isaiah Hartenstein▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	—	60%	2	✓
Isaiah Hartenstein▼	Turnovers	1.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	—	20%	3	✓
Isaiah Hartenstein▼	P+R	16.5	OVER	52%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	22	✓
Isaiah Hartenstein▼	R+A	11.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	17	✓
Isaiah Hartenstein▼	Double-Double	0.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	—	—	—	—

ML Scout Analysis

PTS7.5UNDER14%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%▼

AST3.5OVER8%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 5x11/2055%+10.9% edge▼

PRA19.5OVER26%gbt_praWeak Leg (10/20)12/2060%+8.5% edge▼

R+A13.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

P+A11.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)10/2050%▼

STL1UNDER16%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (9/20)6/2030%▼

FTM1UNDER32%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)6/2030%▼

FTA2UNDER30%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%▼

REB8.5UNDER42%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼

P+R16OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (8/20)11/2055%▼

Featured Pick

Isaiah Hartenstein

Rebounds OVER 8.5HIGH

This is the cleanest profile on the card: 9.5 RPG for the season, 9.8 over the last 5, and 9.41 in home games. The 8.5 line is below his baseline, and the value data shows positive edge at multiple books, including 6.1% at FanDuel and 7.7% at DraftKings.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Adem Bona	2	7	2	100%	100%
Andre Drummond	2	5	3	100%	150%
Dominick Barlow	2	2	2	100%	100%
Paul George	1	0	3	100%	150%
Tyrese Maxey	1	0	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 7.563%MEDIUM

His season mean is 9.7, but the last 5 are only 3.2 and the last 10 are 6.7, showing clear scoring regression. The book line of 7.5 is below season average, but recent production and lower minutes make the UNDER the safer side.

reboundsOVER 8.561%MEDIUM

He averages 9.5 rebounds on the season and 9.8 over the last 5, so 8.5 is below his normal range. Value data also shows positive edge on rebounds at 8.5, including a 6.1% edge at FanDuel and 7.7% at DraftKings.

assistsOVER 3.554%MEDIUM

His assist profile has risen to 4.6 over the last 10 and 5.4 over the last 5 versus 3.8 for the season. The variance is high, but the current role points slightly toward the OVER.

threesUNDER 0.599%HIGH

He averages 0.0 threes per game for the season, with 0.0 in the last 5, last 10, and last 20. This is an extremely strong UNDER profile.

blocksOVER 0.558%MEDIUM

He averages 0.8 blocks per game on the season and 1.1 over the last 10, so 0.5 is a reachable threshold. The recent shot-blocking trend supports a modest OVER lean.

stocksOVER 1.557%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.77 and he’s at 1.8 over the last 10, both above 1.5. This is a steadier category than scoring, though still not high-confidence.

turnoversOVER 1.556%MEDIUM

He is at 1.6 turnovers over the last 20 and 1.0 over the last 10, so the baseline is near the 1.5 area. With his passing up recently, turnovers are a reasonable lean to the OVER.

prOVER 16.552%MEDIUM

His season points plus rebounds average is 19.2, driven mostly by rebounds, and the line of 16.5 sits below that mark. Recent scoring weakness adds risk, so this is only a small lean.

raOVER 11.560%MEDIUM

He averages 9.5 rebounds and 3.8 assists on the season, and his recent assist uptick pushes the combined profile higher. The 11.5 line is still reasonable, but his recent 5.4 APG supports the OVER.

double_doubleOVER 0.555%MEDIUM

He has strong double-double potential because rebounds are a stable 9.5 per game and recent assist production has also been strong. The low scoring recent form keeps this from being a top-confidence play.

timelineUNDER 7.5 PTS