AI Model:

Rui Hachimura▼

LAL · PF

PPG

11.1

RPG

3.2

APG

0.8

L5 PPG

5.8

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-5.3

11.1

5.8

RPG-0.8

3.2

2.4

APG-0.8

0.8

0.0

SPG-0.2

0.6

0.4

BPG+0.1

0.3

0.4

UNDER 12.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

12.5

DEN

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs DEN: 16 pts

IND

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs IND: 13 pts

NYK

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs NYK: 13 pts

MIN

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs MIN: 9 pts

CHI

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs CHI: 15 pts

DEN

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs DEN: 6 pts

HOU

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs HOU: 6 pts

HOU

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs HOU: 8 pts

MIA

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs MIA: 7 pts

ORL

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs ORL: 2 pts

Over 12.5

Under 12.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 12.5STAKE

90%

REB

UNDER 3.5STAKE

84%

AST

UNDER 1.5STAKE

88%

3PM

UNDER 1.5

73%

STL

UNDER 0.5STAKE

67%

BLK

UNDER 0.5STAKE

72%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

78%

OVER 0.5

61%

P+R

UNDER 15.5STAKE

82%

P+A

UNDER 12.5STAKE

86%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

10.3

7.8

RPG

2.9

2.0

APG

0.9

0.6

vs DET (H2H)10 games

PPG

10.1

RPG

3.1

APG

0.8

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Julius Randle	4	18	62%	+1.8%	medium
Saddiq Bey	3	11	63%	-1.1%	medium
P.J. Washington	3	10	57%	+6.0%	medium
Miles Bridges	2	10	79%

Rui Hachimura’s scoring outlook is capped by a clear downtrend and uncertain availability

Rui Hachimura has been trending down hard, with just 5.8 PPG over his last 5 games and 9.5 PPG over his last 10 versus an 11.1 season average. His minutes have also fallen to 20.4 in the last 5 from 28.5 on the season, which makes it difficult to trust his usual scoring volume. The matchup environment is mixed: Detroit’s team context is not a major scoring suppressor, but the opponent absences can only help if he plays, while his own status is listed as Out due to right calf soreness. Given the injury designation, the strongest projection is that he does not reach the listed player props if he suits up at all.

Stat Trends

PPG

5.8(↓ from 11.1)

RPG

2.4(↓ from 3.2)

APG

0.0(↓ from 0.8)

3PM

0.6(↓ from 1.7)

Key Matchup

Key defender data is limited here, so there is no specific defender matchup data. Detroit’s opponent profile shows a 109.53 defensive rating, 100 pace, and modest scoring suppression (-1.314), while the opponent absences include Cade Cunningham, Isaiah Stewart, Marcus Sasser, and Bobi Klintman out.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend
Rui Hachimura▼	Points	12.5	UNDER	90%HIGH	2/2	60%
Rui Hachimura▼	Rebounds	3.5	UNDER	84%HIGH	2/2	80%
Rui Hachimura▼	Assists	1.5	UNDER	88%HIGH	—	80%
Rui Hachimura▼	3PM	1.5	UNDER	73%HIGH	2/2	50%
Rui Hachimura▼	Steals	0.5	UNDER	67%MEDIUM	—	60%
Rui Hachimura▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	—	70%
Rui Hachimura▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	78%HIGH	—	100%
Rui Hachimura▼	Turnovers	0.5	OVER	61%MEDIUM	—	40%
Rui Hachimura▼	P+R	15.5	UNDER	82%HIGH	2/2	60%
Rui Hachimura▼	P+A	12.5	UNDER	86%HIGH	2/2	60%

ML Scout Analysis

PTS14.5UNDER54%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (13/20)3/2015%+33.5% edge▼

REB4.5UNDER50%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (13/20)3/2015%+25.3% edge▼

P+R12UNDER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (13/20)7/2035%▼

3PM2.5UNDER16%gbt_three_pmDecent Leg (12/20)4/2020%+11.3% edge▼

PRA10.5OVER7%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%▼

P+A10UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)7/2035%▼

3PA3UNDER0%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)9/2045%▼

R+A3UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)7/2035%▼

Featured Pick

Rui Hachimura

Points UNDER 12.5HIGH

This is the cleanest angle because the season average is 11.1 PPG, the last 5 have dropped to 5.8 PPG, and his minutes have slid to 20.4. The injury status listed as Out makes the under even stronger than the numbers alone.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

pointsUNDER 12.590%HIGH

He is averaging 11.1 PPG on the season but only 5.8 PPG over his last 5, with minutes down to 20.4. The injury status marked Out adds major downside to any scoring over.

reboundsUNDER 3.584%HIGH

His season average is 3.2 RPG and his last 5 are just 2.4 RPG. With reduced recent minutes and an Out designation, clearing 3.5 rebounds is unlikely.

assistsUNDER 1.588%HIGH

He averages only 0.8 APG on the season and 0.0 APG over the last 5 games. Even his recent and matchup-adjusted baselines sit well below 1.5.

threesUNDER 1.573%HIGH

He averages 1.72 threes per game on the season, but that falls to 0.6 over the last 5 with 25.5 recent MPG and just 0.6 fg3m per game in that span. The recent drop makes the under the safer side despite season volume.

stealsUNDER 0.567%MEDIUM

He is at 0.6 steals per game on the season and 0.4 over the last 5. With limited recent production and uncertain availability, the under is slightly preferred.

blocksUNDER 0.572%HIGH

He averages 0.3 blocks per game on the season and 0.4 over the last 5, which is not enough to justify an over at this line. His block volume remains modest overall.

stocksUNDER 1.578%HIGH

His season stocks average is 0.84 and last 5 is 0.8, both below this threshold. The combo of steals and blocks does not support an over.

turnoversOVER 0.561%MEDIUM

He has 0.4 turnovers per game on both the last 10 and last 20, but that is close enough to a 0.5 threshold to keep this playable on the over side if he logs minutes. Confidence stays modest because his role has been shrinking.

prUNDER 15.582%HIGH

His season points plus rebounds profile is 14.3 combined from 11.1 PPG and 3.2 RPG, and recent form is lower. Combo props carry extra variance, and his current form and injury status favor the under.

paUNDER 12.586%HIGH

He averages only 11.9 combined points and assists on the season, and just 5.8 PPG with 0.0 APG over the last 5. The line is above his typical output even before factoring the injury tag.

timelineUNDER 12.5 PTS