AI Model:

Ronald Holland II—

DET · PF

PPG

8.5

RPG

4.3

APG

1.3

L5 PPG

7.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-0.9

8.5

7.6

RPG-0.9

4.3

3.4

APG-0.7

1.3

0.6

SPG-0.4

1.2

0.8

BPG-0.1

0.3

0.2

UNDER 7.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

7.5

SAS

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs SAS: 10 pts

BKN

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs BKN: 6 pts

MIA

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs MIA: 5 pts

BKN

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs BKN: 16 pts

PHI

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs PHI: 15 pts

MEM

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs MEM: 12 pts

TOR

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs TOR: 2 pts

WAS

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs WAS: 11 pts

WAS

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs WAS: 2 pts

GSW

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs GSW: 11 pts

Over 7.5

Under 7.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 7.5STAKE

62%

REB

UNDER 4.5STAKE

64%

AST

UNDER 1.5STAKE

78%

3PM

UNDER 0.5

80%

STL

UNDER 1.5STAKE

70%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

83%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

58%

OVER 1

57%

P+R

UNDER 12.5STAKE

63%

P+A

UNDER 8.5STAKE

82%

R+A

UNDER 5.5STAKE

71%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

10.2

8.1

RPG

4.7

4.1

APG

0.8

1.0

vs LAL (H2H)3 games

PPG

11.0

RPG

5.0

APG

0.3

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
VJ Edgecombe	3	10	38%	-18.0%	medium
Kevin Huerter	3	7	29%	-14.4%	medium
Bub Carrington	4	7	83%	+23.7%	medium
Anfernee Simons	5	7	14%

Minutes look secure, but scoring upside is capped against a tougher defensive setup

Ronald Holland II is averaging 8.5 points, 4.3 rebounds, and 1.3 assists on 20.2 MPG this season, with his last 5 dipping to 7.6 points and 17.2 MPG. The key role boost comes from teammate absences, especially Cade Cunningham (24.5 PPG, 9.9 APG), Isaiah Stewart (10 PPG, 5.1 RPG), and Marcus Sasser, which should keep Holland in a steady rotation. Even so, his recent production has been volatile, and his season baseline is a better guide than the last-5 for a low-variance role player. Home splits are slightly better than away, but the data still points to a modest stat line rather than a breakout.

Stat Trends

PPG

7.6(↓ from 8.5)

RPG

3.4(↓ from 4.3)

APG

0.6(↓ from 1.3)

Key Matchup

The opponent defense data shows a 114.99 defensive rating, pace of 100, and a -0.078 scoring suppression with -0.486 three suppression. Key defender matchup data is available, but the provided defender list does not clearly create an obvious edge for his scoring or playmaking profile.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Ronald Holland II▼	Points	7.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	2	✓
Ronald Holland II▼	Rebounds	4.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	0	✓
Ronald Holland II▼	Assists	1.5	UNDER	78%HIGH	—	90%	1	✓
Ronald Holland II▼	3PM	0.5	UNDER	80%HIGH	—	80%	0	✓
Ronald Holland II▼	Steals	1.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	—	90%	0	✓
Ronald Holland II▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	83%HIGH	—	80%	0	✓
Ronald Holland II▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	—	70%	0	✓
Ronald Holland II▼	Turnovers	1	OVER	57%MEDIUM	—	20%	0	✗
Ronald Holland II▼	P+R	12.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	2	✓
Ronald Holland II▼	P+A	8.5	UNDER	82%HIGH	1/2	40%	3	✓
Ronald Holland II▼	R+A	5.5	UNDER	71%HIGH	2/2	80%	1	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PTS8UNDER25%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (13/20)8/1942%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

FTA2UNDER59%gbtDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 5x3/1916%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

PRA12UNDER45%gbt_praDecent Leg (13/20)9/1947%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved LOW to HIGH; Scorecard changed +2.0▼

P+A8UNDER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (13/20)9/1947%▼

R+A4UNDER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (12/20)9/1947%▼

3PA1UNDER3%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 3x9/1947%▼

FTM1UNDER45%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 5x7/1937%Confidence moved LOW to HIGH▼

P+R11OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)10/1953%▼

REB3UNDER14%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)8/1942%▼

Featured Pick

Ronald Holland II

Assists UNDER 1.5HIGH

This is the cleanest angle because his season average is 1.3 and his last 5 are only 0.6, with recent minutes down to 17.2. Even with additional usage available from teammate absences, his passing production has not meaningfully responded, making the under the most stable play.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Luka Dončić	2	4	10	60%	80%
Jake LaRavia	2	2	0	0%	0%
Maxi Kleber	1	1	0	0%	0%
Jarred Vanderbilt	2	1	0	0%	0%
Nick Smith Jr.	1	1	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 7.562%MEDIUM

His season mean is 8.5, but the last 5 are down to 7.6 points and his recent minutes are only 17.2. With a 4.38 season std and a 7.5 line, this is playable but still best leaned under.

reboundsUNDER 4.564%MEDIUM

He averages 4.3 rebounds on the season and just 3.4 over the last 5, while his recent minutes have slipped to 17.2. The home split is 4.7 RPG, but the season baseline still sits below the 4.5 line.

assistsUNDER 1.578%HIGH

His season average is only 1.3 assists and the last 5 are 0.6, so the under has clear support. Even with Cade Cunningham out, Holland's assist volume has not shown enough lift to justify the over.

threesUNDER 0.580%HIGH

He averages just 0.58 threes season-long and only 0.2 over the last 5, with recent 3PA volume minimal. The data points to low 3-point usage rather than a reliable made-three profile.

stealsUNDER 1.570%HIGH

He averages 1.2 steals on the season, but the 1.5 line is aggressive and his last 5 are 0.8. His stock production is solid, yet the higher steals line adds too much variance.

blocksUNDER 0.583%HIGH

His season average is only 0.3 blocks and the last 10 is 0.2, making 0.5 a strong under. The profile does not support frequent rim protection production.

stocksUNDER 1.558%MEDIUM

He averages 1.52 stocks on the season, but recent production is 0.9 over the last 5 and 1.1 over the last 20. Because the line is right around his season mean, this is only a slight under lean.

turnoversOVER 157%MEDIUM

He is at 1.0 turnovers over the last 5 and 1.0 in the season sample shown, so this is basically a push. With a low line and steady minutes, the over has a small edge.

prUNDER 12.563%MEDIUM

His season points plus rebounds profile is 12.71 combined, but recent form is weaker at 11.0 combined over the last 5. Given the modest minutes and recent decline, the under is the safer side.

paUNDER 8.582%HIGH

His season points plus assists is 9.76, but the last 5 drop to 8.2. The 8.5 line is slightly above his recent level and benefits from the assist under trend.

raUNDER 5.571%HIGH

He averages 5.56 rebounds plus assists on the season, but just 4.0 over the last 5. The combo line is right on his median range, so the recent dip nudges this under.

timelineUNDER 7.5 PTS