AI Model:

Luke Kennard▲

LAL · SG

PPG

8.1

RPG

2.2

APG

2.0

L5 PPG

4.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-3.9

8.1

4.2

RPG-0.8

2.2

1.4

APG-1.0

2.0

1.0

SPG-0.5

0.7

0.2

BPG-0.1

0.1

0.0

UNDER 7.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

7.5

DEN

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs DEN: 8 pts

IND

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs IND: 15 pts

NYK

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs NYK: 12 pts

MIN

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs MIN: 10 pts

CHI

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs CHI: 3 pts

DEN

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs DEN: 3 pts

HOU

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs HOU: 0 pts

HOU

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs HOU: 5 pts

MIA

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs MIA: 0 pts

ORL

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs ORL: 13 pts

Over 7.5

Under 7.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 7.5STAKE

72%

REB

UNDER 2.5STAKE

70%

AST

UNDER 2.5STAKE

68%

3PM

UNDER 1.5

60%

STL

UNDER 0.5STAKE

57%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

63%

OVER 0.5

58%

P+A

UNDER 10.5STAKE

66%

P+R

UNDER 10.5STAKE

64%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

9.2

7.1

RPG

2.5

1.7

APG

2.1

0.9

vs DET (H2H)11 games

PPG

9.5

RPG

3.4

APG

2.7

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Ben Sheppard	4	11	150%	+46.8%	medium
Gradey Dick	2	8	0%	-53.2%	low
Tim Hardaway Jr.	4	8	50%	-3.2%	medium
Kevin Huerter	4	8	100%

Kennard’s floor is shaky, but matchup absences keep role-driven upside alive

Luke Kennard’s season line sits at 8.1 PPG, 2.2 RPG, and 2.0 APG across 67 games, but his recent form has cooled hard with just 4.2 PPG over the last 5 and 6.9 PPG over the last 10. His minutes have held near his season norm at 20.4 MPG recently, yet the volatility is clear in the game log with multiple zero-point outings mixed in with a 13-point game. The matchup is still somewhat favorable for volume because the opponent is missing Cade Cunningham, Isaiah Stewart, and Marcus Sasser, which can shift possession and usage around. Still, the opponent’s scoring suppression and Kennard’s recent efficiency dip make the unders the more reliable side overall.

Stat Trends

PPG

4.2(↓ from 8.1)

RPG

1.4(↓ from 2.2)

APG

1.0(↓ from 2.0)

3PM

1.0(↓ from 1.6)

Key Matchup

He has no specific defender matchup data. The opponent defense shows a 109.53 defensive rating with -1.314 scoring suppression and -1.08 three suppression, while opponent absences include Cade Cunningham, Isaiah Stewart, and Marcus Sasser, which can change usage distribution.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Luke Kennard▼	Points	7.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	2/2	50%	6	✓
Luke Kennard▼	Rebounds	2.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	80%	3	✗
Luke Kennard▼	Assists	2.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	90%	2	✓
Luke Kennard▼	3PM	1.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	1	✓
Luke Kennard▼	Steals	0.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	—	70%	0	✓
Luke Kennard▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	—	90%	0	✓
Luke Kennard▼	Turnovers	0.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	—	40%	0	✗
Luke Kennard▼	P+A	10.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	8	✓
Luke Kennard▼	P+R	10.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	9	✓

ML Scout Analysis

REB3.5UNDER27%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (14/20)OVER 2x4/2020%+29.0% edge▼

3PM2.5UNDER2%gbt_three_pmDecent Leg (14/20)UNDER 3x6/2030%+19.5% edge▼

PTS14.5UNDER27%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (13/20)4/2020%+29.5% edge▼

P+R11UNDER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (13/20)8/2040%▼

PRA23.5UNDER31%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)2/2010%+37.6% edge▼

AST4.5UNDER65%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (11/20)2/2010%+35.9% edge▼

P+A10.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)8/2040%▼

3PA3.5OVER6%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x10/2050%▼

R+A5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x5/2025%▼

Featured Pick

Luke Kennard

Points UNDER 7.5MEDIUM

His season average is 8.1 PPG, but the last 5 has fallen to 4.2 and the last 10 is 6.9. With the line set at 7.5 and his recent shot volume and scoring both trending down, this is the cleanest angle.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Javonte Green	4	7	2	0%	0%
Duncan Robinson	3	4	0	0%	0%
Kevin Huerter	1	3	2	100%	100%
Caris LeVert	3	3	2	100%	100%
Jaden Ivey	2	3	2	25%	25%

pointsUNDER 7.572%HIGH

He is averaging 8.1 PPG on the season, but only 4.2 PPG over the last 5 and 6.9 over the last 10. With recent production well below the line and his last five showing a clear dip, the under is the safer side.

reboundsUNDER 2.570%HIGH

Kennard averages 2.2 RPG on the season and 1.9 RPG over the last 10, both below 2.5. His last 5 at 1.4 RPG reinforces the under despite slightly better home splits.

assistsUNDER 2.568%MEDIUM

He is at 2.0 APG for the season and only 1.0 APG in the last 5. Even with a 2.7272727272727275 APG vs this opponent historically, the recent trend and low-variance role point under.

threesUNDER 1.560%MEDIUM

He averages 1.55 made threes per game, but just 1.0 over the last 5 and 1.4 over the last 10. The season mean is only slightly above the line, so the under is still playable given the recent dip.

stealsUNDER 0.557%MEDIUM

His season mark is 0.7 SPG, but the last 5 is only 0.2 and the last 10 is 0.4. That recent drop makes the under viable at a 0.5 line.

stocksUNDER 1.563%MEDIUM

He averages 0.78 stocks on the season and 0.6 over the last 10, well below a 1.5 threshold. This is a high-variance category, and his recent defensive playmaking is not strong enough to support the over.

turnoversOVER 0.558%MEDIUM

He has 0.8 turnovers per game on the season and 0.7 over the last 10. With his recent usage still in the 20 MPG range, a 0.5 line is reachable despite low overall volume.

paUNDER 10.566%MEDIUM

His season averages of 8.1 points and 2.0 assists sum to 10.1 PA, which is below 10.5 before even accounting for recent decline. Combo props carry extra variance, and his last 5 form supports the under.

prUNDER 10.564%MEDIUM

His season points plus rebounds total 10.3, barely above this line, while recent form is much weaker. With his scoring trending down, the under is the more conservative play.

timelineUNDER 7.5 PTS