AI Model:

Caris LeVert▲

DET · G

PPG

7.4

RPG

1.9

APG

2.7

L5 PPG

8.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+1.0

7.4

8.4

RPG+0.9

1.9

2.8

APG+0.7

2.7

3.4

SPG+0.1

0.9

1.0

BPG-0.2

0.6

0.4

UNDER 8.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

8.5

CLE

2026-02-27

2026-02-27 vs CLE: 1 pts

ORL

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs ORL: 8 pts

CLE

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs CLE: 2 pts

SAS

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs SAS: 0 pts

BKN

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs BKN: 7 pts

MEM

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs MEM: 4 pts

TOR

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs TOR: 9 pts

WAS

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs WAS: 10 pts

WAS

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs WAS: 14 pts

GSW

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs GSW: 5 pts

Over 8.5

Under 8.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 8.5DRAFTKINGS

60%

AST

UNDER 3.5DRAFTKINGS

67%

REB

OVER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

56%

3PM

UNDER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

64%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

55%

P+A

UNDER 11.5FANDUEL

61%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

5.2

7.2

RPG

1.6

2.4

APG

2.4

vs LAL (H2H)10 games

PPG

14.6

RPG

3.5

APG

4.4

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
VJ Edgecombe	3	7	45%	-1.9%	medium
Desmond Bane	3	7	50%	+8.1%	medium
Quentin Grimes	3	7	33%	-8.6%	medium
Gary Trent Jr.	3	6	133%

LeVert’s role is modest, and the under remains the cleaner angle

Caris LeVert is producing 7.4 PPG, 1.9 RPG, and 2.7 APG in 19.5 MPG this season, with his last 10 sitting even lower at 6.0 PPG and 2.6 APG. His recent form is a little better over the last 5 games at 8.4 PPG and 3.4 APG, but that still looks close to his normal minute-driven output rather than a true breakout. The matchup does offer some support for his passing and scoring history, since he has averaged 14.6 PPG and 4.4 APG in 10 games vs this opponent, but his current workload and recent game logs keep the ceiling in check. With Cade Cunningham, Isaiah Stewart, and Marcus Sasser out, LeVert has room for a slightly expanded role, but the biggest value still points to conservative unders on the main scoring and assist numbers.

Stat Trends

PPG

8.4(↑ from 7.4)

RPG

2.8(↑ from 1.9)

APG

3.4(↑ from 2.7)

Stocks

1.4(→ from 1.5)

Key Matchup

LeVert has averaged 14.6 PPG and 4.4 APG in 10 games vs this opponent, but the opponent defense data also shows a 114.99 defensive rating and -0.486 three suppression. With key defender data available, there is no specific defender matchup data to project beyond the listed names and limited usage context.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Caris LeVert▼	Points	8.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	8	✓
Caris LeVert▼	Assists	3.5	UNDER	67%MEDIUM	1/2	80%	4	✗
Caris LeVert▼	Rebounds	2.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	3	✓
Caris LeVert▼	3PM	1.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	—	70%	0	✓
Caris LeVert▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	—	40%	0	✗
Caris LeVert▼	P+A	11.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	1/2	80%	12	✗

ML Scout Analysis

3PA3UNDER31%gbtDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 3x7/2035%▼

PTS7UNDER7%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

FTA0.5UNDER1%gbtDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼

PRA11.5OVER0%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%▼

P+R9UNDER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼

P+A9OVER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)11/2055%▼

AST2OVER13%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (11/20)8/2040%▼

R+A4.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%▼

REB2UNDER27%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x7/2035%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

Featured Pick

Caris LeVert

Assists UNDER 3.5HIGH

This is the clearest value in the dataset: 3.5 assists shows a 6.3% edge at BetMGM and a 5.6% edge at DraftKings for the UNDER. LeVert’s season average is 2.7 APG, his last 10 are 2.6 APG, and even with teammate absences boosting usage, the line is still elevated relative to his normal distribution.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Jarred Vanderbilt	1	3	0	0%	0%
Luke Kennard	1	1	0	0%	0%
Luka Dončić	1	1	5	100%	100%
Austin Reaves	1	1	0	0%	0%
Jaxson Hayes	1	0	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 8.560%MEDIUM

His season mean is 7.4 PPG and his last 10 are only 6.0 PPG, so 8.5 is slightly above his typical output. He has also been under this level in multiple recent games, and the modest minute load limits upside.

assistsUNDER 3.567%MEDIUM

The value data shows 3.5 assists with a strong UNDER lean and a 6.3% edge at BetMGM, plus 5.6% at DraftKings. Even with Cade Cunningham out, his season average is still just 2.7 APG and the line is a touch high relative to his baseline role.

reboundsOVER 2.556%MEDIUM

He is averaging 2.5 RPG over the last 10 and 2.8 RPG over the last 5, which is above his 1.9 season average. The line is only 2.5, so the recent rebound trend supports a slight over lean, though variance is still moderate.

threesUNDER 1.564%MEDIUM

He averages 1.06 threes per game for the season and just 0.9 over the last 10, while the 1.5 line requires a stronger night than usual. The data also shows limited recent volume at 0.9 fg3mpg over the last 10.

stocksOVER 1.555%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.52 and his last 20 are 1.4, so this is a fair but reachable mark. Because the standard deviation is meaningful and recent form has been slightly below season level, confidence stays modest.

paUNDER 11.561%MEDIUM

His season baseline of 2.7 assists and 7.4 points points to a combined profile that sits close to this range, but not comfortably above it. With the projected role still under 20 minutes most nights, the under is the safer side.

timelineUNDER 8.5 PTS