Nightly Hoops
Tonight's picks · 11 games

Sunday, April 5, 2026.

0 Core · 0 List · filtered for stale minutes, inactive starters, and unpriced books.

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Tonight's board · 12 picks
Sorted by confidence
  1. 01
    Best betLAC @ SAC
    76
    Keegan Murrayblocks
    under2—

    Under L15/19 games this season, avg 1.7 BPG

  2. 02
    Best betLAC @ SAC
    75
    Dylan Cardwellpa
    under7—

    Under L7 STRAIGHT games this season, avg 6 P+A

  3. 03
    Best betLAC @ SAC
    75
    Kawhi Leonardpa
    under32—

    Under L6 STRAIGHT games this season, avg 28.2 P+A

  4. 04
    Best betHOU @ GSW
    75
    Clint Capelara
    under7—

    Under L12/17 games this season, avg 6.9 RA

  5. 05
    Best betHOU @ GSW
    75
    Dorian Finney-Smithpa
    under5—

    Under L12/17 games this season, avg 5.0 PA

  6. 06
    Best betHOU @ GSW
    75
    Jae'Sean Tatera
    under3—

    Under L7/9 games this season, avg 3.1 RA

  7. 07
    Best betLAL @ DAL
    75
    Luke Kennardra
    under4—

    Under L14/20 games this season, avg 3.9 RA

  8. 08
    Best betLAL @ DAL
    75
    Drew Timmepa
    under9—

    Under L6/8 games this season, avg 8.9 PA

  9. 09
    Best betLAL @ DAL
    75
    Jarred Vanderbiltpa
    under5—

    Under L13/18 games this season, avg 5.1 PA

  10. 10
    Best betUTA @ OKC
    —
    Cason Wallacepr
    under13—

    Both analysts agree with high confidence. Wallace has gone under in 14 of his last 20 games (avg 13.2) and is on a 3-game under streak averaging only 9.3 PR. The recent downtrend is sharp and the season average barely clears the line. Raybon notes the capped role is the key factor, not the matchup narrative. The panel is unanimous and the data supports it.

  11. 11
    Best betUTA @ OKC
    —
    Walker Kesslerassists
    under4—

    Both analysts agree with high confidence. Kessler has gone under 4.0 assists in all 5 of his last 5 games, averaging exactly 3.0 APG, and that holds even in games with 25+ minutes. The line is a full assist above his recent average. The data is unambiguous and the panel is unanimous.

  12. 12
    Best betUTA @ OKC
    —
    Ajay Mitchellpra
    over17.5—

    Both analysts agree with high confidence. Mitchell has gone over 17.5 PRA in 15 of his last 20 games (avg 20.8), and in games with 25+ minutes that rises to 21.9. Home splits are strong (8 of 11 games, avg 20.6). The line is well below his averages in key conditions. Panel is unanimous.

By game
LAC@SAC
final
Spread lean
-8
Total
UNDER
Projected
—
Confidence
82%
Best bets
76
Keegan Murrayblocks
under2—

Under L15/19 games this season, avg 1.7 BPG

75
Dylan Cardwellpa
under7—

Under L7 STRAIGHT games this season, avg 6 P+A

75
Kawhi Leonardpa
under32—

Under L6 STRAIGHT games this season, avg 28.2 P+A

More prop picks
73
Derrick Jones Jr.blocks
over0.5—

Over L13/20 games this season, avg 1.0 BPG

64
Precious Achiuwapra
over22.5—

Over L13/20 games this season, avg 27.6 PRA

58
De'Andre Hunterpra
under20.5—

Under L10/20 games this season, avg 17.6 PRA

58
De'Andre Hunterthree pm
under2—

Under L3 STRAIGHT games this season, avg 1.3 3PM

55
Daeqwon Plowdenrebounds
under3—

Under L8 STRAIGHT games this season, avg 2.2 rebs

LAC vs SAC preview →
TOR@BOS
final

No surviving picks for this matchup.

TOR vs BOS preview →
HOU@GSW
final
Spread lean
-18
Total
UNDER
Projected
—
Confidence
88%
Best bets
75
Clint Capelara
under7—

Under L12/17 games this season, avg 6.9 RA

75
Dorian Finney-Smithpa
under5—

Under L12/17 games this season, avg 5.0 PA

75
Jae'Sean Tatera
under3—

Under L7/9 games this season, avg 3.1 RA

More prop picks
75
Josh Okogiepr
under9—

Under L5 STRAIGHT games this season, avg 5.6 P+R

65
De'Anthony Meltonthree pa
under6—

Under L4 STRAIGHT games this season, avg 4 3PA

64
Gui Santospra
over20.5—

Over L5 STRAIGHT games this season, avg 30.4 PRA

62
Gary Payton IIthree pa
under3—

Under L8 STRAIGHT games this season, avg 1.4 3PA

61
Gary Payton IIsteals
under2—

Under L6 STRAIGHT games this season, avg 1.2 stls

HOU vs GSW preview →
LAL@DAL
final
Spread lean
-1
Total
UNDER
Projected
—
Confidence
82%
Best bets
75
Luke Kennardra
under4—

Under L14/20 games this season, avg 3.9 RA

75
Drew Timmepa
under9—

Under L6/8 games this season, avg 8.9 PA

75
Jarred Vanderbiltpa
under5—

Under L13/18 games this season, avg 5.1 PA

More prop picks
70
Jake LaRaviaassists
under2.5—

Under L11 STRAIGHT games this season, avg 0.9 asts

70
Luke Kennardassists
under4.5—

Under L17 STRAIGHT games this season, avg 1.5 asts

69
Cooper Flaggblocks
over0.5—

Over L3 STRAIGHT games this season, avg 1.3 blks

64
Jake LaRaviathree pa
under2—

Under L6 STRAIGHT games this season, avg 1.3 3PA

63
Daniel Gaffordblocks
under1.5—

Under L14/20 games this season, avg 1.2 BPG

LAL vs DAL preview →
PHX@CHI
final

No surviving picks for this matchup.

PHX vs CHI preview →
MEM@MIL
final

No surviving picks for this matchup.

MEM vs MIL preview →
WAS@BKN
final

No surviving picks for this matchup.

WAS vs BKN preview →
UTA@OKC
final
Spread lean
-25
Total
UNDER
Projected
—
Confidence
92%
Best bets
—
Cason Wallacepr
under13—

Both analysts agree with high confidence. Wallace has gone under in 14 of his last 20 games (avg 13.2) and is on a 3-game under streak averaging only 9.3 PR. The recent downtrend is sharp and the season average barely clears the line. Raybon notes the capped role is the key factor, not the matchup narrative. The panel is unanimous and the data supports it.

—
Walker Kesslerassists
under4—

Both analysts agree with high confidence. Kessler has gone under 4.0 assists in all 5 of his last 5 games, averaging exactly 3.0 APG, and that holds even in games with 25+ minutes. The line is a full assist above his recent average. The data is unambiguous and the panel is unanimous.

—
Ajay Mitchellpra
over17.5—

Both analysts agree with high confidence. Mitchell has gone over 17.5 PRA in 15 of his last 20 games (avg 20.8), and in games with 25+ minutes that rises to 21.9. Home splits are strong (8 of 11 games, avg 20.6). The line is well below his averages in key conditions. Panel is unanimous.

More prop picks
—
Oscar Tshiebwepa
under9—

Both analysts agree with medium confidence. Tshiebwe is under 9.0 PA in 12 of his last 18 games (avg 8.9), and OKC's #1 ranked defense adds a meaningful headwind. The season average sits just below the line. Levitan notes the notable guards context is irrelevant for a center but the defensive context is relevant. Raybon echoes this. Unanimous agreement warrants a keep, though the margin is thin.

—
Vince Williams Jr.pa
under12—

Both analysts agree with medium confidence. Williams is under 12.0 PA in 11 of his last 17 games (avg 12.2) and on a 3-game under streak (avg 11.7). Facing OKC's #1 defense adds a situational downgrade. Season average is just above the line but the recent trend and matchup support the under.

—
Aaron Wigginsra
under4.5—

Both analysts agree with high confidence. Wiggins is on a 5-game under streak averaging only 1.8 RA, and his season rate (4.4 RA) is below the line. He is under in 11 of his last 17 games. The data is overwhelming and the panel is unanimous.

—
Aaron Wigginspa
under10.5—

Both analysts agree. Wiggins' season average (10.4 PA) is below the line and he is under in 11 of his last 17 games. Utah's poor defense is a surface-level positive that doesn't override his limited role and consistent output below the line. Panel is unanimous.

—
Jalen Williamsra
under10—

Both analysts agree with medium confidence. Williams' season average (9.8 RA) is below the line and he is under in 12 of his last 20 games. Notable forwards vs UTA show modest outputs. Utah's poor defense is acknowledged but Williams' role distribution doesn't suggest a spike. Panel is unanimous.

UTA vs OKC preview →
IND@CLE
final

No surviving picks for this matchup.

IND vs CLE preview →
CHA@MIN
final

No surviving picks for this matchup.

CHA vs MIN preview →
ORL@NOP
final

No surviving picks for this matchup.

ORL vs NOP preview →
← Last night, gradedGenerated 5:16 AM UTC

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