Stephon Castle v2 Props — Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs

AI Model:

Stephon Castle

SAS ·

Prop Confidence

3PM

OVER 1.5

75%

AST

OVER 6.5

68%

PTS

UNDER 17.5

65%

REB

UNDER 5.5

60%

R+A

UNDER 12.5

55%

P+A

UNDER 24.5

60%

PRA

UNDER 29.5

55%

P+R

UNDER 22.5

60%

STL

OVER 1.5

55%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

70%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

16.7

16.6

RPG

5.4

5.2

APG

7.7

7.1

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Julius Randle	6	29	29%	-18.0%	medium
Deni Avdija	6	26	50%	-6.0%	medium
Keyonte George	3	22	59%	-1.7%	medium
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	4	21	34%

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Actual	Result
Stephon Castle▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	75%HIGH	1/2	0	✗
Stephon Castle▼	Assists	6.5	OVER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	6	✗
Stephon Castle▼	Points	17.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	17	✓
Stephon Castle▼	Rebounds	5.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	4	✓
Stephon Castle▼	R+A	12.5	UNDER	55%MEDIUM	2/2	10	✓
Stephon Castle▼	P+A	24.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	23	✓
Stephon Castle▼	PRA	29.5	UNDER	55%MEDIUM	2/2	27	✓
Stephon Castle▼	P+R	22.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	21	✓
Stephon Castle▼	Steals	1.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	—	2	✓
Stephon Castle▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	—	1	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PTS17.5UNDER20%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (9/20)11/2055%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

P+R22.5UNDER69%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)12/2060%▼

REB5.5UNDER8%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (8/20)10/2050%▼

AST6.5OVER7%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (8/20)12/2060%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge shifted +0.101▼

PRA29.5UNDER3%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)12/2060%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

P+A25.5UNDER69%gbtAvoid (7/20)UNDER 6x7/2035%▼

R+A12.5UNDER69%gbtAvoid (6/20)11/2055%▼

3PM1.5UNDER18%gbt_three_pmAvoid (5/20)12/2060%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Julius Randle	6	29	19	29%	29%
Anthony Edwards	6	21	46	58%	65%
Jaden McDaniels	6	8	8	43%	43%
Naz Reid	6	5	5	29%	36%
Mike Conley	6	3	0	0%	0%

threesOVER 1.575%HIGH

Recent mean 1.9, H2H avg 2.0, 8.6% edge

assistsOVER 6.568%MEDIUM

Season mean 7.37, may start PG if Fox out

pointsUNDER 17.565%MEDIUM

Season avg 16.64, blowout risk caps minutes

reboundsUNDER 5.560%MEDIUM

Season avg 5.3, recent 5.0, blowout caps mins

raUNDER 12.555%MEDIUM

Pts+Reb avg 21.9, under 23.3 recent

paUNDER 24.560%MEDIUM

Pts+Ast avg 24.0, recent 24.4, blowout risk

praUNDER 29.555%MEDIUM

PRA avg 29.3, recent 29.4, blowout caps min

prUNDER 22.560%MEDIUM

Pts+Reb avg 21.9, under line in 3 of last 5

stealsOVER 1.555%MEDIUM

OVER hits 55.8% historically, per data

blocksUNDER 0.570%HIGH

Blocks UNDER hits 71.4%, line 0.5 is low