Shai Gilgeous-Alexander v2 Props — Oklahoma City Thunder vs Los Angeles Lakers

AI Model:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

OKC ·

PPG

31.0

RPG

4.2

APG

6.6

L5 PPG

30.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-1.0

31.0

30.0

RPG-1.2

4.2

3.0

APG0.0

6.6

SPG-0.5

1.3

0.8

BPG-0.2

0.8

0.6

OVER 1.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

1.5

LAL

2026-04-02

2026-04-02 vs LAL: 28 pts

UTA

2026-04-05

2026-04-05 vs UTA: 20 pts

LAL

2026-04-07

2026-04-07 vs LAL: 25 pts

LAC

2026-04-08

2026-04-08 vs LAC: 20 pts

PHX

2026-04-19

2026-04-19 vs PHX: 25 pts

PHX

2026-04-22

2026-04-22 vs PHX: 37 pts

PHX

2026-04-25

2026-04-25 vs PHX: 42 pts

PHX

2026-04-27

2026-04-27 vs PHX: 31 pts

LAL

2026-05-05

2026-05-05 vs LAL: 18 pts

LAL

2026-05-07

2026-05-07 vs LAL: 22 pts

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

3PM

OVER 1.5

70%

PTS

UNDER 29.5

65%

AST

OVER 6.5

60%

REB

UNDER 3.5

75%

P+A

UNDER 36.5

55%

PRA

UNDER 40.5

55%

STL

OVER 1.5

70%

R+A

UNDER 10.5

65%

P+R

UNDER 33.5

60%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

80%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

25.0

29.5

RPG

4.0

2.0

APG

6.3

8.8

vs LAL (H2H)19 games

PPG

26.7

RPG

4.3

APG

6.4

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Toumani Camara	4	19	35%	-25.3%	medium
Collin Gillespie	7	19	42%	-23.7%	medium
Royce O'Neale	7	19	75%	-5.3%	medium
Jaden McDaniels	3	15	57%

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	70%HIGH	1/2	50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander▼	Points	29.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	70%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander▼	Assists	6.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	80%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander▼	Rebounds	3.5	UNDER	75%HIGH	2/2	50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander▼	P+A	36.5	UNDER	55%MEDIUM	2/2	70%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander▼	PRA	40.5	UNDER	55%MEDIUM	2/2	60%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander▼	Steals	1.5	OVER	70%HIGH	1/2	10%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander▼	R+A	10.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	40%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander▼	P+R	33.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	70%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	80%HIGH	—	60%

ML Scout Analysis

AST6.5OVER17%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x12/2060%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW; Value edge shifted +0.158▼

PRA41.5UNDER22%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%▼

P+A38.5UNDER70%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼

R+A10.5UNDER70%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%▼

P+R35.5UNDER70%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 3x6/2030%▼

PTS29.5UNDER18%gbt_pointsAvoid (7/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

REB3.5UNDER15%gbt_reboundsAvoid (7/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%+8.3% edgeConfidence moved HIGH to LOW▼

STL1.5UNDER29%gbt_stealsAvoid (7/20)UNDER 7x7/2035%Confidence moved HIGH to MEDIUM▼

3PM1.5UNDER25%gbt_three_pmAvoid (7/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Jake LaRavia	5	15	0	0%	0%
Marcus Smart	3	13	0	0%	0%
Rui Hachimura	4	7	11	83%	92%
Luke Kennard	3	3	3	100%	150%
Austin Reaves	4	3	4	67%	67%

threesOVER 1.570%HIGH

Value edge 18%, season 1.7, weak LAL perimeter

pointsUNDER 29.565%MEDIUM

Last 5 avg 30, H2H 26.7, blowout caps mins

assistsOVER 6.560%MEDIUM

Jalen OUT, primary handler, 6.6 avg, slight edge

reboundsUNDER 3.575%HIGH

Season 4.2, last 5 3.0, H2H 4.3, low total

paUNDER 36.555%MEDIUM

Pts below 29.5, ast below 6.5, combo volatility

praUNDER 40.555%MEDIUM

PRA combo volatile, H2H 37.3, blowout risk

stealsOVER 1.570%HIGH

Steals historical OVER, season 1.3, weak LAL handles

raUNDER 10.565%MEDIUM

Reb+ast last 5 avg 9.6, H2H 10.7, volatile

prUNDER 33.560%MEDIUM

Pts below 29.5, reb below 3.5, low combo

blocksUNDER 0.580%HIGH

Blocks UNDER strong, season 0.8, H2H 0.5

timelineOVER 1.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

OVER 1.5 PTS