Duncan Robinson v2 Props — Cleveland Cavaliers vs Detroit Pistons

AI Model:

Duncan Robinson

DET ·

PPG

12.1

RPG

2.7

APG

2.1

L5 PPG

12.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+0.3

12.1

12.4

RPG+0.3

2.7

3.0

APG-0.3

2.1

1.8

SPG+0.6

0.6

1.2

BPG-0.3

0.3

0.0

OVER 11.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

11.5

CHA

2026-04-10

2026-04-10 vs CHA: 19 pts

IND

2026-04-12

2026-04-12 vs IND: 9 pts

ORL

2026-04-19

2026-04-19 vs ORL: 9 pts

ORL

2026-04-22

2026-04-22 vs ORL: 10 pts

ORL

2026-04-25

2026-04-25 vs ORL: 10 pts

ORL

2026-04-27

2026-04-27 vs ORL: 7 pts

ORL

2026-04-29

2026-04-29 vs ORL: 12 pts

ORL

2026-05-01

2026-05-01 vs ORL: 14 pts

ORL

2026-05-03

2026-05-03 vs ORL: 10 pts

CLE

2026-05-05

2026-05-05 vs CLE: 19 pts

Over 11.5

Under 11.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 11.5

80%

3PM

OVER 2.5

75%

REB

OVER 2.5

65%

AST

OVER 1.5

70%

P+A

OVER 13.5

70%

R+A

OVER 4.5

65%

PRA

OVER 15.5

70%

P+R

UNDER 14.5

55%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

80%

STL

OVER 0.5

65%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

12.0

11.8

RPG

3.0

2.2

APG

2.6

1.8

vs CLE (H2H)17 games

PPG

11.0

RPG

1.6

APG

1.7

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Tristan da Silva	9	22	73%	+27.6%	medium
Anthony Black	9	21	23%	-26.9%	medium
Isaac Okoro	4	17	0%	-45.1%	medium
Desmond Bane	9	16	55%

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Duncan Robinson▼	Points	11.5	OVER	80%HIGH	2/2	40%	17	✓
Duncan Robinson▼	3PM	2.5	OVER	75%HIGH	2/2	70%	5	✓
Duncan Robinson▼	Rebounds	2.5	OVER	65%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	3	✓
Duncan Robinson▼	Assists	1.5	OVER	70%HIGH	2/2	70%	3	✓
Duncan Robinson▼	P+A	13.5	OVER	70%HIGH	1/2	30%	20	✓
Duncan Robinson▼	R+A	4.5	OVER	65%MEDIUM	1/2	30%	6	✓
Duncan Robinson▼	PRA	15.5	OVER	70%HIGH	2/2	60%	23	✓
Duncan Robinson▼	P+R	14.5	UNDER	55%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	20	✗
Duncan Robinson▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	80%HIGH	—	80%	0	✓
Duncan Robinson▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	65%MEDIUM	—	50%	3	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PRA16.5OVER5%gbtDecent Leg (13/20)OVER 3x10/2050%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge changed +0.048▼

PTS10.5OVER22%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)12/2060%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Value edge shifted +0.156▼

3PM2.5OVER27%gbt_three_pmDecent Leg (12/20)14/2070%+12.0% edgeConfidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

P+A14.5UNDER69%gbtDecent Leg (12/20)8/2040%▼

P+R14.5UNDER69%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 4x11/2055%▼

REB2.5UNDER6%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼

R+A4.5UNDER69%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)7/2035%▼

AST2.5OVER15%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)9/2045%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge shifted +0.147; Scorecard changed -2.0▼

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Sam Merrill	3	15	11	50%	69%
Dean Wade	3	8	8	75%	100%
Max Strus	2	6	9	60%	90%
Jaylon Tyson	5	5	0	0%	0%
Dennis Schröder	3	4	4	29%	29%

pointsOVER 11.580%HIGH

Huerter out boosts usage; 31min, season 12.1ppg

threesOVER 2.575%HIGH

3.5 threes without Huerter; home 3.45 per game

reboundsOVER 2.565%MEDIUM

Without Huerter 3.5 reb; season 2.7, but variance high

assistsOVER 1.570%HIGH

Without Huerter 2.2 ast; season 2.1, edge 6.5%

paOVER 13.570%HIGH

Points+assists projection 16.0 (13.8+2.2)

raOVER 4.565%MEDIUM

Reb+ast projection 5.7 (3.5+2.2)

praOVER 15.570%HIGH

PRA projection 19.5; season avg 16.9

prUNDER 14.555%MEDIUM

Points+reb projection 17.3, but line 14.5; slight over lean

blocksUNDER 0.580%HIGH

Blocks historically under; season 0.3, rarely hits over

stealsOVER 0.565%MEDIUM

Recent spg 1.2; without Huerter 1.2; steals over hits 55.8%

timelineOVER 11.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

OVER 11.5 PTS