AI Model:
Chet Holmgren
OKC ·
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 20.5
70%
REB
UNDER 9.5
60%
AST
OVER 1.5
55%
3PM
UNDER 1.5
65%
STL+BLK
OVER 2.5
75%
TO
UNDER 1.5
50%
Home vs Away
Home
Away
PPG
17.1
17.1
RPG
9.7
8.2
APG
1.7
1.7
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Brooks | 8 | 22 | 55% | -7.0% | medium |
| Oso Ighodaro | 8 | 19 | 60% | +4.1% | medium |
| Mark Williams | 4 | 18 | 45% | -10.4% | medium |
| Alperen Sengun | 3 | 17 | 42% |
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Chet Holmgren▼ | Points | 20.5 | UNDER | 70%HIGH |
Chet Holmgren▼ | Rebounds | 9.5 | UNDER | 60%MEDIUM |
Chet Holmgren▼ | Assists | 1.5 | OVER | 55%MEDIUM |
Chet Holmgren▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM |
Chet Holmgren▼ | STL+BLK | 2.5 | OVER | 75%HIGH |
Chet Holmgren▼ | Turnovers | 1.5 | UNDER | 50%MEDIUM |
pointsUNDER 20.570%HIGH
Blowout caps min at 25, season avg 17.1
reboundsUNDER 9.560%MEDIUM
Season avg 8.9, home 9.7 but blowout reduces min
assistsOVER 1.555%MEDIUM
Line near season avg 1.67, but low volume
ML Scout Analysis
REB8.5OVER30%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (13/20)14/2070%+13.5% edgePrediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Value edge shifted +0.332▼
PRA27.5UNDER12%gbtDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼
BLK1.5UNDER24%gbt_blocksWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 4x12/2060%▼
P+R26.5UNDER69%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%▼
PTS16.5UNDER17%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼
STL0.5OVER21%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 3x12/2060%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Value edge changed -0.061▼
P+A18.5UNDER69%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)8/2040%▼
3PM1.5UNDER49%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x5/2025%+13.3% edgeConfidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼
AST1.5UNDER19%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (8/20)9/2045%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼
R+A10.5UNDER69%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)9/2045%▼
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.