Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luguentz Dort | 6 | 20 | 28% | -23.3% | medium |
| Moses Moody | 3 | 14 | 50% | -8.0% | medium |
| Jabari Smith Jr. | 3 | 13 | 25% | -20.5% | medium |
| Cason Wallace | 6 | 12 | 67% |
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Devin Booker▼ | Points | 25.5 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | 70% |
Devin Booker▼ | Rebounds | 4.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 50% |
Devin Booker▼ | Assists | 6.5 | UNDER | 70%HIGH | 60% |
Devin Booker▼ | three_pointers | 1.5 | UNDER | 71%HIGH | — |
Devin Booker▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 100% |
| medium |
| Christian Braun | 2 | 12 | 81% | +29.5% | low |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luguentz Dort | 6 | 20 | 5 | 22% | 28% |
| Cason Wallace | 6 | 12 | 8 | 50% | 67% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 6 | 11 | 39 | 67% | 67% |
| Alex Caruso | 6 | 11 | 11 | 63% | 69% |
| Chet Holmgren | 6 | 11 | 24 | 69% | 77% |
Season 25.6 PPG vs line; L5 avg 21.0 PPG trending down; vs OKC allows 43.8% FG; Lu Dort elite perimeter D; H2H 19 games 25.7 PPG but recent 3 OKC games: 24, 16, 22 pts shows suppression; 38 MPG proj supports ~25.5 baseline but blowout caps at 26 min (15% reduction); matchup disadvantage + fatigue on B2B + blowout risk justifies UNDER
Season 3.9 RPG, L5 avg 4.6 RPG; line at 4.5 slightly above season; OKC rebounds +0.549 suppression index, controls glass 44.12 RPG; PHX allows 47.1% FG on B2B fatigue; home split 3.3 RPG vs away 5.2 RPG shows lower at home; 38 MPG proj with limited paint touches in blowout scenario caps boards; OKC rebounding dominance limits second-chance opps
Season 6.0 APG vs line 6.5 OVER line; L5 avg 5.4 APG trending below; last 3 OKC games: 6, 7, 4 assists shows inconsistency; home split 7.0 APG BUT L5 home games vs OKC: 6, 7, 4 assists (2 of 3 below 6.5); playoff mean 4.75 APG indicates tournament play depresses assists; B2B mean 5.08 APG below line; coach notes Gillespie handles crunch-time PnR, reducing Booker's primary handler load in final 3 min; blowout scenario further limits assist opportunities
Season 1.91 3PM, L5 avg 1.0 3PM sharp decline; line 1.5 below season but above recent; last 4 games: 1, 2, 0, 2 threes shows volatility with 2 games below 1.5; vs OKC D allows only 36.7% 3P (PHX allows 34.8%); Lu Dort strong wing perimeter D; home split 1.87 3PM vs away 1.94 3PM; 38 MPG proj ~1.5 baseline; blowout capping minutes reduces shot volume; books overvalue threes per historical data (69% UNDER hit rate)
Season 1.08 stocks, L5 avg 0.6 stocks sharp drop; line 1.5 well above recent production; playoff mean 0.5 stocks (4 games) indicates tournament suppression; B2B mean 0.62 stocks below line; last 5: 0, 0, 1, 1, 1 stocks shows inconsistency; OKC elite efficiency (117.4 ORTG) limits forced errors; defensive fatigue on B2B reduces steal opportunities; historical data: stocks (steals+blocks) 64.9% UNDER hit rate; avoid OVER on defensive props in blowout