AI Model:
Chet Holmgren
OKC ·
PPG
17.1
RPG
8.9
APG
1.6
L5 PPG
19.8
Last 10 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+2.7
17.1
19.8
RPG+0.7
8.9
9.6
APG+0.4
1.6
2.0
SPG+0.7
0.7
1.4
BPG+0.5
1.9
2.4
UNDER 25.5 PTS
Last 10 games
4
Current Streak
4
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
25.5
16
NYK
2026-03-29
2026-03-29 vs NYK: 16 pts
13
DET
2026-03-30
2026-03-30 vs DET: 13 pts
7
LAL
2026-04-02
2026-04-02 vs LAL: 7 pts
21
UTA
2026-04-05
2026-04-05 vs UTA: 21 pts
15
LAL
2026-04-07
2026-04-07 vs LAL: 15 pts
30
LAC
2026-04-08
2026-04-08 vs LAC: 30 pts
16
PHX
2026-04-19
2026-04-19 vs PHX: 16 pts
19
PHX
2026-04-22
2026-04-22 vs PHX: 19 pts
10
PHX
2026-04-25
2026-04-25 vs PHX: 10 pts
24
PHX
2026-04-27
2026-04-27 vs PHX: 24 pts
Over 25.5
Under 25.5
Last 10 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 25.5
85%
REB
UNDER 8.5
80%
AST
OVER 1.5
60%
BLK
UNDER 1.5
85%
3PM
OVER 1.5
70%
Home vs Away
Home
Away
PPG
15.3
19.8
RPG
7.3
10.8
APG
0.7
2.5
vs PHX (H2H)12 games
PPG
18.4
RPG
7.8
APG
1.9
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Brooks | 8 | 22 | 55% | -7.0% | medium |
| Oso Ighodaro | 8 | 19 | 60% | +4.1% | medium |
| Mark Williams | 4 | 18 | 45% | -10.4% | medium |
| Alperen Sengun | 3 | 17 | 42% |
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chet Holmgren▼ | Points | 25.5 | UNDER | 85%HIGH | 90% |
Chet Holmgren▼ | Rebounds | 8.5 | UNDER | 80%HIGH | 50% |
Chet Holmgren▼ | Assists | 1.5 | OVER | 60%MEDIUM | 40% |
Chet Holmgren▼ | Blocks | 1.5 | UNDER | 85%HIGH | 30% |
Chet Holmgren▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | OVER | 70%HIGH | 50% |
pointsUNDER 25.585%HIGH
34min proj, blowout caps min, season avg 17.1
reboundsUNDER 8.580%HIGH
22min proj, blowout caps min, season avg 8.9
assistsOVER 1.560%MEDIUM
Recent uptick, 34min proj, vs PHX avg 1.9
blocksUNDER 1.5
ML Scout Analysis
REB8.5OVER30%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (13/20)14/2070%+13.5% edgePrediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Value edge shifted +0.332▼
PRA27.5UNDER12%gbtDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼
BLK1.5UNDER24%gbt_blocksWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 4x12/2060%▼
P+R26.5UNDER69%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%▼
PTS16.5UNDER17%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼
STL0.5OVER21%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 3x12/2060%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Value edge changed -0.061▼
P+A18.5UNDER69%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)8/2040%▼
3PM1.5UNDER49%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x5/2025%+13.3% edgeConfidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼
AST1.5UNDER19%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (8/20)9/2045%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼
R+A10.5UNDER69%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)9/2045%▼
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.