Marcus Smart v2 Props — Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets

AI Model:

Marcus Smart

LAL ·

PPG

9.8

RPG

2.8

APG

3.2

L5 PPG

16.2

Last 10 GamesAST

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+6.4

9.8

16.2

RPG+0.2

2.8

3.0

APG+3.2

3.2

6.4

SPG+1.3

1.5

2.8

BPG+1.1

0.5

1.6

OVER 2.5 AST

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

2.5

HOU

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs HOU: 4 ast

MIA

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs MIA: 4 ast

ORL

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs ORL: 1 ast

PHX

2026-04-10

2026-04-10 vs PHX: 7 ast

UTA

2026-04-12

2026-04-12 vs UTA: 10 ast

HOU

2026-04-18

2026-04-18 vs HOU: 8 ast

HOU

2026-04-21

2026-04-21 vs HOU: 7 ast

HOU

2026-04-24

2026-04-24 vs HOU: 10 ast

HOU

2026-04-26

2026-04-26 vs HOU: 5 ast

HOU

2026-04-29

2026-04-29 vs HOU: 2 ast

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

AST

OVER 2.5

85%

PTS

UNDER 10.5

70%

3PM

UNDER 1.5

75%

REB

OVER 2.5

60%

P+A

UNDER 14.5

70%

P+R

UNDER 13.5

65%

PRA

UNDER 17.5

75%

R+A

OVER 5.5

65%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

12.4

10.0

RPG

3.2

2.4

APG

6.8

4.8

vs HOU (H2H)15 games

PPG

10.1

RPG

2.5

APG

4.7

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Reed Sheppard	8	27	43%	-5.4%	medium
Amen Thompson	8	25	27%	-13.7%	medium
Kevin Durant	4	18	95%	+39.6%	medium
Jamal Murray	3	17	94%

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend
Marcus Smart▼	Assists	2.5	OVER	85%HIGH	1/2	80%
Marcus Smart▼	Points	10.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	50%
Marcus Smart▼	3PM	1.5	UNDER	75%HIGH	2/2	70%
Marcus Smart▼	Rebounds	2.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	1/2	40%
Marcus Smart▼	P+A	14.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	50%
Marcus Smart▼	P+R	13.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	50%
Marcus Smart▼	PRA	17.5	UNDER	75%HIGH	2/2	40%
Marcus Smart▼	R+A	5.5	OVER	65%MEDIUM	1/2	90%

ML Scout Analysis

PTS10.5UNDER1%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

P+R14.5UNDER71%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)6/2030%▼

REB2.5UNDER39%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)10/2050%▼

AST2.5UNDER13%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)13/2065%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Value edge shifted -0.106; Scorecard changed +2.0▼

3PM1.5UNDER31%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (9/20)11/2055%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

PRA17.5UNDER20%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

P+A14.5UNDER71%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼

STL1.5UNDER12%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (8/20)12/2060%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

R+A6.5UNDER71%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 7x10/2050%▼

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Reed Sheppard	8	27	17	35%	43%
Amen Thompson	8	25	13	27%	27%
Kevin Durant	4	18	21	80%	95%
Jabari Smith Jr.	8	12	23	69%	77%
Tari Eason	8	9	13	46%	50%

assistsOVER 2.585%HIGH

29min, playoff avg 6.4, H2H 4.7, last5 6.4

pointsUNDER 10.570%HIGH

season avg 9.8, line above, playoff avg 16.2 but regressing

threesUNDER 1.575%HIGH

season avg 1.57, line at avg, low pace, low total

reboundsOVER 2.560%MEDIUM

season avg 2.8, last5 3.0, low line, weak HOU interior

paUNDER 14.570%HIGH

pts+ast projected 15.3, line close, but recent high

prUNDER 13.565%MEDIUM

pts+reb projected 12.6, line slightly high, HOU defense

praUNDER 17.575%HIGH

season avg 15.8, line high, even with playoff boost

raOVER 5.565%MEDIUM

reb+ast avg 6.0, line at avg, las

timelineOVER 2.5 AST

Defensive Matchup Profile

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

OVER 2.5 AST