Jabari Smith Jr. v2 Props — Utah Jazz vs Houston Rockets

AI Model:

Jabari Smith Jr.▼

HOU · PF

PPG

15.6

RPG

7.0

APG

1.9

L5 PPG

16.8

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+1.2

15.6

16.8

RPG+2.0

7.0

9.0

APG+0.9

1.9

2.8

SPG-0.4

0.8

0.4

BPG+0.3

0.9

1.2

UNDER 22.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

22.5

LAL

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs LAL: 22 pts

LAL

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs LAL: 18 pts

ATL

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs ATL: 23 pts

MIA

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs MIA: 13 pts

CHI

2026-03-23

2026-03-23 vs CHI: 6 pts

MIN

2026-03-25

2026-03-25 vs MIN: 16 pts

MEM

2026-03-27

2026-03-27 vs MEM: 21 pts

NOP

2026-03-29

2026-03-29 vs NOP: 20 pts

NYK

2026-03-31

2026-03-31 vs NYK: 15 pts

MIL

2026-04-01

2026-04-01 vs MIL: 12 pts

Over 22.5

Under 22.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

P+R

UNDER 22.5

70%

3PM

UNDER 2.5

85%

PTS

UNDER 15.5

75%

REB

OVER 6.5

65%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

95%

R+A

UNDER 9.5

70%

P+A

UNDER 18.5

75%

PRA

UNDER 24.5

80%

AST

UNDER 2.5

85%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

17.1

15.6

RPG

6.4

6.8

APG

2.4

1.9

vs UTA (H2H)13 games

PPG

13.2

RPG

6.7

APG

1.3

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Cameron Johnson	4	17	42%	-12.1%	medium
Julius Randle	2	15	42%	-6.9%	low
Trey Murphy III	3	11	67%	+10.2%	medium
Brandon Ingram	2	11	57%

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Jabari Smith Jr.▼	P+R	22.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	40%	23	✗
Jabari Smith Jr.▼	3PM	2.5	UNDER	85%HIGH	1/2	60%	4	✗
Jabari Smith Jr.▼	Points	15.5	UNDER	75%HIGH	1/2	40%	18	✗
Jabari Smith Jr.▼	Rebounds	6.5	OVER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	5	✗
Jabari Smith Jr.▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	95%HIGH	—	40%	0	✓
Jabari Smith Jr.▼	R+A	9.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	60%	5	✓
Jabari Smith Jr.▼	P+A	18.5	UNDER	75%HIGH	1/2	50%	18	✓
Jabari Smith Jr.▼	PRA	24.5	UNDER	80%HIGH	1/2	40%	23	✓
Jabari Smith Jr.▼	Assists	2.5	UNDER	85%HIGH	2/2	50%	0	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PRA22.5OVER40%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 7x14/2070%+17.4% edgeConfidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

PTS13.5UNDER3%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x13/2065%▼

P+R23.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%▼

REB6.5OVER7%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (8/20)9/2045%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge shifted -0.142▼

3PM1.5OVER13%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 7x14/2070%+6.8% edgeConfidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

P+A19UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (8/20)9/2045%▼

R+A9UNDER0%gbt_raAvoid (7/20)6/2030%▼

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Ace Bailey	4	10	4	29%	29%
Lauri Markkanen	3	10	16	38%	50%
Kyle Filipowski	4	6	6	30%	30%
Brice Sensabaugh	4	4	9	57%	64%
Svi Mykhailiuk	3	3	0	0%	0%

prUNDER 22.570%HIGH

Blowout caps min, H2H low 13.2 PPG, 6.7 RPG

threesUNDER 2.585%HIGH

Blowout risk, 2.4 avg, UNDER bias 69% hit rate

pointsUNDER 15.575%HIGH

Blowout caps min, H2H 13.2 PPG, 16.8 last 5

reboundsOVER 6.565%MEDIUM

UTA weak reb, 9.0 last 5, blowout risk

blocksUNDER 0.595%HIGH

0.9 season avg, UNDER bias 71% hit rate

raUNDER 9.570%HIGH

Blowout caps min, H2H low, 9.0+2.8 recent

paUNDER 18.575%HIGH

Blowout caps min, 16.8+2.8 recent, H2H low

praUNDER 24.580%HIGH

Blowout caps min, H2H 20.2, 24.4 recent

assistsUNDER 2.585%HIGH

2.8 recent, blowout risk, UNDER bias 44% hit

timelineUNDER 22.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

UNDER 22.5 PTS