Ace Bailey v2 Props — Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz

AI Model:

Ace Bailey▼

UTA · PF

PPG

13.4

RPG

4.1

APG

1.8

L5 PPG

19.8

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+6.4

13.4

19.8

RPG+1.1

4.1

5.2

APG+1.0

1.8

2.8

SPG-0.4

0.8

0.4

BPG+0.7

0.7

1.4

UNDER 19.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

19.5

NYK

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs NYK: 21 pts

POR

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs POR: 8 pts

MIN

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs MIN: 17 pts

MIL

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs MIL: 33 pts

PHI

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs PHI: 25 pts

TOR

2026-03-23

2026-03-23 vs TOR: 37 pts

WAS

2026-03-25

2026-03-25 vs WAS: 15 pts

DEN

2026-03-27

2026-03-27 vs DEN: 15 pts

PHX

2026-03-28

2026-03-28 vs PHX: 13 pts

CLE

2026-03-30

2026-03-30 vs CLE: 19 pts

Over 19.5

Under 19.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 19.5

85%

AST

UNDER 3

80%

REB

UNDER 4.5

70%

3PM

UNDER 2.5

65%

R+A

UNDER 7.5

70%

P+R

UNDER 24.5

75%

P+A

UNDER 21.5

80%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

85%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

21.1

14.4

RPG

5.5

4.4

APG

2.8

1.7

vs DEN (H2H)3 games

PPG

14.3

RPG

4.7

APG

0.3

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Jabari Smith Jr.	4	13	67%	+11.7%	medium
Moses Moody	2	12	69%	+9.9%	low
Rui Hachimura	3	11	56%	+0.5%	medium
Jaden McDaniels	4	10	108%

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Ace Bailey▼	Points	19.5	UNDER	85%HIGH	2/2	60%	12	✓
Ace Bailey▼	Assists	3	UNDER	80%HIGH	1/2	70%	2	✓
Ace Bailey▼	Rebounds	4.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	1/2	40%	1	✓
Ace Bailey▼	3PM	2.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	1	✓
Ace Bailey▼	R+A	7.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	1/2	40%	3	✓
Ace Bailey▼	P+R	24.5	UNDER	75%HIGH	2/2	60%	13	✓
Ace Bailey▼	P+A	21.5	UNDER	80%HIGH	2/2	50%	14	✓
Ace Bailey▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	85%HIGH	2/2	30%	0	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PTS17.5OVER8%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)9/1947%▼

3PM2.5OVER2%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 3x8/1942%▼

REB5.5UNDER18%gbt_reboundsAvoid (7/20)9/1947%▼

AST2.5UNDER8%gbt_assistsAvoid (7/20)UNDER 3x7/1937%+9.9% edge▼

3PA8UNDER27%gbtAvoid (7/20)UNDER 2x8/1942%▼

PRA25.5UNDER19%gbt_praAvoid (7/20)8/1942%▼

P+R23.5UNDER0%gbt_prAvoid (7/20)7/1937%▼

P+A20.5UNDER0%gbt_paAvoid (7/20)8/1942%▼

R+A7UNDER0%gbt_raAvoid (6/20)UNDER 4x9/1947%▼

BLK1UNDER20%gbt_blocksAvoid (5/20)6/1932%▼

FTM0.5UNDER23%gbtAvoid (5/20)9/1947%▼

FTA0.5UNDER11%gbtAvoid (5/20)9/1947%▼

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Christian Braun	3	8	7	43%	50%
Cameron Johnson	3	6	9	50%	75%
Bruce Brown	4	5	8	100%	100%
Peyton Watson	3	4	2	0%	0%
Jamal Murray	3	4	23	67%	100%

pointsUNDER 19.585%HIGH

Blowout caps min, H2H low 14.3, value edge 25.9%

assistsUNDER 380%HIGH

H2H 0.3 APG, blowout risk, value edge 25.1%

reboundsUNDER 4.570%HIGH

Season avg 4.1, blowout caps min, value edge 10.5%

threesUNDER 2.565%MEDIUM

H2H low, blowout risk, value edge -0.011%

raUNDER 7.570%HIGH

Reb+ast avg 6.9, blowout caps, H2H low

prUNDER 24.575%HIGH

Points+reb avg 23.3, blowout caps, H2H low

paUNDER 21.580%HIGH

Points+ast avg 22.3, blowout caps, H2H low

blocksUNDER 0.585%HIGH

Season avg 0.7, blowout caps, UNDER bias 71.4%

timelineUNDER 19.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

UNDER 19.5 PTS