Kawhi Leonard v2 Props — Portland Trail Blazers vs LA Clippers

AI Model:

Kawhi Leonard▼

LAC · SG

PPG

28.2

RPG

6.3

APG

3.6

L5 PPG

27.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-0.8

28.2

27.4

RPG-0.3

6.3

6.0

APG-0.4

3.6

3.2

SPG-0.4

2.0

1.6

BPG+0.2

0.4

0.6

UNDER 28.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

28.5

NYK

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs NYK: 29 pts

MIN

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs MIN: 45 pts

CHI

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs CHI: 28 pts

SAC

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs SAC: 31 pts

NOP

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs NOP: 25 pts

DAL

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs DAL: 34 pts

MIL

2026-03-23

2026-03-23 vs MIL: 28 pts

TOR

2026-03-25

2026-03-25 vs TOR: 27 pts

IND

2026-03-27

2026-03-27 vs IND: 28 pts

MIL

2026-03-29

2026-03-29 vs MIL: 20 pts

Over 28.5

Under 28.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 28.5

75%

REB

UNDER 6.5

60%

3PM

UNDER 2.5

65%

AST

UNDER 3.5

70%

PRA

UNDER 37.5

70%

P+R

UNDER 34.5

70%

P+A

UNDER 30.5

65%

R+A

UNDER 10.5

60%

STL

OVER 1.5

85%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

30.0

27.0

RPG

5.6

7.3

APG

3.5

3.3

vs POR (H2H)10 games

PPG

26.9

RPG

6.7

APG

4.6

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Jaden McDaniels	3	18	67%	+16.2%	medium
Kevin Durant	3	14	31%	-25.5%	medium
Toumani Camara	3	13	50%	-14.1%	medium
Stephon Castle	2	13	63%

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Kawhi Leonard▼	Points	28.5	UNDER	75%HIGH	2/2	60%	23	✓
Kawhi Leonard▼	Rebounds	6.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	8	✗
Kawhi Leonard▼	3PM	2.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	0	✓
Kawhi Leonard▼	Assists	3.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	60%	3	✓
Kawhi Leonard▼	PRA	37.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	60%	34	✓
Kawhi Leonard▼	P+R	34.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	50%	31	✓
Kawhi Leonard▼	P+A	30.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	30%	26	✓
Kawhi Leonard▼	R+A	10.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	11	✗
Kawhi Leonard▼	Steals	1.5	OVER	85%HIGH	1/2	70%	1	✗

ML Scout Analysis

AST3.5OVER8%gbt_assistsDecent Leg (13/20)9/2045%▼

R+A9.5OVER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (13/20)10/2050%▼

PRA39.5OVER1%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 4x7/2035%▼

PTS29.5UNDER14%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 7x6/2030%+14.4% edge▼

REB6.5UNDER21%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%+8.5% edge▼

P+R34.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 4x9/2045%▼

P+A32UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 7x6/2030%▼

3PM2.5UNDER1%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x10/2050%▼

FTA6.5UNDER22%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼

STL1.5UNDER31%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (9/20)12/2060%▼

FTM6UNDER34%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

3PA6UNDER25%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)8/2040%▼

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Toumani Camara	3	13	11	36%	50%
Deni Avdija	3	7	5	40%	50%
Kris Murray	3	5	6	60%	60%
Jrue Holiday	2	4	0	0%	0%
Shaedon Sharpe	2	3	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 28.575%HIGH

31 MPG proj slightly below season 28.2 PPG; recent trend down; tough matchup vs defense rating 116.23; H2H 26.9 points; medium blowout risk caps upside

reboundsUNDER 6.560%MEDIUM

6.3 season avg vs 6.5 line; 31 MPG supports ~6 rebounds; recent 6 RPG; opponent defense decent, no Beal shifts rebounding but not big boost

threesUNDER 2.565%MEDIUM

3.8 3P% good but 3.0 3PA recent avg; line high; Portland defense weak on wings but Kawhi inconsistent; 3 from last 5 games average

assistsUNDER 3.570%HIGH

3.6 season, 3.3 recent avg; 31 MPG; medium assisting role but usage shifts to bench; H2H 4.6 APG higher but steady usage; slight downtrend

praUNDER 37.570%HIGH

Sum of points, rebounds, assists line high; Kawhi's sum season avg ~37.1; 31 MPG supports near line; recent downtrend; medium blowout caps production

prUNDER 34.570%HIGH

Points+rebounds line slightly above sum season avg 34.5; 31 MPG; rebounds slightly below line; points uncertain; recent trend down; medium confidence

paUNDER 30.565%MEDIUM

Points+assists line above expected sum ~31.8 season; assists trending down; points trending down; medium starter minutes; moderate blowout risk

raUNDER 10.560%MEDIUM

Rebounds+assists line above averages; 6.3 rebounds and 3.6 assists avg season; recent slightly down; competent defense; medium confidence

stealsOVER 1.585%HIGH

2.0 season avg steals per game, 1.6 recent; opponent missing key wings reduces defensive resistance; high rate prop; steal-heavy defender; high confidence

timelineUNDER 28.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

UNDER 28.5 PTS