Darius Garland v2 Props — Portland Trail Blazers vs LA Clippers

AI Model:

Darius Garland▼

LAC · PG

PPG

19.1

RPG

2.4

APG

6.9

L5 PPG

25.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+5.9

19.1

25.0

RPG-0.2

2.4

2.2

APG+0.9

6.9

7.8

SPG+0.1

0.9

1.0

BPG+0.3

0.1

0.4

UNDER 19.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

19.5

NYK

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs NYK: 23 pts

MIN

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs MIN: 21 pts

SAC

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs SAC: 25 pts

SAS

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs SAS: 25 pts

NOP

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs NOP: 13 pts

DAL

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs DAL: 41 pts

MIL

2026-03-23

2026-03-23 vs MIL: 15 pts

TOR

2026-03-25

2026-03-25 vs TOR: 24 pts

IND

2026-03-27

2026-03-27 vs IND: 30 pts

MIL

2026-03-29

2026-03-29 vs MIL: 15 pts

Over 19.5

Under 19.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 19.5

85%

AST

OVER 6.5

85%

REB

UNDER 2.5

75%

3PM

OVER 2.5

70%

R+A

UNDER 9.5

65%

P+A

UNDER 26.5

90%

P+R

UNDER 22.5

80%

PRA

UNDER 29.5

80%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

20.4

21.9

RPG

2.1

2.0

APG

7.1

6.9

vs POR (H2H)9 games

PPG

18.6

RPG

2.2

APG

7.6

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Donte DiVincenzo	3	14	100%	+28.5%	medium
Devin Vassell	3	11	70%	+3.5%	medium
Gary Trent Jr.	2	10	42%	-13.2%	low
Andrew Nembhard	4	10	72%

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Darius Garland▼	Points	19.5	UNDER	85%HIGH	2/2	30%	20	✗
Darius Garland▼	Assists	6.5	OVER	85%HIGH	1/2	50%	4	✗
Darius Garland▼	Rebounds	2.5	UNDER	75%HIGH	2/2	70%	2	✓
Darius Garland▼	3PM	2.5	OVER	70%HIGH	2/2	90%	3	✓
Darius Garland▼	R+A	9.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	6	✓
Darius Garland▼	P+A	26.5	UNDER	90%HIGH	2/2	30%	24	✓
Darius Garland▼	P+R	22.5	UNDER	80%HIGH	2/2	40%	22	✓
Darius Garland▼	PRA	29.5	UNDER	80%HIGH	2/2	40%	26	✓

ML Scout Analysis

R+A9OVER0%logisticDecent Leg (13/20)10/2050%▼

PTS20.5UNDER5%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 4x10/2050%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW; Line moved +1.0▼

REB2.5OVER3%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)7/2035%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW; Value edge shifted -0.328▼

AST7.5UNDER7%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 3x6/2030%+12.2% edgePrediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Value edge shifted +0.312▼

P+R22.5UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 4x9/2045%▼

P+A27UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 4x8/2040%▼

3PM2.5OVER11%logisticWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x13/2065%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

PRA30.5UNDER14%logisticWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 4x8/2040%+6.3% edgePrediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Line moved +1.0; Value edge shifted +0.154▼

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Toumani Camara	2	5	3	50%	50%
Scoot Henderson	1	4	4	67%	67%
Deni Avdija	2	4	10	100%	100%
Caleb Love	1	3	0	0%	0%
Matisse Thybulle	1	3	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 19.585%HIGH

28 MPG projection with medium blowout risk; season avg 19.1 < line; last 5 avg 23.2 but inconsistent; vs POR 18.6 at 35 MPG; POR defense allows moderate scoring suppression; value calculator strong UNDER edge 11%

assistsOVER 6.585%HIGH

28 MPG supports solid playmaking; season avg 6.95 near line; last 5 avg 7.8 with 3 of 5 over; vs POR 7.56 at 35 MPG; Clippers have solid secondary playmakers; opponent missing primary playmakers increases Garland's assist load; value calculator slight OVER edge

reboundsUNDER 2.575%HIGH

28 MPG projection; season avg 2.4 and last 5 avg 1.9 slightly below line; vs POR 2.22 at 35 MPG; Clippers balanced defense may cap rebounds; value calc slight UNDER edge; rebounds volatile so medium confidence

threesOVER 2.570%HIGH

28 MPG with solid role; season avg 2.85 and last 5 avg 4.5 well above line; vs POR no direct suppression; missing Grant and Sharpe weakens perimeter defense; value calc negative but recent trend favors more 3PM; moderate confidence due to volatility

raUNDER 9.565%MEDIUM

RA (reb+asts) line 9.5; Garland's season reb 2.4+ast 6.9=~9.3 just under line; last 5 combined ~10; minutes volatile, blowout risk caps; opponent missing key defenders but medium blowout risk signals cautious play; value neutral, lean UNDER

paUNDER 26.590%HIGH

Points+assists line 26.5; season combined ~26; last 5 combined ~32 but includes highs; minutes moderate; blowout risk medium; opponent defense middling; value calc favors UNDER; recent inconsistency and cautious minutes limit upside

prUNDER 22.580%HIGH

Points+rebounds line 22.5; season combined ~21.5; last 5 combined ~24; minutes solid; edge missing perimeter defense opposes reb ups; value slightly under; moderate blowout risk caps; lean UNDER

praUNDER 29.580%HIGH

Points+reb+assists line 29.5; season ~28.4; recent ~29.8; marginal edge for UNDER; minutes volatility and blowout risk likely limit ceiling; matchup and opponent defense suppress expectancies; lean UNDER

timelineUNDER 19.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

UNDER 19.5 PTS