Kevin Durant v2 Props — New York Knicks vs Houston Rockets

AI Model:

Kevin Durant▼

HOU · SF

PPG

25.7

RPG

5.4

APG

4.6

L5 PPG

28.4

Last 10 GamesAST

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+2.7

25.7

28.4

RPG-0.8

5.4

4.6

APG+1.8

4.6

6.4

SPG-0.1

0.9

0.8

BPG-0.7

0.9

0.2

OVER 4.5 AST

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

4.5

DEN

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs DEN: 5 ast

NOP

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs NOP: 5 ast

LAL

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs LAL: 2 ast

LAL

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs LAL: 4 ast

ATL

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs ATL: 6 ast

MIA

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs MIA: 3 ast

CHI

2026-03-23

2026-03-23 vs CHI: 5 ast

MIN

2026-03-25

2026-03-25 vs MIN: 8 ast

MEM

2026-03-27

2026-03-27 vs MEM: 10 ast

NOP

2026-03-29

2026-03-29 vs NOP: 6 ast

Over 4.5

Under 4.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

AST

OVER 4.5

85%

3PM

UNDER 2.5

80%

PTS

UNDER 24.5

70%

REB

OVER 4.5

70%

P+A

OVER 29.5

70%

P+R

OVER 29.5

65%

R+A

OVER 9.5

65%

PRA

OVER 34.5

70%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

95%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

23.1

28.1

RPG

5.4

5.5

APG

4.7

5.3

vs NYK (H2H)7 games

PPG

32.3

RPG

6.4

APG

8.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Toumani Camara	3	18	75%	+5.4%	medium
DeMar DeRozan	4	17	50%	-1.7%	medium
Jaden McDaniels	2	16	59%	+2.8%	low
Saddiq Bey	4	16	54%

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Kevin Durant▼	Assists	4.5	OVER	85%HIGH	2/2	70%	8	✓
Kevin Durant▼	3PM	2.5	UNDER	80%HIGH	2/2	50%	4	✗
Kevin Durant▼	Points	24.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	40%	27	✗
Kevin Durant▼	Rebounds	4.5	OVER	70%HIGH	2/2	50%	6	✓
Kevin Durant▼	P+A	29.5	OVER	70%HIGH	2/2	60%	35	✓
Kevin Durant▼	P+R	29.5	OVER	65%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	33	✓
Kevin Durant▼	R+A	9.5	OVER	65%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	14	✓
Kevin Durant▼	PRA	34.5	OVER	70%HIGH	1/2	40%	41	✓
Kevin Durant▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	95%HIGH	—	70%	2	✗

ML Scout Analysis

AST4.5OVER15%logisticWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 8x13/2065%+9.4% edgeConfidence moved MEDIUM to LOW; Line moved -1.0; Value edge shifted +0.103▼

P+A30.5OVER0%logisticWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x11/2055%▼

REB5.5UNDER14%logisticWeak Leg (8/20)10/2050%Value edge changed -0.045; Odds moved materially▼

PRA37.5UNDER20%logisticWeak Leg (8/20)9/2045%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW; Line moved +1.0; Value edge changed -0.033▼

P+R31UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (8/20)8/2040%▼

PTS25.5UNDER25%logisticAvoid (7/20)9/2045%No material changes▼

BLK0.5UNDER0%logisticAvoid (7/20)OVER 4x13/2065%Confidence moved HIGH to LOW; Line nudged -0.5▼

3PM2.5UNDER32%logisticAvoid (6/20)10/2050%No material changes▼

R+A11UNDER0%logisticAvoid (6/20)7/2035%▼

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
OG Anunoby	2	14	0	0%	0%
Josh Hart	2	4	2	33%	33%
Landry Shamet	1	2	3	50%	50%
Jalen Brunson	2	2	2	33%	33%
Mikal Bridges	2	2	0	0%	0%

assistsOVER 4.585%HIGH

36 MPG, VanVleet out boosts usage; trend rising 6.4 last 5; matchup favors Holiday usage; line below recent mean 5.4; sharp edge 8.7%

threesUNDER 2.580%HIGH

36 MPG supports ~3.2 3PM last 5; line 2.5 above recent 2.4; Knicks slightly suppress Threes; sharp signal favors UNDER; blocks/threes strong UNDER historically

pointsUNDER 24.570%HIGH

36 projected vs 25.7 season mean; recent trend down; line moved down from 25.5 to 24.5 (sharp); home avg 23.1 vs HOU; Knicks good defense limits scoring; medium blowout risk cap

reboundsOVER 4.570%HIGH

36 MPG with Adams out pushes frontcourt usage; season avg 5.4 above line; last 5 at 4.6 rebound dip but expected boost replacement; Knicks frontcourt thin; medium confidence

paOVER 29.570%HIGH

Points+Assists combined favored by increased assists (6.4 last 5) and points near line; projected minutes support production; opponent defense average; moderate confidence

prOVER 29.565%MEDIUM

Points+Rebounds combined likely above line with 25.7 points and 5.4 rebounds season avg; rebounds helped by Adams out; moderate confidence on combos

raOVER 9.565%MEDIUM

Rebounds+Assists combined boosted by increased usage without VanVleet and Adams; recent assists and rebounds elevated; season avg assist 4.6 + rebound 5.4 = 10; moderate confidence

praOVER 34.570%HIGH

Points+Rebounds+Assists combined expected over as single props support points, rebounds, assists over; medium confidence due to combo variance

blocksUNDER 0.595%HIGH

Strong historical hit rate on blocks UNDER; Durant averages 0.9 blocks but last 5 only 0.2; low volatility and matchup suppress blocks; lock UNDER

timelineOVER 4.5 AST

Defensive Matchup Profile

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

OVER 4.5 AST