Amen Thompson v2 Props — New York Knicks vs Houston Rockets

AI Model:

Amen Thompson▼

HOU · PG

PPG

17.9

RPG

7.9

APG

5.2

L5 PPG

18.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+0.1

17.9

18.0

RPG+1.3

7.9

9.2

APG-0.6

5.2

4.6

SPG-0.1

1.5

1.4

BPG+0.6

0.6

1.2

OVER 15.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

15.5

DEN

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs DEN: 16 pts

NOP

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs NOP: 23 pts

LAL

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs LAL: 19 pts

LAL

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs LAL: 26 pts

ATL

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs ATL: 14 pts

MIA

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs MIA: 24 pts

CHI

2026-03-23

2026-03-23 vs CHI: 23 pts

MIN

2026-03-25

2026-03-25 vs MIN: 11 pts

MEM

2026-03-27

2026-03-27 vs MEM: 18 pts

NOP

2026-03-29

2026-03-29 vs NOP: 14 pts

Over 15.5

Under 15.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 15.5

85%

REB

OVER 7.5

80%

AST

UNDER 4.5

70%

R+A

OVER 12.5

85%

P+A

OVER 20.5

85%

P+R

OVER 23.5

85%

PRA

OVER 28.5

80%

STL

UNDER 1.5

80%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

95%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

21.4

16.1

RPG

9.7

7.7

APG

5.1

4.5

vs NYK (H2H)5 games

PPG

12.2

RPG

8.8

APG

5.4

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Jamal Murray	4	21	50%	-12.6%	medium
De'Aaron Fox	3	19	60%	-2.6%	medium
Austin Reaves	3	15	28%	-30.4%	medium
Jalen Brunson	2	15	11%

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Amen Thompson▼	Points	15.5	OVER	85%HIGH	2/2	70%	17	✓
Amen Thompson▼	Rebounds	7.5	OVER	80%HIGH	2/2	70%	4	✗
Amen Thompson▼	Assists	4.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	60%	8	✗
Amen Thompson▼	R+A	12.5	OVER	85%HIGH	2/2	60%	12	✗
Amen Thompson▼	P+A	20.5	OVER	85%HIGH	2/2	70%	25	✓
Amen Thompson▼	P+R	23.5	OVER	85%HIGH	1/2	60%	21	✗
Amen Thompson▼	PRA	28.5	OVER	80%HIGH	2/2	60%	29	✓
Amen Thompson▼	Steals	1.5	UNDER	80%HIGH	2/2	60%	0	✓
Amen Thompson▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	95%HIGH	—	50%	2	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PTS16.5UNDER1%logisticWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 4x16/2080%Value edge changed -0.039; Odds moved materially▼

REB7.5UNDER12%logisticWeak Leg (9/20)12/2060%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Value edge shifted -0.091; Odds moved materially▼

STL1.5UNDER37%logisticWeak Leg (9/20)9/2045%No material changes▼

PRA29.5UNDER12%logisticWeak Leg (9/20)13/2065%Line moved -1.0; Value edge changed -0.035▼

P+R28UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (9/20)9/2045%▼

R+A13.5OVER0%logisticWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼

P+A25UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 8x7/2035%▼

AST5.5UNDER25%logisticAvoid (6/20)8/2040%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Line moved +1.0; Odds moved materially▼

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Jalen Brunson	2	15	2	11%	11%
Mikal Bridges	2	4	2	100%	100%
OG Anunoby	2	3	0	0%	0%
Karl-Anthony Towns	2	3	2	33%	33%
Jose Alvarado	2	2	0	0%	0%

pointsOVER 15.585%HIGH

37 MPG proj supports 18.8 recent PPG vs 15.5 line; close game, shooter uplift

reboundsOVER 7.580%HIGH

Recent 9.3 RPG higher than line; Adams out boosts reb frontcourt; 37 MPG

assistsUNDER 4.570%HIGH

Season avg 5.2 close to line; recent dip to 4.6; solid defender limits assists

raOVER 12.585%HIGH

RA (reb+ast) combine season avg ~13.1, line 12.5; good minutes, usage boost

paOVER 20.585%HIGH

PA (points+assists) season mean ~23.1; line 20.5; consistent role, score+pass

prOVER 23.585%HIGH

PR (points+rebounds) recent avg ~28.1 well above line; role steady, matchup OK

praOVER 28.580%HIGH

PRA (points+rebounds+assists) season ~31.0 line 28.5; minutes support; role key

stealsUNDER 1.580%HIGH

Steals strong at 1.5 line; consistent ~1.4 recent, opp defense solid; medium mins

blocksUNDER 0.595%HIGH

Blocks very low likelihood over 0.5; season 0.6 but under best pick; stable

timelineOVER 15.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

OVER 15.5 PTS