Ryan Rollins v2 Props — Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks

AI Model:

Ryan Rollins

MIL · PG

PPG

17.0

RPG

4.6

APG

5.6

L5 PPG

20.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+3.4

17.0

20.4

RPG-0.2

4.6

4.4

APG-0.2

5.6

5.4

SPG+0.1

1.5

1.6

BPG-0.2

0.4

0.2

UNDER 20.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

20.5

PHX

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs PHX: 14 pts

MIA

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs MIA: 16 pts

ATL

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs ATL: 22 pts

IND

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs IND: 20 pts

CLE

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs CLE: 19 pts

UTA

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs UTA: 15 pts

PHX

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs PHX: 26 pts

LAC

2026-03-23

2026-03-23 vs LAC: 13 pts

POR

2026-03-25

2026-03-25 vs POR: 36 pts

SAS

2026-03-28

2026-03-28 vs SAS: 12 pts

Over 20.5

Under 20.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 20.5

85%

AST

UNDER 6.5

70%

REB

UNDER 4.5

70%

3PM

UNDER 2.5

65%

R+A

UNDER 10.5

75%

P+R

UNDER 24.5

75%

P+A

UNDER 27.5

75%

PRA

UNDER 31.5

75%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

95%

STL

OVER 1.5

80%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

16.2

21.3

RPG

2.2

4.8

APG

5.5

6.8

vs DAL (H2H)2 games

PPG

7.5

RPG

2.0

APG

4.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Tyrese Maxey	3	25	57%	+2.7%	medium
Immanuel Quickley	4	20	65%	+4.9%	medium
Jalen Pickett	2	17	44%	-14.0%	low
Jalen Brunson	3	16	71%

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Ryan Rollins▼	Points	20.5	UNDER	85%HIGH	2/2	70%	24	✗
Ryan Rollins▼	Assists	6.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	40%	9	✗
Ryan Rollins▼	Rebounds	4.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	80%	7	✗
Ryan Rollins▼	3PM	2.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	4	✗
Ryan Rollins▼	R+A	10.5	UNDER	75%HIGH	2/2	60%	16	✗
Ryan Rollins▼	P+R	24.5	UNDER	75%HIGH	2/2	70%	31	✗
Ryan Rollins▼	P+A	27.5	UNDER	75%HIGH	2/2	70%	33	✗
Ryan Rollins▼	PRA	31.5	UNDER	75%HIGH	2/2	70%	40	✗
Ryan Rollins▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	95%HIGH	—	70%	0	✓
Ryan Rollins▼	Steals	1.5	OVER	80%HIGH	1/2	40%	1	✗

ML Scout Analysis

P+A23.5OVER0%logisticWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x10/2050%▼

P+R22UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x7/2035%▼

R+A10.5UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (8/20)9/2045%▼

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Brandon Williams	2	10	10	44%	44%
Max Christie	2	3	0	0%	0%
Ryan Nembhard	1	3	0	0%	0%
Cooper Flagg	2	2	10	50%	50%
D'Angelo Russell	1	1	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 20.585%HIGH

Projected 29 MPG vs line 20.5; last H2H 7.5 on 17.5 MPG; Rollins lowered minutes vs season 32; team lost Giannis but blowout risk low, lowering usage raise; line above recent 19.3 PPG; value calc suggests UNDER; Dallas D tough on scoring.

assistsUNDER 6.570%HIGH

Projected 29 MPG with slight back/hip soreness; minor usage increase replacing Giannis playmaking; last H2H 4 APG on limited minutes; line above recent 6.3 APG; opponent ball movement reduces assists ceiling; value calc favors UNDER; moderate confidence due to usage lift.

reboundsUNDER 4.570%HIGH

Minutes reduced to 29 vs 32 season; last 5 rebound average 3.8 under line; Giannis absence hurts Bucks boards; opponent has strong frontcourt advantage; no teammate rebound boost; value edge slight UNDER; team defensive weakness caps rebound upside.

threesUNDER 2.565%MEDIUM

Line set 2.5, season average 2.46, recent slight uptick 2.7; lowered minutes limits attempts; opponent allows high opponent 3PT volume but Rollins 3 attempts inconsistent; no teammate boost; volatility moderate; pick UNDER for structural edge and minute cut.

raUNDER 10.575%HIGH

Points + rebounds line 10.5; Rollins minutes lowered to 29 vs 32, replay last 5 lower rebounds and points than needed; opponent defensive weaknesses partially offset by line above season mean; value favors UNDER; confidence medium-high to avoid volatility.

prUNDER 24.575%HIGH

Points+rebounds line 24.5, season points+rebounds 21.7 (17+4.6); minute reduction, slight injury, and strong opponent defense; Rollins unlikely to reach combo line; value calc minus EV; confidence solid for UNDER due to line stretch.

paUNDER 27.575%HIGH

Points+assists line 27.5; season avg 22.6 (17+5.6), recent higher but still below; 29 min projected, lower than season; opponent defense asserts pressure reducing assists; value calc edge UNDER; pick UNDER strong given line above averages.

praUNDER 31.575%HIGH

Points+rebounds+assists line 31.5; season avg ~27.2; slight minute and usage dip; opponent defense is tough; Rollins limited rebound upside; value calc favors UNDER; low blowout risk but volume probably not enough for this total.

blocksUNDER 0.595%HIGH

Season blocks 0.4 per game; last 5 games 0.2 blocks; blocks are rare; no specific boost; standard strong UNDER pick on low volume prop.

stealsOVER 1.580%HIGH

Season 1.5 spg, recent 1.6 spg, steady minutes at 29; defensive effort-based steals plausible; opponent pace high leads to more possessions and steal chances; moderate confidence OVER given defender stats and pace.

timelineUNDER 20.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

UNDER 20.5 PTS