Daniel Gafford v2 Props — Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks

AI Model:

Daniel Gafford

DAL · C

PPG

9.7

RPG

7.0

APG

1.1

L5 PPG

18.8

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+9.1

9.7

18.8

RPG+3.0

7.0

10.0

APG+0.7

1.1

1.8

SPG-0.5

0.7

0.2

BPG-0.4

1.2

0.8

UNDER 11.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

11.5

OKC

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs OKC: 8 pts

CHA

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs CHA: 10 pts

ORL

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs ORL: 12 pts

TOR

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs TOR: 21 pts

ATL

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs ATL: 14 pts

MEM

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs MEM: 22 pts

ATL

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs ATL: 24 pts

LAC

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs LAC: 7 pts

GSW

2026-03-23

2026-03-23 vs GSW: 20 pts

MIN

2026-03-30

2026-03-30 vs MIN: 21 pts

Over 11.5

Under 11.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 11.5

85%

REB

UNDER 7.5

75%

P+R

UNDER 18.5

80%

PRA

UNDER 20.5

75%

R+A

UNDER 9.5

65%

BLK

UNDER 1.5

80%

P+A

UNDER 12.5

70%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

16.0

15.8

RPG

8.6

10.8

APG

2.0

1.6

vs MIL (H2H)12 games

PPG

9.7

RPG

6.3

APG

1.8

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Rudy Gobert	3	13	50%	-15.5%	medium
Jaxson Hayes	3	12	80%	+14.5%	medium
Donovan Clingan	2	12	83%	+1.2%	low
Alperen Sengun	3	11	45%

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Daniel Gafford▼	Points	11.5	UNDER	85%HIGH	1/2	30%	7	✓
Daniel Gafford▼	Rebounds	7.5	UNDER	75%HIGH	2/2	30%	4	✓
Daniel Gafford▼	P+R	18.5	UNDER	80%HIGH	1/2	20%	11	✓
Daniel Gafford▼	PRA	20.5	UNDER	75%HIGH	1/2	20%	11	✓
Daniel Gafford▼	R+A	9.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	1/2	30%	4	✓
Daniel Gafford▼	Blocks	1.5	UNDER	80%HIGH	1/2	90%	1	✓
Daniel Gafford▼	P+A	12.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	30%	7	✓

ML Scout Analysis

FTA4UNDER24%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)6/2030%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

PRA17.5OVER28%gbt_praWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

P+A13UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x7/2035%▼

R+A8.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%▼

P+R19UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%▼

PTS9UNDER14%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%▼

REB6.5UNDER12%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (8/20)10/2050%▼

AST1UNDER12%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 3x7/2035%▼

BLK1UNDER48%gbt_blocksWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 2x6/2030%Confidence moved LOW to HIGH▼

FTM2OVER0%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 5x9/2045%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER▼

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Giannis Antetokounmpo	1	6	11	50%	50%
Jericho Sims	1	2	4	50%	50%
Myles Turner	2	2	0	0%	0%
Bobby Portis	1	1	2	100%	100%
Ryan Rollins	2	1	7	60%	70%

pointsUNDER 11.585%HIGH

Proj 26 min, last 5 avg 15.9 below line 11.5 is high; line dropped -4 sharp signal; Bucks weak rim defense helps but scoring line too high

reboundsUNDER 7.575%HIGH

Proj 26 min, last 5 9.7 rpg, but line not moved; Bucks weak interior aids boards but line capped; confidence medium

prUNDER 18.580%HIGH

PR = points + rebounds; season avg 16.7, last 5 25.7; under is worthy due line higher than recent 26 min role

praUNDER 20.575%HIGH

PR+assists all elevated but assists low on avg; line above combined recent averages, moderate confidence

raUNDER 9.565%MEDIUM

Rebounds + assists line high vs recent combined 11.5; borderline but fit minutes, low blowout risk, moderate confidence

blocksUNDER 1.580%HIGH

Strong league trend to under but Gafford recent 0.8 blocks at 26 min; opposition weak rim defense aids blocks; slight over edge

paUNDER 12.570%HIGH

Player assists line; season avg 1.1, last 5 1.8; line high, but weak defensive team boosts assist opportunities; moderate confidence

timelineUNDER 11.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

UNDER 11.5 PTS