Cooper Flagg v2 Props — Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks

AI Model:

Cooper Flagg

DAL · PG

PPG

20.3

RPG

6.5

APG

4.6

L5 PPG

22.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+2.1

20.3

22.4

RPG-0.7

6.5

5.8

APG+0.8

4.6

5.4

SPG+0.4

1.2

1.6

BPG+0.4

1.0

1.4

UNDER 21.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

21.5

MEM

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs MEM: 13 pts

CLE

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs CLE: 25 pts

CLE

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs CLE: 27 pts

NOP

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs NOP: 21 pts

ATL

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs ATL: 17 pts

LAC

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs LAC: 18 pts

GSW

2026-03-23

2026-03-23 vs GSW: 32 pts

DEN

2026-03-25

2026-03-25 vs DEN: 26 pts

POR

2026-03-27

2026-03-27 vs POR: 24 pts

MIN

2026-03-30

2026-03-30 vs MIN: 12 pts

Over 21.5

Under 21.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 21.5

85%

REB

OVER 6.5

65%

AST

OVER 4.5

75%

3PM

UNDER 0.5

90%

P+A

OVER 28.5

80%

PRA

OVER 34.5

70%

R+A

OVER 12.5

65%

P+R

OVER 29.5

75%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

95%

STL

OVER 1.5

80%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

20.8

22.2

RPG

5.6

6.0

APG

5.6

6.8

vs MIL (H2H)1 games

PPG

26.0

RPG

9.0

APG

4.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Herbert Jones	4	20	65%	+11.4%	medium
Jabari Smith Jr.	3	17	47%	-7.4%	medium
Tari Eason	3	14	46%	-14.1%	medium
Peyton Watson	4	12	75%

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Cooper Flagg▼	Points	21.5	UNDER	85%HIGH	2/2	50%	19	✓
Cooper Flagg▼	Rebounds	6.5	OVER	65%MEDIUM	1/2	30%	10	✓
Cooper Flagg▼	Assists	4.5	OVER	75%HIGH	2/2	80%	3	✗
Cooper Flagg▼	3PM	0.5	UNDER	90%HIGH	—	60%	0	✓
Cooper Flagg▼	P+A	28.5	OVER	80%HIGH	1/2	50%	22	✗
Cooper Flagg▼	PRA	34.5	OVER	70%HIGH	2/2	50%	32	✗
Cooper Flagg▼	R+A	12.5	OVER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	13	✓
Cooper Flagg▼	P+R	29.5	OVER	75%HIGH	1/2	30%	29	✗
Cooper Flagg▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	95%HIGH	1/2	30%	1	✗
Cooper Flagg▼	Steals	1.5	OVER	80%HIGH	—	50%	3	✓

ML Scout Analysis

R+A12OVER0%logisticWeak Leg (10/20)11/2055%Scorecard changed +3.0▼

PTS27.5UNDER22%logisticWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x4/2020%+28.1% edgeLine moved +1.0; Value edge shifted +0.118; Scorecard changed +4.0▼

BLK0.5OVER17%logisticWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 4x13/2065%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Confidence moved HIGH to LOW; Line nudged -0.5▼

PRA42.5UNDER14%logisticWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x4/2020%+22.6% edgeConfidence moved MEDIUM to LOW; Line moved +2.0; Value edge changed +0.075▼

AST5.5UNDER18%logisticWeak Leg (8/20)10/2050%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW; Scorecard changed +3.0▼

STL1.5UNDER32%logisticWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 3x10/2050%Scorecard changed +3.0▼

P+A29UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 2x7/2035%Scorecard changed +3.0▼

REB6.5UNDER20%logisticAvoid (7/20)8/2040%+10.3% edgeConfidence moved MEDIUM to LOW; Scorecard changed +3.0▼

3PM1.5UNDER24%logisticAvoid (7/20)OVER 2x5/2025%+13.3% edgeConfidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Scorecard changed +3.0▼

P+R30UNDER0%logisticAvoid (7/20)OVER 2x7/2035%Scorecard changed +3.0▼

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Kyle Kuzma	2	7	9	30%	30%
Gary Trent Jr.	2	6	0	0%	0%
Ousmane Dieng	1	2	0	0%	0%
Bobby Portis	1	2	6	67%	100%
Ryan Rollins	2	2	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 21.585%HIGH

Proj 38 mpg vs Bucks with Giannis out; season avg 20.3; recent 22.4; line moved up sharply; recent games over line 3-5; value favors UNDER with 13% edge

reboundsOVER 6.565%MEDIUM

Proj 38 mpg, season 6.5 rpg, recent 5.8; Bucks weak interior D without Giannis; slight edge for OVER; moderate confidence due to recent slight dip

assistsOVER 4.575%HIGH

Season 4.6 apg, recent 5.4, proj 38 mpg; Bucks perimeter defense weak vs PGs; line moved up sharply from 4.5 to 5.5; tailwind for OVER

threesUNDER 0.590%HIGH

Season 0.95 3pm, recent 0.5; Bucks allow many threes but Flagg low volume shooter; history and recent games mostly under; blocks are usually UNDER; safe lean UNDER

paOVER 28.580%HIGH

PA=points+assists 28.5 line; Season combined is 24.9 (20.3+4.6) but recent increased usage lifts this; Bucks D weak on perimeter allows more productivity; medium-high confidence OVER

praOVER 34.570%HIGH

PRA=points+rebounds+assists; Season sum ~31.4; Recent sum 33.6; projected 38 min supports near line; Bucks weak rim defense boosts rebound potential; lean OVER with moderate confidence

raOVER 12.565%MEDIUM

REB+AST at 12.5 line; Season sum 11.1, recent 11.2; vs Bucks weak perimeter and interior defense supports slight boost; projected minutes high; moderate confidence OVER

prOVER 29.575%HIGH

PR=points+rebounds at 29.5 line; Season ~26.8, recent ~28.2; Bucks lack rim protection supports higher boards; 38 minutes help; high confidence OVER

blocksUNDER 0.595%HIGH

Season 1.0 bpg, recent 1.4 bpg slightly above line; yet blocks UNDER historically 71% hit rate; opponent weak rim defense but line low; statistical tendency strong for UNDER

stealsOVER 1.580%HIGH

Season 1.2 spg, recent 1.6 spg; Bucks poor defense enables steals; high pace and aggressive defense increases opportunity; 38 minutes projected; solid pick OVER

timelineUNDER 21.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

UNDER 21.5 PTS