Sam Merrill v2 Props — Cleveland Cavaliers vs Los Angeles Lakers

AI Model:

Sam Merrill▼

CLE · SF

PPG

12.9

RPG

2.6

APG

2.3

L5 PPG

14.2

Last 10 GamesAST

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+1.3

12.9

14.2

RPG+2.0

2.6

4.6

APG+0.5

2.3

2.8

SPG0.0

0.6

BPG-0.1

0.1

0.0

OVER 2.5 AST

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

2.5

BOS

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs BOS: 4 ast

PHI

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs PHI: 5 ast

ORL

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs ORL: 2 ast

MIL

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs MIL: 2 ast

CHI

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs CHI: 3 ast

NOP

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs NOP: 2 ast

ORL

2026-03-24

2026-03-24 vs ORL: 1 ast

MIA

2026-03-25

2026-03-25 vs MIA: 4 ast

MIA

2026-03-27

2026-03-27 vs MIA: 4 ast

UTA

2026-03-30

2026-03-30 vs UTA: 3 ast

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

AST

OVER 2.5

85%

PTS

UNDER 12.5

70%

3PM

UNDER 2.5

75%

REB

OVER 2.5

70%

PRA

UNDER 19.5

65%

P+A

UNDER 16.5

65%

R+A

OVER 5.5

70%

P+R

UNDER 16.5

65%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

95%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

10.9

14.1

RPG

2.9

3.5

APG

2.8

2.0

vs LAL (H2H)5 games

PPG

1.4

RPG

0.6

APG

1.8

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
AJ Green	4	20	100%	+20.8%	medium
Duncan Robinson	3	12	64%	+8.6%	medium
Trey Murphy III	2	8	50%	-5.9%	low
Jalen Brunson	3	8	44%

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	Trend
Sam Merrill▼	Assists	2.5	OVER	85%HIGH	60%
Sam Merrill▼	Points	12.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	40%
Sam Merrill▼	3PM	2.5	UNDER	75%HIGH	60%
Sam Merrill▼	Rebounds	2.5	OVER	70%HIGH	80%
Sam Merrill▼	PRA	19.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	60%
Sam Merrill▼	P+A	16.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	60%
Sam Merrill▼	R+A	5.5	OVER	70%HIGH	80%
Sam Merrill▼	P+R	16.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	50%
Sam Merrill▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	95%HIGH	90%

assistsOVER 2.5

ML Scout Analysis

P+R15OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (13/20)10/2050%▼

P+A14.5OVER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)11/2055%▼

R+A5.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)11/2055%▼

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Season eFG%: 45.9% — green = player shoots better vs this defender, red = worse

vs LAL Defenders

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Bronny James	1	0	0	0%	0%
Dalton Knecht	1	0	0	0%	0%

Coach projects 28 min; recent 2.8 APG on 29.8 min; sharp line move up; opponent average defense; line below recent avg 3.0 APG; consistent starter role supports OVER

pointsUNDER 12.570%HIGH

Projected 28 min matches season avg; recent form trending down; line above recent 12.1 ppg; opponent three-point defense strong; sharp line move up suggests market adjusting, but cautious

threesUNDER 2.575%HIGH

Season avg 3.08 but recent 2.0 with line at 2.5; opponent suppresses threes slightly; consistent minutes but recent lower attempts; market favors UNDER; proven under accuracy favors UNDER

reboundsOVER 2.570%HIGH

Season avg 2.63, recent 4.2 rebounds, line at 2.5; projected 28 min consistent; opponent average reb defense; last 5 mostly over 2.5; slight edge OVER

praUNDER 19.565%MEDIUM

Points+Reb+Ast line implies demands >19.5; season avg PRA ~17.8; rebounds and assists moderate; cautious lean UNDER given scoring uncertainty

paUNDER 16.565%MEDIUM

Points+Ast line 16.5; recent combined points+assists less than this total; opponent defense tight on perimeter scoring; lean UNDER

raOVER 5.570%HIGH

Rebounds+Assists; recent rebounds 4.2 + assists 2.8 ~7; line 5.5; consistent minutes and role supports OVER

prUNDER 16.565%MEDIUM

Points+Rebounds at 16.5; recent points ~12.1 + rebounds 4.2 =16.3 close to line; cautious lean UNDER due to scoring line uncertainty

blocksUNDER 0.595%HIGH

Season avg 0.1 bpg, last 5 games 0.0 bpg; opponent interior offense modest; proven strong under pick for blocks; very high confidence UNDER

timelineOVER 2.5 AST

Defensive Matchup Profile

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

OVER 2.5 AST