AI Model:
PG
Bub Carrington
WAS · PG
PPG
10.2
RPG
3.6
APG
4.6
L5 PPG
14.2
Last 10 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+4.0
10.2
14.2
RPG-0.8
3.6
2.8
APG0.0
4.6
4.6
SPG-0.2
0.6
0.4
BPG-0.2
0.2
0.0
Home vs Away
Home
Away
PPG
15.8
11.3
RPG
3.2
2.8
APG
2.5
5.8
vs POR (H2H)3 games
PPG
7.3
RPG
4.3
APG
4.3
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Maxey | 4 | 15 | 72% | +19.0% | medium |
| Jamal Murray | 2 | 14 | 71% | +22.2% | low |
| Reed Sheppard | 2 | 11 | 93% | +29.3% | low |
| T.J. McConnell | 3 | 10 | 100% |
{ "props": [ { "type": "points", "line": 13.5, "pick": "UNDER", "confidence": 70, "reasoning": "Projected for 30 minutes as the primary ball handler with Tre Johnson out, Carrington sees a role expansion, but his scoring is heavily dependent on location. He averages only 11.3 PPG on the road compared to 15.8 at home, and his season average of 10.2 PPG is well below this 13.5 line. While he has cleared this in 3 of his last 5 games, his H2H history against Portland is low at 7.3 PPG over three meetings. The high blowout probability (16-point spread) may lead to lower efficiency even if he plays through garbage time. Given the 11.3 road average and 10.2 season mean, the under is the statistically safer play." }, { "type": "assists", "line": 4.5, "pick": "OVER", "confidence": 75, "reasoning": "Carrington is projected for 30 minutes and will serve as the primary ball handler tonight with starter Tre Johnson ruled out. His away split for assists is significantly higher at 5.8 APG compared to his 4.6 season average, suggesting he facilitates better on the road. The game features a very
ML Scout Analysis
P+A16UNDER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (14/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼
P+R14.5OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (13/20)10/2050%▼
R+A7OVER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.