Doug McDermott's season average of 5.3 PPG and his H2H average against Brooklyn of 5.9 PPG are both significantly below the 7.5 point line, and the value calculator identifies a massive 29.1% edge on the UNDER. While he cleared this line in 4 of his last 5 games (averaging 9.4 PPG), his minutes dropped sharply to 12 in his most recent outing, signaling a regression toward his season average of 14.0 MPG. Coach Mike Brown's deep 13-man rotation limits McDermott's usage, and his away scoring split of 5.5 PPG further reinforces the likelihood of an UNDER. Brooklyn's defense provides scoring suppression (0.041), and with the game expected to be close (1.0 spread), there is no blowout narrative to boost his bench minutes. Confidence is capped at 60 because the recent 4-game over streak represents a significant deviation from his established season-long production.