Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Gillespie | 2 | 9 | 56% | +11.0% | low |
| Bub Carrington | 3 | 7 | 75% | +11.0% | medium |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 3 | 6 | 44% | +5.4% | medium |
| Daniss Jenkins | 3 | 6 | 40% |
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jevon Carter▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | OVER | 80%HIGH | 60% | 1 | ✗ |
Jevon Carter▼ | Points | 5.5 | OVER | 90%HIGH | 90% | 7 | ✓ |
Jevon Carter▼ | PRA | 10.5 | OVER | 75%HIGH | 70% | 11 | ✓ |
Carter is averaging 1.9 threes over his last 10 games and has cleared this line in 6 of those 10 outings. The value calculator shows a significant 24% edge for the OVER, supported by a recent minutes increase to 20.0 MPG compared to his 15.8 season average.
This is a high-conviction play as Carter has cleared 5.5 points in 9 of his last 10 games, averaging 9.4 PPG in that span. Sharp money has moved the line up from 4.5 to 6.5, and his role is solidified by the absence of Franz Wagner, which keeps his minutes floor near 20.
| medium |
| Dennis Schröder | 2 | 6 | 50% | +11.0% | low |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Shead | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0% | 0% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Gradey Dick | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Alijah Martin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Markelle Fultz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
Carter's recent PRA average of 13.5 over the last 10 games is well above this line, with a 70% hit rate in that period. While his H2H history against Toronto is low (4.7 PRA), that data is outdated (Jan 2024) and does not reflect his current 20+ minute rotation role in Orlando's offense.