Suggs averages 13.7 PPG on the season and has trended down to 10.6 PPG over his last 5 games. Sharp money has aggressively moved this line down from 18.5 to 13.5, and his away scoring average of 12.1 PPG is significantly below this line.

Suggs averages 2.0 threes per game on the season and only 1.43 on the road, failing to clear this line in 4 of his last 5 games. Toronto's defense also features a -0.56 three-point suppression rating, further limiting his outlook.

With a season average of 3.8 and a recent 5-game average of 4.0, Suggs is consistently active on the glass. He has cleared 3.5 rebounds in 7 of his last 10 games, and the coach's 28-minute projection provides enough floor to reach this mark.

While his away average is 3.9 APG, sharp money has moved this line up significantly from 3.5 to 5.5. This movement, combined with Franz Wagner being out, suggests Suggs will absorb more playmaking duties in a game with a high pace indicator.

Suggs' combined points and assists average on the road is only 16.0, well below the 18.5 line. His recent scoring slump (8, 14, 9, 14, 8 in last 5) makes it difficult to clear this total even with a projected boost in assists.

His last 5-game PRA average is 19.0, and his away PRA average is 19.4, both failing to reach the 22.5 threshold. The value calculator shows a strong edge for the under on his counting stats tonight.

Suggs averages 7.3 RA on the road compared to 10.4 at home, showing a significant drop-off in production away from Orlando. He has failed to clear 8.5 RA in 3 of his last 5 games.

Suggs has cleared 16.5 PR only once in his last 6 games, and his recent 5-game average of 14.6 is nearly two full units below the line. His away PR average of 15.5 further supports the under.

Although his season average is 1.8, Suggs has averaged only 1.0 SPG over his last 5 games and 1.3 SPG on the road. Toronto's key defenders like Immanuel Quickley have limited opposing guards effectively this season.

Historical data shows a 71.4% hit rate for UNDER on block props. While Suggs has been active recently, the 28-minute projection and structural advantage of the under in this market make it the statistically superior play.