AI Model:
PG
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander—
OKC · PG
PPG
31.4
RPG
4.4
APG
6.6
L5 PPG
28.0
Last 10 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG-3.4
31.4
28.0
RPG-1.4
4.4
3.0
APG-0.4
6.6
6.2
SPG0.0
1.4
1.4
BPG+0.2
0.8
1.0
Home vs Away
Home
Away
PPG
29.8
31.5
RPG
4.6
4.3
APG
7.6
7.3
vs NYK (H2H)9 games
PPG
29.8
RPG
4.8
APG
6.0
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toumani Camara | 4 | 19 | 35% | -25.2% | medium |
| Jaden McDaniels | 3 | 15 | 57% | -8.5% | medium |
| Devin Vassell | 3 | 14 | 60% | -15.2% | medium |
| Jabari Smith Jr. | 2 | 12 | 35% |
{ "props": [ { "type": "assists", "line": 6.5, "pick": "UNDER", "confidence": 75, "reasoning": "SGA is projected for 31.2 minutes, a decrease from his 33.4 season average, due to a high blowout probability against the Knicks. While his season average (6.6) and home average (7.6) are above the line, his last 5 games show a downward trend at 6.2 APG. Furthermore, his H2H history against New York is low at 6.0 APG, and he has failed to clear this line in 5 of his last 10 games. The value calculator shows a 5.3% edge for the OVER, but this does not account for the expected fourth-quarter rest in a blowout scenario." }, { "type": "points", "line": 30.5, "pick": "UNDER", "confidence": 85, "reasoning": "SGA's scoring has trended downward recently, averaging 28.0 PPG over his last 5 games compared to his 31.4 season average. The coach agent projects him for only 31.2 minutes tonight, significantly lower than his usual 33.4, as OKC is heavily favored with a high blowout risk. His H2H average
ML Scout Analysis
AST6.5OVER17%gbt_assistsDecent Leg (13/20)OVER 2x12/2060%+13.5% edge▼
PRA41.5OVER3%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge shifted +0.087; Scorecard changed +3.0▼
P+R34.5OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)10/2050%▼
P+A37UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼
PTS30.5UNDER23%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%+5.1% edge▼
3PM1.5UNDER30%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (8/20)7/2035%+7.2% edge▼
R+A11.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)8/2040%▼
REB3.5UNDER5%gbt_reboundsAvoid (7/20)OVER 3x12/2060%▼
STL1.5UNDER5%gbt_stealsAvoid (7/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.