Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMelo Ball | 2 | 12 | 39% | -5.4% | low |
| Davion Mitchell | 2 | 10 | 63% | +7.8% | low |
| Collin Gillespie | 2 | 9 | 13% | -29.7% | low |
| Payton Pritchard | 2 | 9 | 17% |
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Miles McBride▼ | Points | 7.5 | OVER | 88%HIGH | 1/2 | 90% | 0 | ✗ |
Miles McBride▼ | Rebounds | 1.5 | OVER | 82%HIGH | 1/2 | 70% | 1 | ✗ |
Miles McBride▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | OVER | 75%HIGH | 1/2 | 70% | 0 | ✗ |
Miles McBride▼ | PRA | 10.5 | OVER | 90%HIGH | 1/2 | 90% | 2 | ✗ |
| low |
| Stephen Curry | 1 | 8 | 69% | +7.8% | low |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 1 | 2 | 4 | 50% | 50% |
| Ajay Mitchell | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Jalen Williams | 1 | 0 | 2 | 100% | 100% |
| Chet Holmgren | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Alex Caruso | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
McBride is projected for 28 minutes by Coach Thibodeau, who notes his role is stable even in the high blowout risk scenario predicted tonight. His season average of 12.89 PPG and away split of 14.4 PPG are significantly higher than the 7.5 line, and he has cleared this mark in 4 of his last 5 games. While his scoring trend is technically 'down' recently, his 31.0 MPG over the last 10 games and 9.0 PPG head-to-head average against OKC provide a strong floor. The matchup against OKC's 107.7 defensive rating is tough, but the value calculator identifies a massive 32.4% edge for the OVER, and he is currently Available (Pelvic) to play his full rotation role.
The coach agent projects McBride for 28 minutes, and since he plays regardless of a blowout, he should have ample opportunity to exceed the low 1.5 rebound line. His season average of 2.6 RPG and last 5 average of 2.8 RPG both sit well above the line, with 4 of his last 5 games clearing this total. McBride averages 2.6 RPG on the road and has a consistent head-to-head history of 2.75 RPG against the Thunder. The value calculator shows a 29.2% edge for the OVER, supported by his 31-minute recent workload which is higher than his season average. Despite the Thunder's strong defensive rating, McBride's role in the Knicks' rotation ensures he remains active on the glass.
McBride averages 2.9 threes per game on the season, which is nearly double the 1.5 line, and he is even more productive on the road with a 3.1 3PM split. The coach agent's 28-minute projection and the high-pace game script (101.82) favor his high-volume shooting, although he has only cleared this line in 2 of his last 5 games. His recent trend shows a dip to 2.2 3PM, but his high volume of 8.4 attempts per game over the last five suggests positive regression is likely. The value calculator identifies a 21.5% edge for the OVER, and while OKC's defense is elite, McBride's 42% season shooting percentage from deep remains a strong indicator for this low line.
McBride's combined PRA season average of 18.3 is nearly 75% higher than the 10.5 line, and he has cleared this mark in 4 of his last 5 games. The coach agent projects 28 minutes for McBride, noting his minutes are blowout-proof, which is essential given the high probability of a lopsided score against the 58-16 Thunder. His head-to-head average of 14.5 PRA against OKC and his 14.4 PPG away scoring split both suggest the line is set far too low for his current role. With a 9/10 hit rate over his last 10 games and a stable 31-minute recent workload, the statistical floor for this combo prop is exceptionally high regardless of the matchup's defensive difficulty.