AI Model:
C
Pascal Siakam
IND · C
PPG
23.7
RPG
6.6
APG
3.8
L5 PPG
20.8
Last 10 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG-2.9
23.7
20.8
RPG-1.0
6.6
5.6
APG-0.8
3.8
3.0
SPG+0.3
1.1
1.4
BPG0.0
0.4
0.4
Home vs Away
Home
Away
PPG
20.3
25.1
RPG
7.3
4.9
APG
2.3
3.0
vs MIA (H2H)18 games
PPG
20.9
RPG
7.8
APG
4.7
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes | 4 | 25 | 50% | +1.6% | medium |
| Paolo Banchero | 3 | 19 | 41% | -7.5% | medium |
| Evan Mobley | 3 | 18 | 29% | -19.8% | medium |
| Miles Bridges | 2 | 16 | 63% |
{ "props": [ { "type": "threes", "line": 1.5, "pick": "UNDER", "confidence": 85, "reasoning": "Pascal Siakam is currently struggling from beyond the arc, averaging just 0.6 made threes over his last 5 games and failing to clear this 1.5 line in 4 of those outings. His home average of 1.0 made three per game is significantly below the line, and the value calculator identifies a massive 51% edge on the UNDER. Miami's defense is elite at perimeter suppression, ranking high with a -0.849 three-suppression rating, which will limit his looks. Furthermore, the high blowout probability (89.9% MIA win) suggests Carlisle will cap Siakam's minutes at 26, leaving him with insufficient volume to hit two triples." }, { "type": "points", "line": 25.5, "pick": "UNDER", "confidence": 90, "reasoning": "The line has seen massive sharp downward movement, opening at 27.5 and crashing to 21.5, making the 25.5 line a high-value UNDER. Siakam's season average of 23.7 PPG is already below this line, and his production at home drops further to 20.3 PPG. He has cleared
ML Scout Analysis
P+R30.5OVER0%logisticDecent Leg (13/20)11/2055%▼
P+A28OVER0%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 3x11/2055%▼
R+A9.5UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.