{
"props": [
{
"type": "threes",
"line": 1.5,
"pick": "OVER",
"confidence": 75,
"reasoning": "Coach projects 28 minutes (up from 21.4) as a starting spot-up shooter with low blowout volatility, providing the volume needed to clear 1.5 threes. This role expansion to replace Aaron Nesmith (Out) is supported by a 28.3% value edge and a season average (1.31) that is close to the line. While his last 5 trend is 1.6, his home split (1.47) is superior to his away split (1.13), and the high 245.0 game total suggests a fast pace. Despite Miami's three suppression (-0.849), his increased usage as a starter makes the OVER the strongest play."
},
{
"type": "points",
"line": 7.5,
"pick": "UNDER",
"confidence": 65,
"reasoning": "Projected 28 minutes as a starter due to Nesmith (Out) boosts his floor, but the 7.5 line is above his 7.0 season average and 7.3 last 10 average. Value calculator identifies a 18.6% edge on the UNDER, which is reinforced by a
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.