Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick White | 2 | 11 | 38% | -8.1% | low |
| Luka Dončić | 2 | 10 | 43% | -8.1% | low |
| Jalen Brunson | 2 | 10 | 44% | -3.9% | low |
| Amen Thompson | 2 | 9 | 0% | -41.4% |
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aaron Nesmith▼ | Rebounds | 4.5 | UNDER | 99%HIGH | 90% |
Aaron Nesmith▼ | 3PM | 2.5 | UNDER | 99%HIGH | 60% |
Aaron Nesmith▼ | Points | 16.5 | UNDER | 99%HIGH | 60% |
Aaron Nesmith▼ | P+R | 16.5 | UNDER | 99%HIGH | 40% |
Aaron Nesmith▼ | PRA | 19.5 | UNDER | 99%HIGH | 60% |
Aaron Nesmith▼ | P+A | 15.5 | UNDER | 99%HIGH | 50% |
Aaron Nesmith▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | UNDER | 99%HIGH | 70% |
Aaron Nesmith▼ | R+A | 5.5 | UNDER | 99%HIGH | 80% |
| low |
| AJ Green | 3 | 9 | 60% | -1.4% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norman Powell | 2 | 6 | 7 | 20% | 25% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 2 | 4 | 9 | 80% | 90% |
| Andrew Wiggins | 2 | 1 | 4 | 67% | 67% |
| Dru Smith | 1 | 1 | 2 | 50% | 50% |
| Davion Mitchell | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
Coach agent projects 0 minutes as Nesmith is Out (Injury/Illness-Cervical). Team context confirms Ben Sheppard inherits his starting role and 29.6 MPG. Matchup against Miami's rebounding suppression is irrelevant as the player will not play. His season average of 4.16 and last 5 average of 3.4 are both below the 4.5 line, but his absence guarantees the under. Home/away splits (5.21 home vs 3.38 away) and H2H (4.41) are superseded by his injury status. Value calculator shows a 14.6% edge on the OVER, but this is mathematically incorrect due to the confirmed absence.
Coach agent projects 0 minutes as Nesmith is Out (Injury/Illness-Cervical). Team context confirms Ben Sheppard will take over his spot-up shooting role and perimeter assignments. Matchup against Miami's three-point suppression (-0.849) is irrelevant due to non-participation. His season average of 2.33 is below the line, though he averaged 2.8 in his last 5 games. Home/away splits (2.16 home vs 2.46 away) and H2H history are negated by his confirmed 'Out' status. Value calculator suggests an 8.4% edge on the OVER, which is invalid given he will not play.
Coach agent projects 0 minutes as Nesmith is Out (Injury/Illness-Cervical). Team context identifies Pascal Siakam and Andrew Nembhard as the primary scoring options in his absence. Matchup context against Miami's defense is irrelevant as the player is not in the rotation. His season average of 13.8 is well below the 16.5 line, despite a recent 17.5 PPG trend over the last 10 games. Home/away splits (14.16 home vs 13.54 away) and H2H (11.08) are superseded by his injury status. Value calculator correctly leans UNDER with a 3.8% edge.
Coach agent projects 0 minutes as Nesmith is Out (Injury/Illness-Cervical). Team context confirms his 29.6 MPG will be absorbed by Ben Sheppard and Obi Toppin. Matchup factors are irrelevant as the player will not be active for the game. His season PR average of 17.96 and last 5 average of 19.2 are both above the line, but he cannot accumulate stats while out. Home/away splits (19.37 home vs 16.92 away) and H2H history (15.49) are negated by his confirmed absence. Value calculator data is not provided for this combo, but the 'Out' status makes UNDER a lock.
Coach agent projects 0 minutes as Nesmith is Out (Injury/Illness-Cervical). Team context shows a tightened rotation with Sheppard and Toppin filling the starting vacancies. Matchup data is irrelevant as Nesmith will not participate in the contest. His season PRA average of 19.87 and last 5 average of 20.4 are near the line, but his absence ensures a zero total. Home/away splits (21.05 home vs 19.0 away) and H2H history (16.74) are superseded by his injury status. Value calculator data is not provided for this combo, but the 'Out' status makes UNDER a lock.
Coach agent projects 0 minutes as Nesmith is Out (Injury/Illness-Cervical). Team context indicates Andrew Nembhard will handle primary playmaking duties with Nesmith unavailable. Matchup context is irrelevant as the player is not active tonight. His season PA average of 15.71 is slightly above the line, but he will not play to accumulate stats. Home/away splits (15.84 home vs 15.62 away) and H2H history (12.33) are negated by his confirmed 'Out' status. Value calculator data is not provided for this combo, but the 'Out' status makes UNDER a lock.
Coach agent projects 0 minutes as Nesmith is Out (Injury/Illness-Cervical). Team context confirms he is out of the rotation, with defensive assignments shifting to Ben Sheppard. Matchup data is irrelevant as the player will not be on the court. His season average of 0.5 and last 5 average of 0.2 blocks are at or below the line, and his absence guarantees the under. Home/away splits (0.0 home vs 0.5 away) and H2H history (0.3) are superseded by his injury status. Historical accuracy data shows Blocks UNDER hits at a 71.4% rate, further supporting this pick.
Coach agent projects 0 minutes as Nesmith is Out (Injury/Illness-Cervical). Team context shows his rebounding and assist duties will be redistributed among the remaining starters. Matchup context is irrelevant due to the player's non-participation. His season RA average of 6.07 is above the line, but he will not play tonight. Home/away splits (6.89 home vs 5.46 away) and H2H history (5.66) are negated by his confirmed 'Out' status. Value calculator data is not provided for this combo, but the 'Out' status makes UNDER a lock.