Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarace Walker | 2 | 6 | 90% | +34.0% | low |
| Baylor Scheierman | 1 | 5 | 0% | -46.0% | low |
| Dean Wade | 2 | 4 | 33% | -12.7% | low |
| Kawhi Leonard | 2 | 4 | 63% |
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Taurean Prince▼ | 3PM | 3.5 | UNDER | 95%HIGH | 2/2 | 100% | 4 | ✗ |
Taurean Prince▼ | Rebounds | 5.5 | UNDER | 85%HIGH | 2/2 | 80% | 6 | ✗ |
Taurean Prince▼ | Points | 15.5 | UNDER | 95%HIGH | 2/2 | 100% | 18 | ✗ |
Taurean Prince▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | UNDER | 90%HIGH | — | 100% | 1 | ✗ |
Taurean Prince▼ | P+A | 10.5 | UNDER | 85%HIGH | 1/2 | 80% | 26 | ✗ |
Taurean Prince▼ | P+R | 11.5 | UNDER | 80%HIGH | 1/2 | 80% | 24 | ✗ |
Taurean Prince▼ | R+A | 4.5 | UNDER | 75%HIGH | 2/2 | 70% | 14 | ✗ |
| low |
| Jordan Miller | 2 | 4 | 0% | -46.0% | low |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawhi Leonard | 2 | 4 | 7 | 50% | 63% |
| Jordan Miller | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 2 | 4 | 5 | 40% | 40% |
| Nicolas Batum | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Kris Dunn | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
Prince averages only 1.56 threes per game on the season and 1.6 over his last 10, making the 3.5 line extremely inflated. He has failed to clear this line in any of his last 10 games, and the value calculator shows a massive 58.3% edge on the UNDER. With a very high blowout probability (18.5 spread), his minutes are likely to be capped, further limiting his opportunities to reach a career-high volume of 4 makes.
Despite an uptick to 3.8 RPG in his last 5 games due to frontcourt absences, Prince's season average of 2.33 RPG is less than half of this 5.5 line. He has cleared this mark in only 2 of his last 10 games, and the value calculator identifies a strong 56.7% edge on the UNDER. While he recorded 6 rebounds in his last H2H against the Clippers, the high blowout risk tonight suggests he will not see the 25+ minutes typically required for him to reach this total.
Prince averages 6.4 PPG on the season and 7.4 PPG over his last 5, with zero games clearing 13 points in his last 10 outings. Sharp money has heavily signaled an UNDER, with lines in some markets crashing from 19.5 down to 7.5. Even with usage redistribution from Giannis and Kuzma being out, the 15.5 line is nearly triple his season average and highly improbable in a game where starters are projected to sit early due to an 18.5-point spread.
Prince averages a negligible 0.1 BPG on the season and has recorded zero blocks in 10 consecutive games. Historical accuracy data shows that blocks UNDER is the most successful prop type at 71.4%, and Prince's lack of rim-protecting responsibilities makes this a high-conviction play. Given the projected blowout and his 0.0 BPG trend over the last 5 and 10 games, he is unlikely to record a block tonight.
Prince's season average for Points + Assists is 7.4, and he has cleared the 10.5 line in only 2 of his last 10 games. His low assist rate (1.0 APG) provides almost no cushion for his scoring, which has peaked at 13 points recently. The Clippers' defense and the high blowout risk (98.6% LAC win probability) suggest limited minutes and low offensive efficiency for the Bucks' rotation players.
Prince averages 8.7 Points + Rebounds on the season, and while his last 5 average is 11.2, he has still only cleared this 11.5 line in 3 of his last 10 games. The blowout risk is the deciding factor here, as Doc Rivers is expected to limit rotation players' minutes once the game gets out of hand. His season-long production suggests the current line is an overreaction to recent volume spikes caused by temporary roster depletion.
Prince averages 3.3 Rebounds + Assists on the season, well below the 4.5 line. Although he has cleared this in 3 of his last 5 games (averaging 5.0 R+A), his season-long trend and the 14-game H2H history (5.0 R+A) suggest this is a peak-value line. Given the 18.5-point spread and the Clippers' ability to suppress opponent counting stats, a regression to his 3.3 season mean is expected.